California at Arizona - 2021 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:00 PM EDT)
California -7 (47.0)
Arizona 10 - California: 3  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 5th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ CAL -16)
Projected Score: CAL: 21 - ARIZ: 31 (52)
CAL Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 748 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
ARIZ.0237%31.540%2.9616934%2132.53.2747%19.347%46%3.7558.82.40.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense425.323.738.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07
ARIZ Defense519.315.646.6%3.750.6 - - - - - 62%38%47%46%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense427.229.648.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
ARIZ Offense531.534.937.1%2.532.4213821692134.648%52%40%34%19%.02

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
Arizona527:5921.433%25%6.858.82.40.650.4023.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81
ARIZ Defense562%47% - - - - .212.8365%8%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
ARIZ Offense548%40%36.8169.24.64.082.9664%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8
ARIZ Defense538%46% - - - - - - 2.381.527%35%.424%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
ARIZ Offense552%34%22.637.62135.79.467-.031.335%28%.157%1.7

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Arizona: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.4   Arizona: -12.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -3.8 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 31
California 21

Projected Total Points: 52
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24California49Arizona31California -3.5California50.0Over
202111/06Arizona10California3California -7Arizona47.0Under
201810/06Arizona24California17California -2.5Arizona54.5Under
201710/21California44Arizona45Arizona -4.5California66.5Over
201409/20Arizona49California45Arizona -16California0
201311/02California28Arizona33Arizona -14.5California0
201009/25Arizona10California9
200911/14California24Arizona16
200810/18Arizona42California27
200709/22California45Arizona27
200611/11Arizona24California20
200510/01California28Arizona0
200410/23Arizona0California38
200310/25California42Arizona14
200111/03California24Arizona38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona922 Overs
California642 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 45 - 11 - 14 - 0
Road Teams4 - 111 - 50 - 41 - 1

(#) CAL at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #113
Perf GradeGrade #72 #133
OffenseOff #74 #128
DefenseDef #68 #130
Spec TeamsST #58 #128
TalentTal #40 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #27 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #44 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #102 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #123 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
California 7.0 (47.0)
Arizona won vs California this year (10-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD