Arizona at Arizona State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Arizona Wildcats at Arizona State Sun Devils

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
Arizona State -20 (52.5)
Arizona State 38 - Arizona: 15 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ARIZ 2nd straight Road Game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -14.5 (SP+ ASU -24)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 27 - ASU: 24 (51)
ASU Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
ARIZ Travel: 101 miles

Sun Devils (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Herm Edwards (19 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
ASU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arizona vs BYU	+13.5	54.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Arizona vs San Diego State	-1.5	46.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/18	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-26.5	53.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Arizona at Oregon	+29.5	58.5	L 19 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Arizona vs UCLA	+16.0	60.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Arizona at Colorado	+6.0	46.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Fri 10/22	Arizona vs Washington	+17.5	45.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Arizona at USC	+22.0	55.5	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Arizona vs California	+7.0	47.0	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Arizona vs Utah	+24.0	54.5	L 29 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Arizona at Washington State	+15.0	52.5	L 18 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/27	Arizona at Arizona State	+20.0	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Arizona State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Arizona State vs Southern Utah	-44.5	56.5	W 41 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/11	Arizona State vs UNLV	-34.5	55.5	W 37 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/18	Arizona State at BYU	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/25	Arizona State vs Colorado	-13.5	45.5	W 35 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Arizona State at UCLA	+3.0	56.5	W 42 - 23	O	Y
Fri 10/8	Arizona State vs Stanford	-13.5	53.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Arizona State at Utah	+1.0	51.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Arizona State vs Washington State	-16.5	55.5	L 21 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/6	Arizona State vs USC	-10.0	61.0	W 31 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Arizona State at Washington	-6.0	45.5	W 35 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/20	Arizona State at Oregon State	-2.5	59.0	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Arizona State vs Arizona	-20.0	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Arizona State vs Wisconsin	+8.5	42.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	.02	37%	31.5	40%	2.96	169	34%	213	2.53	.27	47%	19.3	47%	46%	3.75	58.8	2.4	0.6
ASU	.3	47%	25.8	54%	3.51	265	36%	194	3.68	.15	45%	24.5	52%	38%	3.36	54.5	1	3.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ASU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	5	31.5	29.4	37.1%	2.53	2.4	21	382	169	213	4.6	48%	52%	40%	34%	19%	.02
ASU Defense	4	24.5	21.4	44.8%	3.36	3.3	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	52%	38%	18%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	5	19.3	23.6	46.6%	3.75	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	62%	38%	47%	46%	12%	.27
ASU Offense	4	25.8	24.7	46.7%	3.68	1	20	459	265	194	6.4	59%	41%	54%	36%	15%	.3

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	5	27:59	21.4	33%	25%	6.8	58.8	2.4	0.6	5	0.4	0	23.6
Arizona State	4	29:18	20.3	47%	33%	7	54.5	1	3.3	6	2.3	1	34.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	5	48%	40%	36.8	169.2	4.6	4	.08	2.96	64%	12%	1.07
ASU Defense	4	50%	52%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.93	69%	10%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	5	62%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.83	65%	8%	1.15
ASU Offense	4	59%	54%	41.3	264.5	6.4	16	.39	3.51	71%	11%	1.27

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	5	52%	34%	22.6	37.6	213	5.7	9.4	6	7	-.03	1.3	35%	28%	.15	7%	1.7
ASU Defense	4	50%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.2	1.6	32%	33%	.39	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	5	38%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.38	1.5	27%	35%	.42	4%	2.2
ASU Offense	4	41%	36%	12.8	21.8	194.3	8.9	15.2	5	1	.16	1.7	31%	31%	.35	4%	2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: Arizona State: 8.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -12.6 Arizona State: 11.8

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.4 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 #26
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #36
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Arizona 27
Arizona State 24

Projected Total Points: 51

Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/28	Arizona State	7	Arizona	23	Arizona -2.0	Arizona	48.5	Under
2024	11/30	Arizona	7	Arizona State	49	Arizona State -7.5	Arizona State	52.5	Over
2023	11/25	Arizona State	23	Arizona	59	Arizona -12.5	Arizona	48.5	Over
2022	11/25	Arizona	38	Arizona State	35	Arizona -4	Arizona State	66.5	Over
2021	11/27	Arizona State	38	Arizona	15	Arizona State -20	Arizona State	52.5	Over
2020	12/11	Arizona	7	Arizona State	70	Arizona State -9	Arizona State	57.0	Over
2019	11/30	Arizona State	24	Arizona	14	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona	60.5	Under
2018	11/24	Arizona	40	Arizona State	41	Arizona State -1.5	Arizona	66.0	Over
2017	11/25	Arizona State	42	Arizona	30	Arizona -2	Arizona State	76.0	Under
2016	11/25	Arizona	56	Arizona State	35	Arizona State -6	Arizona	65.0	Over
2015	11/21	Arizona State	52	Arizona	37	Arizona State -7	Arizona State	66.5	Over
2014	11/28	Arizona	42	Arizona State	35	Arizona -2.5	Arizona	0
2013	11/30	Arizona State	58	Arizona	21	Arizona State -13.5	Arizona State	0
2012	11/23	Arizona	34	Arizona State	41
2011	11/19	Arizona State	27	Arizona	31
2010	12/02	Arizona	29	Arizona State	30
2009	11/28	Arizona State	17	Arizona	20
2008	12/06	Arizona	31	Arizona State	10
2007	12/01	Arizona State	20	Arizona	17
2006	11/25	Arizona	14	Arizona State	28
2005	11/25	Arizona State	23	Arizona	20
2004	11/26	Arizona	34	Arizona State	27
2003	11/28	Arizona State	28	Arizona	7
2001	11/23	Arizona State	21	Arizona	34
2000	11/23	Arizona	17	Arizona State	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Arizona State	15	7	8 Overs
Arizona	10	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 12	7 - 6	4 - 2	3 - 4
Road Teams	12 - 13	6 - 7	4 - 3	2 - 4

(#) ARIZ at (#) ASU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	ASU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#26
Perf GradeGrade	#133	#55
OffenseOff	#128	#45
DefenseDef	#130	#68
Spec TeamsST	#128	#105
TalentTal	#68	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arizona Injury Report

Arizona State Injury Report

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ASU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#128	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#24
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ASU Def
Run GameRun	#102	#79
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#27

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ASU Def
Pass GamePass	#123	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#66	#85
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Arizona State on Offense


CategoryCat	ASU Off	ARIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#45	#130
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona State Run Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#11	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#19	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#100

Arizona State Pass Game


CategoryCat	ASU Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#73	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#95
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Arizona State -20.0 (52.5)
Arizona State won vs Arizona this year (38-15)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Arizona State last year (23-7)
Arizona State beat Arizona in 2024 (49-7)
Arizona beat Arizona State in 2023 (59-23)

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ASU's OC Zak Hill (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Antonio Pierce (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD