Nevada at California - 2021 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
California -2.5 (52.5)
Nevada 22 - California: 17

 
Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (27 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ NEV -0)
Projected Score: NEV: 21 - CAL: 27 (48)
CAL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
NEV Travel: 175 miles
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Nevada at California+2.552.5W 22 - 17UY
Sat 9/11 Nevada vs Idaho State-35.056.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Nevada at Kansas State-1.551.5L 17 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Nevada at Boise State+3.559.0W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/9 Nevada vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 55 - 28ON
Sat 10/16 Nevada vs Hawai'i-14.061.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 Nevada at Fresno State+3.564.5L 32 - 34OY
Fri 10/29 Nevada vs UNLV-19.058.0W 51 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Nevada vs San José State-11.555.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 11/13 Nevada at San Diego State+2.545.0L 21 - 23UY
Fri 11/19 Nevada vs Air Force+1.553.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 11/27 Nevada at Colorado State-3.057.5W 52 - 10OY
Mon 12/27 Nevada vs Western Michigan+7.056.0L 24 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.2643%17.642%2.6212144%3173.49.1441%27.541%41%3.5569.411
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense917.615.542.9%3.491214391213174.338%61%42%44%15%.26
CAL Defense427.224.348.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense927.529.840.9%3.551 - - - - - 46%54%41%41%13%.14
CAL Offense425.327.238.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada931:3321.242%67%7.969.4115.82.6028.8
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense938%42%28.2121.24.37.12.6257%11%1.1
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense946%41% - - - - .082.8668%9%0.96
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense961%44%27.739.7317.4811.5264.371.630%34%.514%2
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense954%41% - - - - - - 6.21.432%29%.284%1.9
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #67
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #54
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #68

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    California: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: 3.6   California: 3.4




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
California 27
Nevada 21

Projected Total Points: 48
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/04California17Nevada22California -2.5Nevada52.5Under
201209/01California24Nevada31
201009/17Nevada52California31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California000 Overs
Nevada311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) NEV at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #68
Perf GradeGrade #58 #72
OffenseOff #58 #74
DefenseDef #74 #68
Spec TeamsST #42 #58
TalentTal #98 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #58 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #97 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #10 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #113 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #74
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #27 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #58
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #44 #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #38
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
California -2.5 (52.5)
Nevada won at California this year (22-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEV's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD