UCLA at Arizona - 2021 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo   UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
UCLA -16 (60.0)
UCLA 34 - Arizona: 16  (Pac-12)

 
Bruins (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (12 - 22)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ coming off BYE
UCLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ UCLA -22)
Projected Score: UCLA: 18 - ARIZ: 33 (51)
UCLA Win prob: 88% | Cover: 54%
UCLA Travel: 438 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCLA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UCLA vs Hawai'i-17.567.0W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/4 UCLA vs LSU+2.064.0W 38 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UCLA vs Fresno State-11.064.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/25 UCLA at Stanford-4.060.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UCLA vs Arizona State-3.056.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/9 UCLA at Arizona-16.060.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/16 UCLA at Washington+1.555.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 UCLA vs Oregon-1.062.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/30 UCLA at Utah+6.060.5L 24 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UCLA vs Colorado-18.057.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/20 UCLA at USC-4.566.5W 62 - 33OY
Sat 11/27 UCLA vs California-6.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Tue 12/28 UCLA vs NC State+2.060.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA.2546%18.247%2.8823145%2243.96.1647%33.453%42%3.4453.41.91.4
ARIZ.0237%31.540%2.9616934%2132.53.2747%19.347%46%3.7558.82.40.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense718.216.846%3.961.9254552312245.159%41%47%45%17%.25
ARIZ Defense519.315.646.6%3.750.6 - - - - - 62%38%47%46%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense733.432.247.1%3.441.4 - - - - - 47%53%53%42%16%.16
ARIZ Offense531.534.937.1%2.532.4213821692134.648%52%40%34%19%.02

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA728:4924.645%41%6.953.41.91.46.63.1028.2
Arizona527:5921.433%25%6.858.82.40.650.4023.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense759%47%45.6230.65.113.162.8864%11%1.05
ARIZ Defense562%47% - - - - .212.8365%8%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense747%53% - - - - .143.0675%10%0.82
ARIZ Offense548%40%36.8169.24.64.082.9664%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense741%45%18.628.6224.47.912.1186.391.630%32%.426%2.1
ARIZ Defense538%46% - - - - - - 2.381.527%35%.424%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense753%42% - - - - - - 8.171.531%36%.386%1.9
ARIZ Offense552%34%22.637.62135.79.467-.031.335%28%.157%1.7

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCLA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA:    Arizona: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 9.4   Arizona: -12.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -3.8 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 33
UCLA 18

Projected Total Points: 51
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Arizona27UCLA10UCLA -2.5Arizona50.0Under
202211/12UCLA28Arizona34UCLA -19.5Arizona76.5Under
202110/09Arizona16UCLA34UCLA -16UCLA60.0Under
202011/28UCLA27Arizona10UCLA -10UCLA70.0Under
201909/28Arizona20UCLA17Arizona -6.5UCLA72.5Under
201810/20UCLA31Arizona30UCLA -10Arizona55.0Over
201710/14Arizona47UCLA30UCLA -3Arizona76.5Over
201610/01UCLA45Arizona24Arizona -3UCLA58.5Over
201509/26Arizona30UCLA56UCLA -4.5UCLA64.5Over
201411/01UCLA17Arizona7UCLA -4.5UCLA0
201311/09Arizona26UCLA31UCLA -2.5UCLA0
201211/03UCLA66Arizona10
201110/20Arizona48UCLA12
201010/30UCLA21Arizona29
200910/24Arizona27UCLA13
200809/20UCLA10Arizona31
200711/03Arizona34UCLA27
200610/07UCLA27Arizona7
200511/05Arizona52UCLA14
200410/09UCLA37Arizona17
200310/11Arizona21UCLA24
200211/09Arizona7UCLA37
200010/27Arizona24UCLA27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1044 Overs
UCLA1375 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 95 - 62 - 33 - 3
Road Teams9 - 146 - 53 - 33 - 2

(#) UCLA at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCLAARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #113
Perf GradeGrade #69 #133
OffenseOff #50 #128
DefenseDef #98 #130
Spec TeamsST #106 #128
TalentTal #23 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCat
UCLA OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #7 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #57 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #61 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffUCLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #98
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #102 #108
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #66
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #123 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
UCLA 16.0 (60.0)
UCLA won at Arizona this year (34-16)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat UCLA in 2023 (27-10)

  
UCLA's OC Justin Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Jerry Azzinaro (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD