California at UCLA - 2021 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at UCLA Bruins  UCLA logo
Saturday, November 27th 2021 (10:30 PM EST)
UCLA -6.5 (58.5)
UCLA 42 - California: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL 2nd straight Road Game
CAL is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ UCLA -6)

Projected Score: CAL: 29 - UCLA: 24 (53)
UCLA Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
CAL Travel: 343 miles
Bruins (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (12 - 22)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
UCLA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UCLA vs Hawai'i-17.567.0W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/4 UCLA vs LSU+2.064.0W 38 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UCLA vs Fresno State-11.064.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/25 UCLA at Stanford-4.060.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UCLA vs Arizona State-3.056.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/9 UCLA at Arizona-16.060.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/16 UCLA at Washington+1.555.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 UCLA vs Oregon-1.062.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/30 UCLA at Utah+6.060.5L 24 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UCLA vs Colorado-18.057.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/20 UCLA at USC-4.566.5W 62 - 33OY
Sat 11/27 UCLA vs California-6.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Tue 12/28 UCLA vs NC State+2.060.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
UCLA.2546%18.247%2.8823145%2243.96.1647%33.453%42%3.4453.41.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense425.323.738.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07
UCLA Defense733.434.747.1%3.441.4 - - - - - 47%53%53%42%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense427.229.648.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
UCLA Offense718.219.546%3.961.9254552312245.159%41%47%45%17%.25

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
UCLA728:4924.645%41%6.953.41.91.46.63.1028.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81
UCLA Defense747%53% - - - - .143.0675%10%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
UCLA Offense759%47%45.6230.65.113.162.8864%11%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8
UCLA Defense753%42% - - - - - - 8.171.531%36%.386%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
UCLA Offense741%45%18.628.6224.47.912.1186.391.630%32%.426%2.1

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    UCLA: 7.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.4   UCLA: 9.4




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 7.2 NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCLA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 29
UCLA 24


Projected Total Points: 53
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25UCLA7California33UCLA -9.5California50.5Under
202211/25California28UCLA35UCLA -11.5California62.5Over
202111/27UCLA42California14UCLA -6.5UCLA58.5Under
202011/15UCLA34California10California -3UCLA57.5Under
201911/30UCLA18California28California -1California50.5Under
201810/13California7UCLA30California -6.5UCLA53.5Under
201711/24UCLA30California27UCLA -7California66.5Under
201611/26California36UCLA10UCLA -5.5California70.5Under
201510/22UCLA40California24UCLA -6.5UCLA68.5Under
201410/18California34UCLA36UCLA -8California0
201310/12UCLA37California10UCLA -23UCLA0
201210/06California43UCLA17
201110/29UCLA31California14
201010/09California35UCLA7
200910/17UCLA26California45
200810/25California41UCLA20
200710/20UCLA30California21
200611/04California38UCLA24
200510/08UCLA47California40
200410/16California45UCLA28
200310/18UCLA23California20
200210/19California17UCLA12
200110/20UCLA56California17
200010/13California46UCLA38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA1351 Overs
California1168 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams18 - 67 - 43 - 34 - 1
Road Teams6 - 184 - 71 - 43 - 3

(#) CAL at (#) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #41
Perf GradeGrade #72 #69
OffenseOff #74 #50
DefenseDef #68 #98
Spec TeamsST #58 #106
TalentTal #40 #23
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #98
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #27 #108
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #66
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #44 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCatUCLA OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #7 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCatUCLA OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #57 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #61 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
UCLA -6.5 (58.5)
UCLA won vs California this year (42-14)

Previous Matchups
California beat UCLA in 2023 (33-7)

  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCLA's OC Justin Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Jerry Azzinaro (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD