Arizona at USC - 2021 Matchup Preview
Arizona logo   Arizona Wildcats at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
USC -22 (55.5)
USC 41 - Arizona: 34  (Pac-12)

 
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ USC -12)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 25 - USC: 31 (56)
USC Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
ARIZ Travel: 442 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ.0237%31.540%2.9616934%2132.53.2747%19.347%46%3.7558.82.40.6
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Offense531.529.437.1%2.532.4213821692134.648%52%40%34%19%.02
USC Defense62317.940.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARIZ Defense519.323.646.6%3.750.6 - - - - - 62%38%47%46%12%.27
USC Offense635.84346.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona527:5921.433%25%6.858.82.40.650.4023.6
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense548%40%36.8169.24.64.082.9664%12%1.07
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense562%47% - - - - .212.8365%8%1.15
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense552%34%22.637.62135.79.467-.031.335%28%.157%1.7
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense538%46% - - - - - - 2.381.527%35%.424%2.2
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona:    USC: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -12.6   USC: -0.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 31
Arizona 25

Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07USC43Arizona41USC -21Arizona69.5Over
202210/29Arizona37USC45USC -14Arizona74.0Over
202110/30USC41Arizona34USC -22Arizona55.5Over
202011/14Arizona30USC34USC -15Arizona67.0Under
201910/19USC41Arizona14USC -10USC68.0Under
201809/29Arizona20USC24USC -3.5USC61.0Under
201711/04USC49Arizona35USC -6.5USC76.0Over
201610/15Arizona14USC48USC -7USC65.0Under
201511/07USC38Arizona30USC -16.5Arizona69.5Under
201410/11Arizona26USC28USC -2.5Arizona0
201310/10USC38Arizona31USC -5USC0
201210/27Arizona39USC36
201110/01USC48Arizona41
201011/13Arizona21USC24
200912/05USC17Arizona21
200810/25Arizona10USC17
200710/13USC20Arizona13
200609/23Arizona3USC20
200510/08USC42Arizona21
200411/13USC49Arizona9
200311/15Arizona0USC45
200110/27Arizona34USC41
200010/06USC15Arizona31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC2054 Overs
Arizona365 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#) ARIZ at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARIZUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #81
Perf GradeGrade #133 #41
OffenseOff #128 #23
DefenseDef #130 #104
Spec TeamsST #128 #92
TalentTal #68 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #102 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #123 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #66 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffARIZ Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #43 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #49 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
USC -22.0 (55.5)
USC won vs Arizona this year (41-34)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)

  
ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD