California at Oregon - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, October 15th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -13.5 (53.5)
Oregon 24 - California: 17 (Pac-12)

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

CAL coming off BYE
ORE coming off BYE
Our Line: -6 (SP+ ORE -7)
Projected Score: CAL: 21 - ORE: 34 (55)
ORE Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
CAL Travel: 430 miles

Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
CAL Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

California's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	California vs Nevada	-2.5	52.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/11	California at TCU	+11.5	46.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	California vs Sacramento State	-24.5	49.0	W 42 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/25	California at Washington	+7.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/2	California vs Washington State	-7.5	52.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	California at Oregon	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	California vs Colorado	-8.0	44.0	W 26 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/30	California vs Oregon State	+2.5	56.5	W 39 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/6	California at Arizona	-7.0	47.0	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	California vs USC	+2.0	52.5
Sat 11/20	California at Stanford	-2.5	46.0	W 41 - 11	O	Y
Sat 11/27	California at UCLA	+6.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 12/4	California vs USC	-4.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule

Oregon's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon vs Fresno State	-18.0	62.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon at Ohio State	+14.5	65.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon vs Stony Brook	-42.0	54.5	W 48 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/25	Oregon vs Arizona	-29.5	58.5	W 41 - 19	O	N
Sat 10/2	Oregon at Stanford	-8.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Oregon vs California	-13.5	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Oregon at UCLA	+1.0	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon vs Colorado	-24.5	49.0	W 52 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon at Washington	-7.0	48.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oregon vs Washington State	-13.0	58.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon at Utah	+3.0	58.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Oregon vs Oregon State	-7.5	61.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Fri 12/3	Oregon vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/29	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL	.07	39%	25.3	44%	2.75	127	34%	193	3.9	.18	49%	27.2	48%	49%	3.85	33.8	1.3	1.3
ORE	.28	50%	36.9	50%	3.26	167	49%	243	4.28	.18	45%	17.9	46%	44%	3.63	53	2.1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Offense	4	25.3	23.7	38.5%	3.9	1.3	18	320	127	193	3.4	47%	53%	44%	34%	17%	.07
ORE Defense	7	17.9	16.8	44.8%	3.63	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	44%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CAL Defense	4	27.2	29.6	48.6%	3.85	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	49%	15%	.18
ORE Offense	7	36.9	43.1	49.9%	4.28	2.1	22	410	167	243	4.9	53%	47%	50%	49%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
California	4	30:41	18.3	37%	50%	4.3	33.8	1.3	1.3	5	1.8	0	25.8
Oregon	7	26:02	21.6	43%	60%	5.9	53	2.1	1	5	1.7	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Offense	4	47%	44%	37	126.8	3.4	4	.11	2.75	62%	12%	0.81
ORE Defense	7	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.82	66%	8%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CAL Defense	4	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.08	75%	9%	0.84
ORE Offense	7	53%	50%	33.9	166.9	4.9	13	.12	3.26	71%	12%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Offense	4	53%	34%	21.3	34.8	192.8	5.6	9.1	6	3	.04	1.3	31%	25%	.21	5%	1.8
ORE Defense	7	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.4	28%	30%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CAL Defense	4	45%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31	1.5	24%	32%	.36	6%	2.1
ORE Offense	7	47%	49%	17.1	27.1	243.4	9	14.2	15	6	.46	1.7	26%	33%	.46	6%	2.3

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California: Oregon: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.4 Oregon: 10.2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 34
California 21

Projected Total Points: 55

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Oregon	63	California	19	Oregon -26.5	Oregon	61.5	Over
2022	10/29	California	24	Oregon	42	Oregon -16.5	Oregon	56.5	Over
2021	10/15	Oregon	24	California	17	Oregon -13.5	California	53.5	Under
2020	12/05	California	21	Oregon	17	Oregon -9.5	California	59.0	Under
2019	10/05	Oregon	17	California	7	Oregon -21.5	California	46.5	Under
2018	09/29	California	24	Oregon	42	Oregon -2	Oregon	58.5	Over
2017	09/30	Oregon	45	California	24	Oregon -17	Oregon	66.5	Over
2016	10/21	California	52	Oregon	49	California -3	Push	90.0	Over
2015	11/07	Oregon	44	California	28	Oregon -7.5	Oregon	75.5	Under
2014	10/24	California	41	Oregon	59	Oregon -16	Oregon	0
2013	09/28	Oregon	55	California	16	Oregon -33	Oregon	0
2012	11/10	California	17	Oregon	59
2011	10/06	Oregon	43	California	15
2010	11/13	California	13	Oregon	15
2009	09/26	Oregon	42	California	3
2008	11/01	California	26	Oregon	16
2007	09/29	Oregon	24	California	31
2006	10/07	California	45	Oregon	24
2005	11/05	Oregon	27	California	20
2004	11/06	California	28	Oregon	27
2003	11/08	Oregon	21	California	17
2001	10/13	California	7	Oregon	48
2000	11/10	Oregon	25	California	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	17	7	5 Overs
California	6	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	16 - 7	5 - 5	4 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 16	5 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 4

(#) CAL at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CAL	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#72	#92
OffenseOff	#74	#76
DefenseDef	#68	#95
Spec TeamsST	#58	#135
TalentTal	#40	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

California Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#27	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#59	#26
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	CAL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#39	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#100

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Oregon -13.5 (53.5)
Oregon won vs California this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat California in 2023 (63-19)

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD