California at Washington - 2021 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at Washington Huskies  Washington logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (9:30 PM EDT)
Washington -7.5 (47.5)
Washington 31 - California: 24  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WASH 2nd straight Home Game
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ CAL -4)

Projected Score: CAL: 22 - WASH: 32 (54)
WASH Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 676 miles
Huskies (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Lake (4 - 3)
Avg Score : 34 - 19 (37 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Washington's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Washington vs Montana-22.554.0L 7 - 13UN
Sat 9/11 Washington at Michigan+6.547.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 9/18 Washington vs Arkansas State-17.558.5W 52 - 3UY
Sat 9/25 Washington vs California-7.547.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 10/2 Washington at Oregon State+2.557.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Washington vs UCLA-1.555.5L 17 - 24UN
Fri 10/22 Washington at Arizona-17.545.5W 21 - 16UN
Sat 10/30 Washington at Stanford+2.545.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Washington vs Oregon+7.048.0L 16 - 26UN
Sat 11/13 Washington vs Arizona State+6.045.5L 30 - 35OY
Sat 11/20 Washington at Colorado-6.543.0L 17 - 20UN
Fri 11/26 Washington vs Washington State-1.045.0L 13 - 40ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
WASH.2646%34.147%2.817645%2273.78.1347%18.752%40%4.3340.50.82
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense425.323.738.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07
WASH Defense418.719.746.8%4.332 - - - - - 55%45%52%40%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense427.229.648.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
WASH Offense434.136.746.1%3.780.8224031762274.558%42%47%45%10%.26

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
Washington431:3821.848%83%5.340.50.824.52.5032
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81
WASH Defense455%52% - - - - .143.5771%9%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
WASH Offense458%47%39176.34.511.162.883%4%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8
WASH Defense445%40% - - - - - - 3.121.328%26%.15%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
WASH Offense442%45%1727.8226.58.213.343.411.730%40%.486%1.8

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Washington: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.4   Washington: -0.7




Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Washington's Offense Rating: NR
Washington's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Washington's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #83
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #102
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 32
California 22


Projected Total Points: 54
Washington Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.7
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Washington's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Washington59California32Washington -21Washington55.5Over
202210/22California21Washington28Washington -7.5California54.5Under
202109/25Washington31California24Washington -7.5California47.5Over
201909/07Washington19California20Washington -13.5California42.5Under
201810/27California12Washington10Washington -12California46.0Under
201710/07Washington38California7Washington -28.5Washington55.5Under
201611/05California27Washington66Washington -17Washington73.5Over
201509/26Washington24California30California -2California59.5Under
201410/11California7Washington31California -1Washington0
201310/26Washington41California17Washington -23Washington0
201211/02California13Washington21
201109/24Washington31California23
201011/27California13Washington16
200912/05Washington42California10
200812/06California48Washington7
200711/17Washington37California23
200610/21California31Washington24
200509/10Washington17California56
200411/13Washington12California42
200311/15California54Washington7
200210/05Washington27California34
200109/29California28Washington31
200010/20Washington36California24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Washington1453 Overs
California955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 53 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 125 - 52 - 23 - 3

(#) CAL at (#) WASH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALWASH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #83
Perf GradeGrade #72 #80
OffenseOff #74 #101
DefenseDef #68 #44
Spec TeamsST #58 #27
TalentTal #40 #18
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffWASH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #44
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffWASH Def
Run GameRun #27 #107
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffWASH Def
Pass GamePass #44 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #70
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Washington on Offense
CategoryCatWASH OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #101 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #102 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Washington Run Game
CategoryCat
WASH OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #124 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #53 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Washington Pass Game
CategoryCatWASH OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #98 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #93 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Washington -7.5 (47.5)
Washington won vs California this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat California in 2023 (59-32)

  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WASH's OC John Donovan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD