Arizona at Oregon - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -29.5 (58.5)
Oregon 41 - Arizona: 19 (Pac-12)

Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (29 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ORE 2nd straight Home Game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
ARIZ is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -14 (SP+ ORE -23)
Projected Score: ARIZ: 24 - ORE: 31 (55)
ORE Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
ARIZ Travel: 1047 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ARIZ Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Arizona's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Arizona vs BYU	+13.5	54.0	L 16 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Arizona vs San Diego State	-1.5	46.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/18	Arizona vs Northern Arizona	-26.5	53.5	L 19 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Arizona at Oregon	+29.5	58.5	L 19 - 41	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	Arizona vs UCLA	+16.0	60.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/16	Arizona at Colorado	+6.0	46.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Fri 10/22	Arizona vs Washington	+17.5	45.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Arizona at USC	+22.0	55.5	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Arizona vs California	+7.0	47.0	W 10 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Arizona vs Utah	+24.0	54.5	L 29 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Arizona at Washington State	+15.0	52.5	L 18 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/27	Arizona at Arizona State	+20.0	52.5	L 15 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule

Oregon's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon vs Fresno State	-18.0	62.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon at Ohio State	+14.5	65.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon vs Stony Brook	-42.0	54.5	W 48 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/25	Oregon vs Arizona	-29.5	58.5	W 41 - 19	O	N
Sat 10/2	Oregon at Stanford	-8.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Oregon vs California	-13.5	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Oregon at UCLA	+1.0	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon vs Colorado	-24.5	49.0	W 52 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon at Washington	-7.0	48.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oregon vs Washington State	-13.0	58.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon at Utah	+3.0	58.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Oregon vs Oregon State	-7.5	61.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Fri 12/3	Oregon vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/29	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ	.02	37%	31.5	40%	2.96	169	34%	213	2.53	.27	47%	19.3	47%	46%	3.75	58.8	2.4	0.6
ORE	.28	50%	36.9	50%	3.26	167	49%	243	4.28	.18	45%	17.9	46%	44%	3.63	53	2.1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ARIZ		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Offense	5	31.5	29.4	37.1%	2.53	2.4	21	382	169	213	4.6	48%	52%	40%	34%	19%	.02
ORE Defense	7	17.9	16.8	44.8%	3.63	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	44%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ARIZ Defense	5	19.3	23.6	46.6%	3.75	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	62%	38%	47%	46%	12%	.27
ORE Offense	7	36.9	43.1	49.9%	4.28	2.1	22	410	167	243	4.9	53%	47%	50%	49%	18%	.28

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Arizona	5	27:59	21.4	33%	25%	6.8	58.8	2.4	0.6	5	0.4	0	23.6
Oregon	7	26:02	21.6	43%	60%	5.9	53	2.1	1	5	1.7	1	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Offense	5	48%	40%	36.8	169.2	4.6	4	.08	2.96	64%	12%	1.07
ORE Defense	7	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.82	66%	8%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ARIZ Defense	5	62%	47%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.83	65%	8%	1.15
ORE Offense	7	53%	50%	33.9	166.9	4.9	13	.12	3.26	71%	12%	0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Offense	5	52%	34%	22.6	37.6	213	5.7	9.4	6	7	-.03	1.3	35%	28%	.15	7%	1.7
ORE Defense	7	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.4	28%	30%	.21	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ARIZ Defense	5	38%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.38	1.5	27%	35%	.42	4%	2.2
ORE Offense	7	47%	49%	17.1	27.1	243.4	9	14.2	15	6	.46	1.7	26%	33%	.46	6%	2.3

Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3 #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona: Oregon: 7.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona: -12.6 Oregon: 10.2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 7.6 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.4
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 31
Arizona 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/08	Arizona	22	Oregon	49	Oregon -13.5	Oregon	70.5	Over
2021	09/25	Oregon	41	Arizona	19	Oregon -29.5	Arizona	58.5	Over
2019	11/16	Oregon	34	Arizona	6	Oregon -27	Oregon	68.5	Under
2018	10/27	Arizona	44	Oregon	15	Oregon -7.5	Arizona	64.5	Under
2017	11/18	Oregon	48	Arizona	28	Oregon -3	Oregon	77.5	Under
2014	12/05	Oregon	51	Arizona	13	Oregon -14	Oregon	0
2014	10/02	Oregon	24	Arizona	31	Oregon -22.5	Arizona	0
2013	11/23	Arizona	42	Oregon	16	Oregon -17.5	Arizona	0
2012	09/22	Oregon	49	Arizona	0
2011	09/24	Arizona	31	Oregon	56
2010	11/26	Oregon	48	Arizona	29
2009	11/21	Arizona	41	Oregon	44
2008	11/15	Oregon	55	Arizona	45
2007	11/15	Arizona	34	Oregon	24
2006	11/18	Oregon	10	Arizona	37
2005	10/22	Arizona	21	Oregon	28
2004	10/16	Oregon	28	Arizona	14
2003	09/13	Arizona	10	Oregon	48
2002	10/05	Arizona	14	Oregon	31
2001	10/06	Arizona	28	Oregon	63
2000	10/20	Oregon	14	Arizona	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	16	4	2 Overs
Arizona	5	4	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	5 - 3	3 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 12	3 - 5	1 - 2	2 - 3

(#) ARIZ at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ARIZ	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#38
Perf GradeGrade	#133	#92
OffenseOff	#128	#76
DefenseDef	#130	#95
Spec TeamsST	#128	#135
TalentTal	#68	#8
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Arizona Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Arizona on Offense


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#128	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Arizona Run Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#102	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#132	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Arizona Pass Game


CategoryCat	ARIZ Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#123	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#66	#26
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ARIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#130
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#102
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ARIZ Def
Run GameRun	#39	#112
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#100

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	ARIZ Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#134
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#71	#95
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Autzen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Oregon -29.5 (58.5)
Oregon won vs Arizona this year (41-19)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD