Washington State at California - 2021 Matchup Preview

Washington State Cougars at California Golden Bears

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (5:30 PM EDT)
California -7.5 (52.5)
Washington State 21 - California: 6 (Pac-12)

Cougars (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Nick Rolovich (2 - 5)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WSU 2nd straight Road Game
CAL is playing their 5th straight game
WSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ WSU -3.5)
Projected Score: WSU: 23 - CAL: 24 (47)
CAL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
WSU Travel: 665 miles

Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WSU Players
CAL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Washington State vs Utah State	-17.5	66.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/11	Washington State vs Portland State	-31.0	65.5	W 44 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/18	Washington State vs USC	+7.0	61.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/25	Washington State at Utah	+15.0	53.5	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Washington State at California	+7.5	52.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Washington State vs Oregon State	+4.0	59.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Washington State vs Stanford	-1.0	53.0	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Washington State vs BYU	+3.5	56.5	L 19 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Washington State at Arizona State	+16.5	55.5	W 34 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Washington State at Oregon	+13.0	58.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/19	Washington State vs Arizona	-15.0	52.5	W 44 - 18	O	Y
Fri 11/26	Washington State at Washington	+1.0	45.0	W 40 - 13	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Washington State vs Central Michigan	-5.5	56.0	L 21 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington State's Schedule

California's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	California vs Nevada	-2.5	52.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/11	California at TCU	+11.5	46.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	California vs Sacramento State	-24.5	49.0	W 42 - 30	O	N
Sat 9/25	California at Washington	+7.5	47.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/2	California vs Washington State	-7.5	52.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	California at Oregon	+13.5	53.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	California vs Colorado	-8.0	44.0	W 26 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/30	California vs Oregon State	+2.5	56.5	W 39 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/6	California at Arizona	-7.0	47.0	L 3 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/13	California vs USC	+2.0	52.5
Sat 11/20	California at Stanford	-2.5	46.0	W 41 - 11	O	Y
Sat 11/27	California at UCLA	+6.5	58.5	L 14 - 42	U	N
Sat 12/4	California vs USC	-4.5	57.5	W 24 - 14	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU	.16	45%	22.5	45%	2.79	129	46%	255	3.96	.39	50%	20.2	53%	47%	4.61	46.8	2	1.5
CAL	.07	39%	25.3	44%	2.75	127	34%	193	3.9	.18	49%	27.2	48%	49%	3.85	33.8	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
CAL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Offense	4	22.5	16.3	45.5%	3.96	2	20	384	129	255	4.7	39%	61%	45%	46%	18%	.16
CAL Defense	4	27.2	24.3	48.6%	3.85	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	49%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WSU Defense	4	20.2	23.7	50%	4.61	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	44%	56%	53%	47%	17%	.39
CAL Offense	4	25.3	27.2	38.5%	3.9	1.3	18	320	127	193	3.4	47%	53%	44%	34%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington State	4	31:28	19.5	39%	43%	5.3	46.8	2	1.5	6.3	2	0	27.4
California	4	30:41	18.3	37%	50%	4.3	33.8	1.3	1.3	5	1.8	0	25.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Offense	4	39%	45%	27.5	129.3	4.7	8	.19	2.79	33%	12%	1.19
CAL Defense	4	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.08	75%	9%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WSU Defense	4	44%	53%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.4	77%	12%	0.92
CAL Offense	4	47%	44%	37	126.8	3.4	4	.11	2.75	62%	12%	0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Offense	4	61%	46%	23.5	38	254.8	6.7	10.8	6	4	.15	1.3	28%	30%	.15	7%	1.8
CAL Defense	4	45%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.31	1.5	24%	32%	.36	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WSU Defense	4	56%	47%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.51	1.6	29%	33%	.52	5%	2.1
CAL Offense	4	53%	34%	21.3	34.8	192.8	5.6	9.1	6	3	.04	1.3	31%	25%	.21	5%	1.8

Washington State's Power Ratings
Washington State's Power Rating: NR
Washington State's Offense Rating: NR
Washington State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Washington State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #57
Washington State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #49
Washington State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington State: California: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington State: 6.7 California: 3.4

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5 #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Washington State Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.3
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Washington State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
California 24
Washington State 23

Projected Total Points: 47

California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	California	42	Washington State	39	California -1.5	California	58.5	Over
2022	10/01	Washington State	28	California	9	Washington State -4	Washington State	52.5	Under
2021	10/02	California	6	Washington State	21	California -7.5	Washington State	52.5	Under
2019	11/09	California	33	Washington State	20	Washington State -8.5	California	51.5	Over
2018	11/03	Washington State	19	California	13	Washington State -7	California	51.0	Under
2017	10/13	California	37	Washington State	3	Washington State -16.5	California	54.5	Under
2016	11/12	Washington State	56	California	21	Washington State -16.5	Washington State	78.0	Under
2015	10/03	California	34	Washington State	28	California -13.5	Washington State	73.5	Under
2014	10/04	Washington State	59	California	60	Washington State -4	California	0
2013	10/05	California	22	Washington State	44	California -1.5	Washington State	0
2012	10/13	Washington State	17	California	31
2011	11/05	California	30	Washington State	7
2010	11/06	Washington State	13	California	20
2009	10/24	California	49	Washington State	17
2008	09/06	Washington State	3	California	66
2007	11/03	California	20	Washington State	17
2006	10/14	Washington State	3	California	21
2005	10/22	California	42	Washington State	38
2002	09/28	California	38	Washington State	48
2001	09/22	Washington State	51	California	20
2000	09/29	California	17	Washington State	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
California	13	5	2 Overs
Washington State	8	5	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 9	5 - 5	3 - 5	2 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 12	5 - 5	0 - 2	5 - 3

(#) WSU at (#) CAL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WSU	CAL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#57	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#87	#72
OffenseOff	#87	#74
DefenseDef	#75	#68
Spec TeamsST	#97	#58
TalentTal	#61	#40
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Washington State Injury Report

California Injury Report

Washington State on Offense


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#87	#68
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington State Run Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
Run GameRun	#41	#102
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#117	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#100

Washington State Pass Game


CategoryCat	WSU Off	CAL Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#31	#68
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

California on Offense


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#74	#75
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

California Run Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
Run GameRun	#27	#95
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#95	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#106

California Pass Game


CategoryCat	CAL Off	WSU Def
Pass GamePass	#44	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#59	#97
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

WSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
California -7.5 (52.5)
Washington State won at California this year (21-6)

Previous Matchups
California beat Washington State in 2023 (42-39)

WSU's OC Craig Stutzmann (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington State's Full Roster

WSU's DC Jake Dickert (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD