Northern Arizona at Arizona - 2021 Matchup Preview
Northern Arizona logo   Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Arizona -26.5 (53.5)
Northern Arizona 21 - Arizona: 19

 
Lumberjacks (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 38 (19 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ARIZ 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ ARIZ -13)
ARIZ Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Northern Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 Northern Arizona at Arizona+26.553.5W 21 - 19UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northern Arizona's Schedule
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%190%000%000%380%0%0000
ARIZ.0237%31.540%2.9616934%2132.53.2747%19.347%46%3.7558.82.40.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Offense019190%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Defense519.315.646.6%3.750.6 - - - - - 62%38%47%46%12%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAU Defense038380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ARIZ Offense531.534.937.1%2.532.4213821692134.648%52%40%34%19%.02

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northern Arizona00:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arizona527:5921.433%25%6.858.82.40.650.4023.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Offense00%0%000000%0%0
ARIZ Defense562%47% - - - - .212.8365%8%1.15
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAU Defense00%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ARIZ Offense548%40%36.8169.24.64.082.9664%12%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Offense00%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARIZ Defense538%46% - - - - - - 2.381.527%35%.424%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAU Defense00%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ARIZ Offense552%34%22.637.62135.79.467-.031.335%28%.157%1.7

Northern Arizona's Power Ratings
Northern Arizona's Power Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #150
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northern Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northern Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Northern Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Sky Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: -3.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northern Arizona:    Arizona: -12.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -3.8 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Northern Arizona Scoring
Offense: 19 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Northern Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 36
Northern Arizona 18

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Arizona22Northern Arizona10Arizona -43Northern Arizona65.0Under
202309/02Arizona38Northern Arizona3Arizona -28.5Arizona61.0Under
202109/18Arizona19Northern Arizona21Arizona -26.5Northern Arizona53.5Under
201909/07Arizona65Northern Arizona41Arizona -28Northern Arizona63.5Over
201709/02Arizona62Northern Arizona24Arizona -26.5Arizona0
201509/19Arizona77Northern Arizona13Arizona -35Arizona0
201308/30Arizona35Northern Arizona0Arizona -35Push0
201109/03Arizona41Northern Arizona10
200909/12Arizona34Northern Arizona17
200709/08Arizona45Northern Arizona24
200509/10Arizona31Northern Arizona12
200409/04Arizona21Northern Arizona3
200208/31Arizona37Northern Arizona3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona1231 Overs
Northern Arizona133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 13 - 33 - 30 - 0
Road Teams1 - 123 - 30 - 03 - 3

(#) NAU at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #113
Perf GradeGradeNR #133
OffenseOffNR #128
DefenseDefNR #130
Spec TeamsSTNR #128
TalentTal #150 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Northern Arizona on Offense
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northern Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRunNR #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Northern Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePassNR #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffNAU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128NR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffNAU Def
Run GameRun #102NR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffNAU Def
Pass GamePass #123NR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66NR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

NAU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Arizona -26.5 (53.5)
Northern Arizona won at Arizona this year (21-19)

Previous Matchups
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2024 (22-10)
Arizona beat Northern Arizona in 2023 (38-3)

  
NAU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northern Arizona's Full Roster

NAU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD