California at Stanford - 2021 Matchup Preview
California logo California Golden Bears at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, November 20th 2021 (7:00 PM EST)
California -2.5 (46.0)
California 41 - Stanford: 11  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (22 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN is playing their 4th straight game
CAL is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ CAL -13.5)
Projected Score: CAL: 27 - STAN: 18 (45)
CAL Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 31 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (92 - 37)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (17 - 36 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Stanford's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Stanford vs Kansas State+3.054.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/11 Stanford at USC+17.053.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Stanford at Vanderbilt-13.049.0W 41 - 23OY
Sat 9/25 Stanford vs UCLA+4.060.5L 24 - 35UN
Sat 10/2 Stanford vs Oregon+8.557.5W 31 - 24UY
Fri 10/8 Stanford at Arizona State+13.553.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 10/16 Stanford at Washington State+1.053.0L 31 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Stanford vs Washington-2.545.5L 13 - 20UN
Fri 11/5 Stanford vs Utah+10.052.0L 7 - 52ON
Sat 11/13 Stanford at Oregon State+12.556.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/20 Stanford vs California+2.546.0L 11 - 41ON
Sat 11/27 Stanford vs Notre Dame+20.553.0L 14 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.2344%23.850%3.5316439%2223.62.1743%22.347%41%3.0157.80.81.7
STAN.1339%20.436%2.698841%2153.22.3149%32.455%42%444.51.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL#79 (.17)42% (88)40% (104)2.68 (120)12243% (57)2593.07 (125)#48 (.14)40% (52)41% (53)40% (67)3.23 (20)59.70.81.7
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1223.821.843.8%3.620.8193861642224.948%52%50%39%13%.23
STAN Defense1232.436.249%40.8 - - - - - 56%44%55%42%13%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1222.325.343.4%3.011.7 - - - - - 47%52%47%41%16%.17
STAN Offense1220.416.738.9%3.221.617303882153.242%57%36%41%20%.13

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1230:251941%33%6.257.80.81.75.31.9226.3
Stanford1227:2416.734%60%6.344.51.60.84.31.3130
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1248%50%33.5164.24.917.273.5381%8%0.97
STAN Defense1256%55% - - - - .373.5771%7%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%47% - - - - .153.2583%9%0.94
STAN Offense1242%36%27.187.63.213.032.6964%13%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1252%39%19.631.8221.6711.3168.221.531%30%.295%1.9
STAN Defense1244%42% - - - - - - 6.251.427%32%.415%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1252%41% - - - - - - 13.231.532%32%.287%2.1
STAN Offense1257%41%19.931215.26.910.81612.221.533%26%.28%2.1

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    Stanford: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: 3.4   Stanford: -10.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.6 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2021 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #106
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #105
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #108

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


California Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
California 27
Stanford 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
California 26
Stanford 15

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
California 29
Stanford 21

Total Points: 50
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 20.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16.7
Defense: 32.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.2

Stanford's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Stanford31California10California -4.5Stanford47.5Under
202411/23California24Stanford21California -15Stanford53.5Under
202311/18Stanford15California27California -6.5California52.5Under
202211/19California27Stanford20California -5California46.0Over
202111/20Stanford11California41California -2.5California46.0Over
202011/27California23Stanford24Stanford -2California51.0Under
201911/23Stanford20California24California -1California41.5Over
201812/01California13Stanford23Stanford -3Stanford46.5Under
201711/18Stanford17California14Stanford -14California56.5Under
201611/19California31Stanford45Stanford -11Stanford60.5Over
201511/21Stanford35California22Stanford -12.5Stanford63.0Under
201411/22California17Stanford38Stanford -6.5Stanford0
201311/23Stanford63California13Stanford -28.5Stanford0
201210/20California3Stanford21
201111/19Stanford31California28
201011/20California14Stanford48
200911/21Stanford28California34
200811/22California37Stanford16
200712/01Stanford20California13
200612/02California26Stanford17
200511/19Stanford3California27
200411/20California41Stanford6
200311/22Stanford16California28
200111/17Stanford35California28
200011/17California30Stanford36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1474 Overs
California1167 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 135 - 83 - 22 - 6
Road Teams13 - 128 - 56 - 22 - 3

(#) CAL at (#) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #106
Perf GradeGrade #72 #124
OffenseOff #74 #108
DefenseDef #68 #131
Spec TeamsST #58 #39
TalentTal #40 #24
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #131
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #108
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #27 #135
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #102
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #44 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #100
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #108 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #127 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #80 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #97 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #101 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 61° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 12
California 2.5 (46.0)
California won at Stanford this year (41-11)

Previous Matchups
California beat Stanford last year (24-21)
California beat Stanford in 2023 (27-15)
California beat Stanford in 2022 (27-20)

  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD