BYU at Arizona - 2021 Matchup Preview
BYU logo (#11)BYU Cougars vs Arizona Wildcats(#18)Arizona logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
BYU -13.5 (54.0)
BYU 24 - Arizona: 16

 
Cougars (10 - 3) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Kalani Sitake (41 - 26)
Avg Score : 33 - 25 (30 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -11  (SP+ BYU -21.5)
Projected Score: BYU: 35 - ARIZ: 18 (53)
BYU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
BYU Travel: 2184 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (1 - 11) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (17 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
BYU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 BYU vs Arizona-13.554.0W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/11 BYU vs Utah+7.050.0W 26 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 BYU vs Arizona State+3.550.5W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/25 BYU vs South Florida-23.554.5W 35 - 27ON
Fri 10/1 BYU at Utah State-9.066.0W 34 - 20UY
Sat 10/9 BYU vs Boise State-6.058.0L 17 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 BYU at Baylor+5.552.5L 24 - 38ON
Sat 10/23 BYU at Washington State-3.556.5W 21 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 BYU vs Virginia-2.566.5W 66 - 49OY
Sat 11/6 BYU vs Idaho State-36.555.0W 59 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 BYU at Georgia Southern-20.057.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 11/27 BYU at USC-8.565.5W 35 - 31ON
Sat 12/18 BYU vs UAB-7.054.5L 28 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for BYU's Schedule
Arizona's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arizona vs BYU+13.554.0L 16 - 24UY
Sat 9/11 Arizona vs San Diego State-1.546.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/18 Arizona vs Northern Arizona-26.553.5L 19 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona at Oregon+29.558.5L 19 - 41OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9 Arizona vs UCLA+16.060.0L 16 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Arizona at Colorado+6.046.5L 0 - 34UN
Fri 10/22 Arizona vs Washington+17.545.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 10/30 Arizona at USC+22.055.5L 34 - 41OY
Sat 11/6 Arizona vs California+7.047.0W 10 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona vs Utah+24.054.5L 29 - 38OY
Fri 11/19 Arizona at Washington State+15.052.5L 18 - 44ON
Sat 11/27 Arizona at Arizona State+20.052.5L 15 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU.3650%33.152%3.2918949%2644.24.2347%24.846%47%4.0741.50.91.5
ARIZ.0439%17.242%2.8413037%2262.56.2442%31.444%39%4.670.41.90.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BYU#51 (.22)45% (44)47% (30)3.23 (37)14843% (59)2163.73 (88)#41 (.13)41% (65)46% (99)37% (28)3.79 (68)371.42.1
ARIZ#93 (.15)39% (117)37% (126)2.64 (123)10740% (91)2483.53 (101)#109 (.24)45% (100)45% (90)44% (109)4.55 (125)57.61.71.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Offense1333.129.650.3%4.240.9234531892645.152%47%52%49%14%.36
ARIZ Defense1231.425.842.1%4.60.6 - - - - - 57%43%44%39%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BYU Defense1324.82546.5%4.071.5 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%16%.23
ARIZ Offense1217.217.338.9%2.561.9213561302263.746%53%42%37%17%.04

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
BYU1329:1723.246%67%5.141.50.91.54.91.5128.5
Arizona1230:1320.732%64%8.870.41.90.65.81.8225.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Offense1352%52%36.91895.130.343.2978%9%1.1
ARIZ Defense1257%44% - - - - .173.1176%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BYU Defense1351%46% - - - - .193.0771%9%1
ARIZ Offense1246%42%35.5129.73.76.082.8472%12%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Offense1347%49%19.529.9264.18.813.6265.41.627%31%.295%2
ARIZ Defense1243%39% - - - - - - 4.361.932%32%.396%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BYU Defense1349%47% - - - - - - 15.281.328%30%.337%1.9
ARIZ Offense1253%37%22.337226.36.110.11218.051.434%26%.225%2.1

BYU's Power Ratings
BYU's Power Rating: NR
BYU's Offense Rating: NR
BYU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #94
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
BYU's 2021 Expected Record: -
BYU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9  #44
BYU's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.2  #14
BYU's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
BYU:    Arizona: -6.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
BYU: 8.9   Arizona: -12.6




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: -6.3 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #68
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.2  #120
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #102

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


BYU Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25

BYU's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
BYU 35
Arizona 18

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
BYU 41
Arizona 15

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
BYU 30
Arizona 21

Total Points: 51
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 17.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.3
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

Arizona's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Arizona27BYU33BYU -2.5BYU46.5Over
202410/12BYU41Arizona19BYU -3BYU48.5Over
202109/04Arizona16BYU24BYU -13.5Arizona54.0Under
201809/01Arizona23BYU28Arizona -10BYU60.5Under
201609/03Arizona16BYU18Arizona -2.5BYU63.5Under
200812/20Arizona31BYU21
200709/01BYU20Arizona7
200609/02Arizona16BYU13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona212 Overs
BYU643 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 42 - 31 - 21 - 1
Road Teams4 - 43 - 21 - 12 - 1

(#) BYU at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBYUARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #113
Perf GradeGrade #21 #133
OffenseOff #3 #128
DefenseDef #85 #130
Spec TeamsST #32 #128
TalentTal #94 #68
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
BYU on Offense
CategoryCat
BYU OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #3 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #14 #102
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
BYU Run Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #42 #112
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #9 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
BYU Pass Game
CategoryCat
BYU OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #21 #134
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #2 #95
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffBYU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #128 #85
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #120 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffBYU Def
Run GameRun #102 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #103
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffBYU Def
Pass GamePass #123 #43
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #66 #120
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BYU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
BYU 13.5 (54.0)
BYU won at Arizona this year (24-16)

Previous Matchups
BYU beat Arizona last year (41-19)

  
BYU's OC Aaron Roderick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View BYU's Full Roster

BYU's DC Ilaisa Tuiaki (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Don Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD