USC at California - 2021 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at California Golden Bears  California logo
Saturday, December 4th 2021 (11:00 PM EST)
California -4.5 (57.5)
California 24 - USC: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 8th straight game
USC is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ CAL -4)
Projected Score: USC: 29 - CAL: 26 (55)
CAL Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 347 miles
Golden Bears (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (22 - 23)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (27 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
California's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 California vs Nevada-2.552.5L 17 - 22UN
Sat 9/11 California at TCU+11.546.5L 32 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 California vs Sacramento State-24.549.0W 42 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 California at Washington+7.547.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 California vs Washington State-7.552.5L 6 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15 California at Oregon+13.553.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 10/23 California vs Colorado-8.044.0W 26 - 3UY
Sat 10/30 California vs Oregon State+2.556.5W 39 - 25OY
Sat 11/6 California at Arizona-7.047.0L 3 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 California vs USC+2.052.5
Sat 11/20 California at Stanford-2.546.0W 41 - 11OY
Sat 11/27 California at UCLA+6.558.5L 14 - 42UN
Sat 12/4 California vs USC-4.557.5W 24 - 14UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
CAL.0739%25.344%2.7512734%1933.9.1849%27.248%49%3.8533.81.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense635.827.446.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18
CAL Defense427.224.348.6%3.851.3 - - - - - 55%45%48%49%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense62328.840.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
CAL Offense425.327.238.5%3.91.3183201271933.447%53%44%34%17%.07

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
California430:4118.337%50%4.333.81.31.351.8025.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64
CAL Defense455%48% - - - - .073.0875%9%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
CAL Offense447%44%37126.83.44.112.7562%12%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2
CAL Defense445%49% - - - - - - 3.311.524%32%.366%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
CAL Offense453%34%21.334.8192.85.69.163.041.331%25%.215%1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    California: 4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: -0.6   California: 3.4




California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: 4.2 NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #40
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
California's 2021 Expected Record: -
California's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #68
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.5  #78
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 29
California 26

Projected Total Points: 55
California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

California's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28California49USC50USC -10.5California67.5Over
202211/05USC41California35USC -21.5California60.5Over
202112/04California24USC14California -4.5California57.5Under
201911/16California17USC41USC -4.5USC47.5Over
201811/10USC14California15USC -5.5California45.5Under
201709/23California20USC30USC -17California63.0Under
201610/27USC45California24USC -14.5USC73.0Under
201510/31California21USC27USC -4USC69.0Under
201411/13USC38California30USC -12California0
201311/09California28USC62USC -17USC0
201209/22USC27California9
201110/13California9USC30
201010/16USC48California14
200910/03California3USC30
200811/08USC17California3
200711/10California17USC24
200611/18USC23California9
200511/12California10USC35
200410/09USC23California17
200309/27California34USC31
200210/12USC30California28
200111/10California14USC55
200010/27USC16California28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
California463 Overs
USC1945 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 124 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 116 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) USC at (#) CAL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCCAL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #68
Perf GradeGrade #41 #72
OffenseOff #23 #74
DefenseDef #104 #68
Spec TeamsST #92 #58
TalentTal #10 #40
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffCAL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #43 #102
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #100
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #49 #35
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCatCAL OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #27 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #95 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
California Pass Game
CategoryCatCAL OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #44 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #59 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in California Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 14
California -4.5 (57.5)
California won vs USC this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
USC beat California in 2023 (50-49)

  
USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD