San José State at USC - 2021 Matchup Preview
San José State logo San José State Spartans at USC Trojans(#16)USC logo
Saturday, September 4th 2021 (5:00 PM EDT)
USC -13.5 (61.0)
USC 30 - San José State: 7

 
Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3  (SP+ USC -1)
Projected Score: SJSU: 23 - USC: 25 (48)
USC Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
SJSU Travel: 304 miles
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (31 - 38 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
San José State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 San José State vs Southern Utah-28.057.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 9/4 San José State at USC+13.561.0L 7 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19 San José State at Hawai'i-8.062.5W 17 - 13UN
Sat 9/25 San José State at Western Michigan+2.561.5L 3 - 23UN
Sat 10/2 San José State vs New Mexico State-25.551.5W 37 - 31ON
Sat 10/9 San José State at Colorado State+3.544.0L 14 - 32ON
Fri 10/15 San José State vs San Diego State+10.041.0L 13 - 19UY
Thu 10/21 San José State at UNLV-6.044.0W 27 - 20OY
Sat 10/30 San José State vs Wyoming-3.040.0W 27 - 21OY
Sat 11/6 San José State at Nevada+11.555.5L 24 - 27UY
Sat 11/13 San José State vs Utah State-4.558.0L 17 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25 San José State vs Fresno State+7.052.5L 9 - 40UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU.1140%2044%2.8812136%2203.1.1542%26.543%42%3.7665.221.1
USC.1946%28.750%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%31.846%51%4.5174.61.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SJSU#71 (.18)44% (56)41% (98)2.27 (133)8846% (28)3223.6 (96)#27 (.1)41% (57)42% (66)39% (47)3.58 (44)61.52.22.2
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Offense122015.339.7%3.12173401212204.146%54%44%36%23%.11
USC Defense1231.838.147.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SJSU Defense1226.524.242.4%3.761.1 - - - - - 49%51%43%42%21%.15
USC Offense1228.730.946.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
San José State1226:4416.835%33%7.365.221.16.72.3128.2
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense1246%44%29.3120.54.112.062.8856%14%0.93
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense1249%43% - - - - .073.173%13%0.72
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense1254%36%17.333.5219.76.612.71510.151.634%31%.289%2.1
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense1251%42% - - - - - - 6.241.531%27%.239%2
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9  #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State:    USC: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9   USC: -0.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


San José State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.2

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 25
San José State 23

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 21
San José State 20

Total Points: 41

Based on Entire Season
USC 28
San José State 26

Total Points: 54
USC Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.1

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202308/26USC56San José State28USC -31.5San José State66.0Over
202109/04USC30San José State7USC -13.5USC61.0Under
200909/05USC56San José State3
200109/01USC21San José State10
200009/22USC34San José State24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC511 Overs
San José State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 51 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) SJSU at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSJSUUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #81
Perf GradeGrade #103 #41
OffenseOff #124 #23
DefenseDef #59 #104
Spec TeamsST #81 #92
TalentTal #103 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
San José State on Offense
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #124 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
San José State Run Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #73 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
San José State Pass Game
CategoryCat
SJSU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #111 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #114 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffSJSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #59
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSJSU Def
Run GameRun #43 #72
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #32
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffSJSU Def
Pass GamePass #49 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #33
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
USC -13.5 (61.0)
USC won vs San José State this year (30-7)

Previous Matchups
USC beat San José State in 2023 (56-28)

  
SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD