San José State at UNLV - 2021 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 21st 2021 (11:00 PM EDT)
San José State -6 (44.0)
San José State 27 - UNLV: 20 (Mountain West)

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNLV 2nd straight Home Game
SJSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ SJSU -12)
Projected Score: SJSU: 24 - UNLV: 35 (59)
SJSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
SJSU Travel: 2768 miles

Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (37 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
UNLV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

UNLV's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	UNLV vs Eastern Washington	+2.0	66.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UNLV at Arizona State	+34.5	55.5	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UNLV vs Iowa State	+32.0	53.0	L 3 - 48	U	N
Fri 9/24	UNLV at Fresno State	+30.0	59.0	L 30 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/2	UNLV at UTSA	+21.5	55.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	UNLV vs Utah State	+7.5	64.0	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Thu 10/21	UNLV vs San José State	+6.0	44.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/29	UNLV at Nevada	+19.0	58.0	L 20 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/6	UNLV at New Mexico	+1.5	45.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UNLV vs Hawai'i	+3.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/19	UNLV vs San Diego State	+11.0	41.0	L 20 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UNLV at Air Force	+18.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.2	43%	21.4	38%	2.46	133	46%	298	3.03	.13	41%	32.5	40%	41%	2.06	56.9	1.1	1.4
UNLV	.11	38%	34.1	43%	3.06	140	33%	186	3.04	.34	48%	28	54%	41%	4.13	54	1.5	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	8	21.4	17	42.7%	3.03	1.1	21	431	133	298	4.5	44%	56%	38%	46%	14%	.2
UNLV Defense	6	28	29.7	47.9%	4.13	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	54%	41%	13%	.34

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	8	32.5	35.5	40.8%	2.06	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	41%	16%	.13
UNLV Offense	6	34.1	36.8	37.7%	3.04	1.5	19	326	140	186	3.8	46%	54%	43%	33%	22%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	8	29:27	20.5	38%	38%	6.8	56.9	1.1	1.4	6.6	3.1	2	40.9
UNLV	6	29:16	18.7	37%	67%	6.5	54	1.5	0.8	5.2	2.3	0	26

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	8	44%	38%	29.5	132.5	4.5	8	-	2.46	46%	8%	0.96
UNLV Defense	6	54%	54%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.56	72%	9%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	8	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.84	62%	11%	0.96
UNLV Offense	6	46%	43%	37.2	140.2	3.8	7	.16	3.06	90%	15%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	8	56%	46%	22.9	36	298.4	8.3	13	19	9	.35	1.7	29%	34%	.49	6%	2.3
UNLV Defense	6	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.25	1.6	30%	34%	.45	4%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	8	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.2	1.5	33%	33%	.2	4%	1.7
UNLV Offense	6	54%	33%	19.2	32.7	185.8	5.7	9.7	6	4	.06	1.4	36%	28%	.27	7%	2

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: UNLV: -4.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 UNLV: -13.8

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: -4.4 NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 35
San José State 24

Projected Total Points: 59

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.8
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.7

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/22	San José State	16	UNLV	27	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	59.5	Under
2023	11/25	UNLV	31	San José State	37	UNLV -3.5	San José State	58.5	Over
2022	10/07	San José State	40	UNLV	7	San José State -6.5	San José State	51.5	Under
2021	10/21	UNLV	20	San José State	27	San José State -6	San José State	44.0	Over
2020	11/14	San José State	34	UNLV	17	San José State -17.0	Push	62.0	Under
2019	11/23	UNLV	38	San José State	35	San José State -7	UNLV	65.5	Over
2018	10/27	San José State	50	UNLV	37	San José State -2.5	San José State	57.5	Over
2017	09/30	UNLV	41	San José State	13	UNLV -16.5	UNLV	63.0	Under
2016	10/29	San José State	30	UNLV	24	UNLV -3	San José State	55.0	Under
2015	10/10	UNLV	27	San José State	33	San José State -3	San José State	50.0	Over
2014	10/04	San José State	33	UNLV	10	San José State -10.5	San José State	0
2013	11/02	UNLV	24	San José State	34	San José State -2.5	San José State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UNLV	3	3	5 Overs
San José State	9	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	5 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) SJSU at (#) UNLV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	UNLV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#116
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#107
OffenseOff	#124	#109
DefenseDef	#59	#93
Spec TeamsST	#81	#34
TalentTal	#103	#108
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San José State Injury Report

UNLV Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#73	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#107

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#114	#94
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#110	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#123	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Allegiant Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
San José State 6.0 (44.0)
San José State won at UNLV this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat San José State in 2024 (27-16)
San José State beat UNLV in 2023 (37-31)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD