Stanford at USC - 2021 Matchup Preview
Stanford logo   Stanford Cardinal at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -17 (53.0)
Stanford 42 - USC: 28  (Pac-12)

 
Cardinal (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (92 - 37)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (13 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Road Game
USC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ USC -10)
Projected Score: STAN: 18 - USC: 35 (53)
USC Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
STAN Travel: 321 miles
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Stanford's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Stanford vs Kansas State+3.054.5L 7 - 24UN
Sat 9/11 Stanford at USC+17.053.0W 42 - 28OY
Sat 9/18 Stanford at Vanderbilt-13.049.0W 41 - 23OY
Sat 9/25 Stanford vs UCLA+4.060.5L 24 - 35UN
Sat 10/2 Stanford vs Oregon+8.557.5W 31 - 24UY
Fri 10/8 Stanford at Arizona State+13.553.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 10/16 Stanford at Washington State+1.053.0L 31 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Stanford vs Washington-2.545.5L 13 - 20UN
Fri 11/5 Stanford vs Utah+10.052.0L 7 - 52ON
Sat 11/13 Stanford at Oregon State+12.556.5L 14 - 35UN
Sat 11/20 Stanford vs California+2.546.0L 11 - 41ON
Sat 11/27 Stanford vs Notre Dame+20.553.0L 14 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN.2749%18.847%3.1713252%2883.28.3250%29.253%45%3.9456.80.71.2
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
STAN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Offense618.812.549.4%3.280.7224191322884.145%55%47%52%13%.27
USC Defense62317.940.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
STAN Defense629.232.349.7%3.941.2 - - - - - 59%41%53%45%13%.32
USC Offense635.84346.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Stanford631:3421.748%86%5.856.80.71.24.81.3028.4
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Offense645%47%32.3131.74.115.183.1783%7%0.9
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
STAN Defense659%53% - - - - .243.4270%9%1
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Offense655%52%23.836.7287.77.912.173.351.427%43%.656%2
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
STAN Defense641%45% - - - - - - 2.431.727%41%.614%2
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Stanford's 2021 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2  #106
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #105
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #108

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Stanford:    USC: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Stanford: -10.2   USC: -0.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.5
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

Stanford's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 35
Stanford 18

Projected Total Points: 53
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09USC56Stanford10USC -28.5USC70.5Under
202209/10Stanford28USC41USC -9.5USC66.5Over
202109/11USC28Stanford42USC -17Stanford53.0Over
201909/07USC45Stanford20USC -3USC43.0Over
201809/08Stanford17USC3Stanford -4.5Stanford54.5Under
201712/01USC31Stanford28USC -3.5Stanford58.5Over
201709/09USC42Stanford24USC -4USC54.5Over
201609/17Stanford27USC10Stanford -6.5Stanford48.5Under
201509/19USC31Stanford41USC -8Stanford51.0Over
201512/05Stanford41USC22Stanford -4Stanford59.0Over
201409/06Stanford10USC13Stanford -4USC0
201311/16USC20Stanford17Stanford -3USC0
201209/15Stanford21USC14
201110/29USC48Stanford56
201010/09Stanford37USC35
200911/14USC21Stanford55
200811/15Stanford23USC45
200710/06USC23Stanford24
200611/04Stanford0USC42
200511/05USC51Stanford21
200409/25Stanford28USC31
200310/11USC44Stanford21
200211/09Stanford17USC49
200109/29USC16Stanford21
200010/20Stanford32USC30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1367 Overs
Stanford1263 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 56 - 41 - 1
Road Teams12 - 135 - 71 - 14 - 6

(#) STAN at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSTANUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #106 #81
Perf GradeGrade #124 #41
OffenseOff #108 #23
DefenseDef #131 #104
Spec TeamsST #39 #92
TalentTal #24 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCat
STAN OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #108 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #127 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #80 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #97 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #101 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffSTAN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #131
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #108
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #43 #135
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #102
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #49 #81
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #100
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
USC -17.0 (53.0)
Stanford won at USC this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Stanford in 2023 (56-10)

  
STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD