New Mexico State at San José State

New Mexico State at San José State - 2021 Matchup Preview

New Mexico State Aggies at San José State Spartans

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
San José State -25.5 (51.5)
San José State 37 - New Mexico State: 31

Aggies (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Martin (23 - 67)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NMSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13.5 (SP+ SJSU -22)
Projected Score: NMSU: 26 - SJSU: 28 (54)
SJSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
NMSU Travel: 925 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (26 - 30 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NMSU Players
SJSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

New Mexico State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	New Mexico State vs UTEP	+9.5	59.0	L 3 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/4	New Mexico State at San Diego State	+31.0	51.0	L 10 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/11	New Mexico State at New Mexico	+19.5	55.5	L 25 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/18	New Mexico State vs South Carolina State	-3.5	54.5	W 43 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/25	New Mexico State vs Hawai'i	+17.0	63.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/2	New Mexico State at San José State	+25.5	51.5	L 31 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/9	New Mexico State at Nevada	+28.5	64.5	L 28 - 55	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	New Mexico State at Hawai'i	+18.0	62.5	L 34 - 48	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	New Mexico State vs Utah State	+18.0	72.0	L 13 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	New Mexico State at Alabama	+50.0	67.0	L 3 - 59	U	N
Sat 11/20	New Mexico State at Kentucky	+35.5	61.0	L 16 - 56	O	N
Sat 11/27	New Mexico State vs Massachusetts	-7.0	58.5	W 44 - 27	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU	-.12	27%	21.6	43%	2.11	0	23%	0	1.11	.38	39%	27.6	46%	33%	3.15	0	0	0
SJSU	.2	43%	21.4	38%	2.46	133	46%	298	3.03	.13	41%	32.5	40%	41%	2.06	56.9	1.1	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NMSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Offense	0	21.6	20	27.3%	1.11	0	0	0	0	0	0	32%	59%	43%	23%	0%	-.12
SJSU Defense	8	32.5	29.5	40.8%	2.06	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	41%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NMSU Defense	0	27.6	37.5	39.1%	3.15	0	-	-	-	-	-	52%	46%	46%	33%	0%	.38
SJSU Offense	8	21.4	25.8	42.7%	3.03	1.1	21	431	133	298	4.5	44%	56%	38%	46%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
New Mexico State	0	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	25.5
San José State	8	29:27	20.5	38%	38%	6.8	56.9	1.1	1.4	6.6	3.1	2	40.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense	0	32%	43%	0	0	0	0	-.1	2.11	50%	0%	0.49
SJSU Defense	8	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.84	62%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense	0	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.69	2.97	100%	0%	2.13
SJSU Offense	8	44%	38%	29.5	132.5	4.5	8	-	2.46	46%	8%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense	0	59%	23%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-.07	1.8	27%	0%	-.53	0%	0
SJSU Defense	8	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.2	1.5	33%	33%	.2	4%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense	0	46%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.07	1.4	43%	25%	.46	0%	3
SJSU Offense	8	56%	46%	22.9	36	298.4	8.3	13	19	9	.35	1.7	29%	34%	.49	6%	2.3

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2 #129
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.7 #130

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: San José State: 1.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.2 San José State: -1.9

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: 1.55 NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
San José State 28
New Mexico State 26

Projected Total Points: 54

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.8
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/02	San José State	37	New Mexico State	31	San José State -25.5	New Mexico State	51.5	Over
2012	11/10	New Mexico State	7	San José State	47
2011	09/24	San José State	34	New Mexico State	24
2010	10/30	New Mexico State	29	San José State	27
2009	11/28	San José State	13	New Mexico State	10
2008	10/18	New Mexico State	14	San José State	31
2007	11/10	San José State	51	New Mexico State	17
2006	11/04	New Mexico State	21	San José State	31
2005	11/19	San José State	27	New Mexico State	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
San José State	8	0	1 Overs
New Mexico State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 6	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) NMSU at (#) SJSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NMSU	SJSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#85
Perf GradeGrade	#135	#103
OffenseOff	#130	#124
DefenseDef	#136	#59
Spec TeamsST	#109	#81
TalentTal	#147	#103
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

New Mexico State Injury Report

San José State Injury Report

New Mexico State on Offense


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#130	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#112	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

New Mexico State Run Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

New Mexico State Pass Game


CategoryCat	NMSU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#103	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#135	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#136
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#130
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
Run GameRun	#73	#133
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#136

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NMSU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#135
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
San José State -25.5 (51.5)
San José State won vs New Mexico State this year (37-31)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

NMSU's OC Doug Martin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Frank Spaziani (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD