UCLA at USC - 2021 Matchup Preview
UCLA logo   UCLA Bruins at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, November 20th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
UCLA -4.5 (66.5)
UCLA 62 - USC: 33  (Pac-12)

 
Bruins (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (12 - 22)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (17 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ UCLA -10)
Projected Score: UCLA: 19 - USC: 36 (55)
UCLA Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UCLA Travel: 12 miles
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCLA's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 UCLA vs Hawai'i-17.567.0W 44 - 10UY
Sat 9/4 UCLA vs LSU+2.064.0W 38 - 27OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/18 UCLA vs Fresno State-11.064.0L 37 - 40ON
Sat 9/25 UCLA at Stanford-4.060.5W 35 - 24UY
Sat 10/2 UCLA vs Arizona State-3.056.5L 23 - 42ON
Sat 10/9 UCLA at Arizona-16.060.0W 34 - 16UY
Sat 10/16 UCLA at Washington+1.555.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 UCLA vs Oregon-1.062.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/30 UCLA at Utah+6.060.5L 24 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13 UCLA vs Colorado-18.057.5W 44 - 20OY
Sat 11/20 UCLA at USC-4.566.5W 62 - 33OY
Sat 11/27 UCLA vs California-6.558.5W 42 - 14UY
Tue 12/28 UCLA vs NC State+2.060.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA.2546%18.247%2.8823145%2243.96.1647%33.453%42%3.4453.41.91.4
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Offense718.216.846%3.961.9254552312245.159%41%47%45%17%.25
USC Defense62317.940.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCLA Defense733.432.247.1%3.441.4 - - - - - 47%53%53%42%16%.16
USC Offense635.84346.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCLA728:4924.645%41%6.953.41.91.46.63.1028.2
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense759%47%45.6230.65.113.162.8864%11%1.05
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense747%53% - - - - .143.0675%10%0.82
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense741%45%18.628.6224.47.912.1186.391.630%32%.426%2.1
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense753%42% - - - - - - 8.171.531%36%.386%1.9
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #23
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCLA's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4  #41
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #76

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA:    USC: 2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 9.4   USC: -0.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 2.2 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UCLA's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
UCLA 19

Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29USC29UCLA10USC -21.0UCLA59.0Under
202411/23UCLA13USC19USC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38USC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27USC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35USC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28
201111/26USC50UCLA0
201012/04UCLA14USC28
200911/28USC28UCLA7
200812/06UCLA7USC28
200712/01USC24UCLA7
200612/02UCLA13USC9
200512/03USC66UCLA19
200412/04UCLA24USC29
200311/22USC47UCLA22
200111/17USC27UCLA0
200011/17UCLA35USC38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1865 Overs
UCLA775 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 149 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#) UCLA at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCLAUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #81
Perf GradeGrade #69 #41
OffenseOff #50 #23
DefenseDef #98 #104
Spec TeamsST #106 #92
TalentTal #23 #10
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #50 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #12 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #7 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #42 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #57 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #61 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffUCLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #98
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #76
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #43 #108
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #66
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #49 #58
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #8 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
UCLA 4.5 (66.5)
UCLA won at USC this year (62-33)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (29-10)
USC beat UCLA in 2024 (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)

  
UCLA's OC Justin Frye (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Jerry Azzinaro (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD