USC at Arizona State - 2021 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at Arizona State Sun Devils  Arizona State logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (10:30 PM EDT)
Arizona State -10 (61.0)
Arizona State 31 - USC: 16  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Donte Williams (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ASU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ ASU -12)
Projected Score: USC: 27 - ASU: 25 (52)
ASU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
USC Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs behind
Sun Devils (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Herm Edwards (19 - 14)
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 USC vs San José State-13.561.0W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 USC vs Stanford-17.053.0L 28 - 42ON
Sat 9/18 USC at Washington State-7.061.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/25 USC vs Oregon State-11.062.5L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/2 USC at Colorado-9.050.5W 37 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 USC vs Utah-3.052.5L 26 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 USC at Notre Dame+8.059.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 10/30 USC vs Arizona-22.055.5W 41 - 34ON
Sat 11/6 USC at Arizona State+10.061.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/13 USC at California-2.052.5
Sat 11/20 USC vs UCLA+4.566.5L 33 - 62ON
Sat 11/27 USC vs BYU+8.565.5L 31 - 35OY
Sat 12/4 USC at California+4.557.5L 14 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Arizona State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Arizona State vs Southern Utah-44.556.5W 41 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Arizona State vs UNLV-34.555.5W 37 - 10UN
Sat 9/18 Arizona State at BYU-3.550.5L 17 - 27UN
Sat 9/25 Arizona State vs Colorado-13.545.5W 35 - 13OY
Sat 10/2 Arizona State at UCLA+3.056.5W 42 - 23OY
Fri 10/8 Arizona State vs Stanford-13.553.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 10/16 Arizona State at Utah+1.051.0L 21 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Arizona State vs Washington State-16.555.5L 21 - 34UN
Sat 11/6 Arizona State vs USC-10.061.0W 31 - 16UY
Sat 11/13 Arizona State at Washington-6.045.5W 35 - 30ON
Sat 11/20 Arizona State at Oregon State-2.559.0L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Arizona State vs Arizona-20.052.5W 38 - 15OY
Thu 12/30 Arizona State vs Wisconsin+8.542.5L 13 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1846%35.844%2.419747%3193.92.1841%2340%41%3.7971.81.82.5
ASU.347%25.854%3.5126536%1943.68.1545%24.552%38%3.3654.513.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense635.827.446.2%3.921.822417973193.239%61%44%47%17%.18
ASU Defense424.521.444.8%3.363.3 - - - - - 50%50%52%38%18%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense62328.840.8%3.792.5 - - - - - 52%48%40%41%17%.18
ASU Offense425.824.746.7%3.681204592651946.459%41%54%36%15%.3

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC630:1422.344%67%6.771.81.82.55.72.2035.4
Arizona State429:1820.347%33%754.513.362.3134.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense639%44%30.797.33.28-.142.4161%10%0.64
ASU Defense450%52% - - - - .112.9369%10%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense652%40% - - - - .12.9157%11%1.05
ASU Offense459%54%41.3264.56.416.393.5171%11%1.27

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense661%47%29.743.8319.37.310.8177.381.530%35%.367%2
ASU Defense450%38% - - - - - - 5.21.632%33%.398%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense648%41% - - - - - - 9.261.632%28%.366%2
ASU Offense441%36%12.821.8194.38.915.251.161.731%31%.354%2

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2021 Expected Record: -
USC's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.6  #81
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.3  #45
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #107

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Arizona State: 8.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: -0.6   Arizona State: 11.8




Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: 8.4 NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8  #26
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #36
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #24

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 27
Arizona State 25

Projected Total Points: 52
Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.4

Arizona State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Arizona State28USC42USC -34.5Arizona State62.0Over
202210/01USC42Arizona State25USC -24.5Arizona State61.0Over
202111/06Arizona State31USC16Arizona State -10Arizona State61.0Under
202011/07USC28Arizona State27USC -11.5Arizona State56.5Under
201911/09Arizona State26USC31USC -5NA54.0Over
201810/27USC35Arizona State38USC -3Arizona State52.5Over
201710/28Arizona State17USC48USC -4.5USC58.5Over
201610/01USC41Arizona State20USC -8USC63.5Under
201509/26Arizona State14USC42USC -6USC62.0Under
201410/04USC34Arizona State38USC -10.5Arizona State0
201309/28Arizona State62USC41Arizona State -5Arizona State0
201211/10USC38Arizona State17
201109/24Arizona State43USC22
201011/06USC34Arizona State33
200911/07Arizona State9USC14
200810/11USC28Arizona State0
200711/22Arizona State24USC44
200610/14USC28Arizona State21
200510/01Arizona State28USC38
200410/16USC45Arizona State7
200310/04Arizona State17USC37
200110/13USC48Arizona State17
200011/03Arizona State38USC44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona State575 Overs
USC1834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#) USC at (#) ASU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCASU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #26
Perf GradeGrade #41 #55
OffenseOff #23 #45
DefenseDef #104 #68
Spec TeamsST #92 #105
TalentTal #10 #26
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #23 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #45 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Run GameRun #43 #79
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #27
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Pass GamePass #49 #36
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #8 #85
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCatASU OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #45 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #107
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #11 #93
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #19 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCatASU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #73 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ASU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

USC 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Devil Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Arizona State -10.0 (61.0)
Arizona State won vs USC this year (31-16)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)

  
USC's OC Graham Harrell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ASU's OC Zak Hill (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona State's Full Roster

ASU's DC Antonio Pierce (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD