San José State at Western Michigan

San José State at Western Michigan - 2021 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Western Michigan Broncos

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -2.5 (61.5)
Western Michigan 23 - San José State: 3

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 20 - 27 (15 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 14.9 MPH
SJSU 3rd straight Road Game
WMU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ WMU -3)
Projected Score: SJSU: 20 - WMU: 28 (48)
WMU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
SJSU Travel: 1940 miles, 3 hrs behind

Broncos (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (26 - 21)
Avg Score : 33 - 28 (35 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
WMU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Western Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Western Michigan at Michigan	+16.5	65.5	L 14 - 47	U	N
Sat 9/11	Western Michigan vs Illinois State	-12.5	56.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Western Michigan at Pittsburgh	+14.0	59.0	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Western Michigan vs San José State	-2.5	61.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-7.0	59.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-13.0	57.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/16	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	68.5	W 64 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	-1.5	54.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-9.0	64.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/9	Western Michigan vs Akron	-24.5	62.0	W 45 - 40	O	N
Tue 11/16	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-6.0	66.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Tue 11/23	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	-6.5	60.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Mon 12/27	Western Michigan vs Nevada	-7.0	56.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.11	40%	20	44%	2.88	121	36%	220	3.1	.15	42%	26.5	43%	42%	3.76	65.2	2	1.1
WMU	.31	50%	32.5	52%	3.54	214	47%	254	4.16	.22	39%	28.2	43%	35%	3.72	58.9	1.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	#71 (.18)	44% (56)		41% (98)	2.27 (133)	88	46% (28)	322	3.6 (96)	#27 (.1)	41% (57)		42% (66)	39% (47)	3.58 (44)	61.5	2.2	2.2
WMU	#43 (.24)	45% (33)		45% (59)	3.05 (62)	184	46% (27)	187	4.11 (49)	#122 (.29)	49% (128)		48% (115)	51% (132)	4.38 (119)	39.2	1	1.6

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	12	20	15.3	39.7%	3.1	2	17	340	121	220	4.1	46%	54%	44%	36%	23%	.11
WMU Defense	13	28.2	26.8	38.9%	3.72	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	43%	35%	22%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	12	26.5	24.2	42.4%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	42%	21%	.15
WMU Offense	13	32.5	35	49.9%	4.16	1.2	25	468	214	254	4.7	58%	42%	52%	47%	13%	.31

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	12	26:44	16.8	35%	33%	7.3	65.2	2	1.1	6.7	2.3	1	28.2
Western Michigan	13	35:17	24.8	46%	46%	6.8	58.9	1.2	1.3	7.5	3.3	2	28.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	12	46%	44%	29.3	120.5	4.1	12	.06	2.88	56%	14%	0.93
WMU Defense	13	51%	43%	-	-	-	-	.21	2.82	71%	16%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	3.1	73%	13%	0.72
WMU Offense	13	58%	52%	45.4	214.1	4.7	31	.28	3.54	67%	8%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	12	54%	36%	17.3	33.5	219.7	6.6	12.7	15	10	.15	1.6	34%	31%	.28	9%	2.1
WMU Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.23	1.8	35%	26%	.22	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	12	51%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.24	1.5	31%	27%	.23	9%	2
WMU Offense	13	42%	47%	17.9	28.3	253.6	9	14.2	23	6	.4	1.7	25%	35%	.47	6%	2.2

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: Western Michigan: 2.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 Western Michigan: 0.6

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: 2.8 NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #76
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

San José State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.2

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 28
San José State 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Michigan 26
San José State 16

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Western Michigan 30
San José State 23

Total Points: 53

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 35
Defense: 28.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

Western Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	09/24	San José State	34	Western Michigan	6	San José State -6.5	San José State	49.0	Under
2021	09/25	Western Michigan	23	San José State	3	Western Michigan -2.5	Western Michigan	61.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Western Michigan	1	1	0 Overs
San José State	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#) SJSU at (#) WMU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	WMU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#76
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#45
OffenseOff	#124	#18
DefenseDef	#59	#88
Spec TeamsST	#81	#134
TalentTal	#103	#106
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San José State Injury Report

Western Michigan Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	WMU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#73	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#121

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#116
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#114	#7
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#67	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#26	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 66° - Wind: 15 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Western Michigan -2.5 (61.5)
Western Michigan won vs San José State this year (23-3)

Previous Matchups
San José State beat Western Michigan in 2022 (34-6)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WMU's OC Mike Bath (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD