San José State at Nevada - 2021 Matchup Preview

San José State Spartans at Nevada Wolf Pack

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -11.5 (55.5)
Nevada 27 - San José State: 24 (Mountain West)

Spartans (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Brent Brennan (17 - 31)
Avg Score : 21 - 33 (17 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV 2nd straight Home Game
NEV is playing their 6th straight game
SJSU is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ NEV -6)
Projected Score: SJSU: 23 - NEV: 26 (49)
NEV Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
SJSU Travel: 190 miles

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (27 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SJSU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

San José State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/28	San José State vs Southern Utah	-28.0	57.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/4	San José State at USC	+13.5	61.0	L 7 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sun 9/19	San José State at Hawai'i	-8.0	62.5	W 17 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/25	San José State at Western Michigan	+2.5	61.5	L 3 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	San José State vs New Mexico State	-25.5	51.5	W 37 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/9	San José State at Colorado State	+3.5	44.0	L 14 - 32	O	N
Fri 10/15	San José State vs San Diego State	+10.0	41.0	L 13 - 19	U	Y
Thu 10/21	San José State at UNLV	-6.0	44.0	W 27 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/30	San José State vs Wyoming	-3.0	40.0	W 27 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/6	San José State at Nevada	+11.5	55.5	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Sat 11/13	San José State vs Utah State	-4.5	58.0	L 17 - 48	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/25	San José State vs Fresno State	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 40	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for San José State's Schedule

Nevada's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Nevada at California	+2.5	52.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Nevada vs Idaho State	-35.0	56.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Nevada at Kansas State	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Nevada at Boise State	+3.5	59.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Nevada vs New Mexico State	-28.5	64.5	W 55 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/16	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-14.0	61.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Nevada at Fresno State	+3.5	64.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/29	Nevada vs UNLV	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Nevada vs San José State	-11.5	55.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	Nevada at San Diego State	+2.5	45.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Nevada vs Air Force	+1.5	53.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Nevada at Colorado State	-3.0	57.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Mon 12/27	Nevada vs Western Michigan	+7.0	56.0	L 24 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU	.2	43%	21.4	38%	2.46	133	46%	298	3.03	.13	41%	32.5	40%	41%	2.06	56.9	1.1	1.4
NEV	.26	43%	17.6	42%	2.62	121	44%	317	3.49	.14	41%	27.5	41%	41%	3.55	69.4	1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SJSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Offense	8	21.4	17	42.7%	3.03	1.1	21	431	133	298	4.5	44%	56%	38%	46%	14%	.2
NEV Defense	9	27.5	25.2	40.9%	3.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	41%	41%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SJSU Defense	8	32.5	35.5	40.8%	2.06	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	40%	41%	16%	.13
NEV Offense	9	17.6	19.7	42.9%	3.49	1	21	439	121	317	4.3	38%	61%	42%	44%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
San José State	8	29:27	20.5	38%	38%	6.8	56.9	1.1	1.4	6.6	3.1	2	40.9
Nevada	9	31:33	21.2	42%	67%	7.9	69.4	1	1	5.8	2.6	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Offense	8	44%	38%	29.5	132.5	4.5	8	-	2.46	46%	8%	0.96
NEV Defense	9	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.86	68%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SJSU Defense	8	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.84	62%	11%	0.96
NEV Offense	9	38%	42%	28.2	121.2	4.3	7	.1	2.62	57%	11%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Offense	8	56%	46%	22.9	36	298.4	8.3	13	19	9	.35	1.7	29%	34%	.49	6%	2.3
NEV Defense	9	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.2	1.4	32%	29%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SJSU Defense	8	51%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.2	1.5	33%	33%	.2	4%	1.7
NEV Offense	9	61%	44%	27.7	39.7	317.4	8	11.5	26	4	.37	1.6	30%	34%	.51	4%	2

San José State's Power Ratings
San José State's Power Rating: NR
San José State's Offense Rating: NR
San José State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
San José State's 2021 Expected Record: -
San José State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.9 #85
San José State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 #103
San José State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
San José State: Nevada: 4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
San José State: -1.9 Nevada: 3.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 4.3 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #67
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

San José State Scoring
Offense: 21.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 32.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

San José State's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Nevada 26
San José State 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Nevada	55	San José State	10	San José State -10	Nevada	49.5	Over
2024	10/05	San José State	35	Nevada	31	San José State -7	Nevada	51.5	Over
2022	10/29	San José State	35	Nevada	28	San José State -24.5	Nevada	44.5	Over
2021	11/06	Nevada	27	San José State	24	Nevada -11.5	San José State	55.5	Under
2020	12/11	San José State	30	Nevada	20	Nevada -1.5	San José State	60.5	Under
2019	10/12	Nevada	41	San José State	38	Nevada -3	Push	60.5	Over
2018	11/17	San José State	12	Nevada	21	Nevada -14.5	San José State	59.5	Under
2017	11/11	Nevada	59	San José State	14	Nevada -17.5	Nevada	67.5	Over
2016	10/15	San José State	14	Nevada	10	San José State -5	Nevada	56.0	Under
2015	11/14	Nevada	37	San José State	34	Nevada -1	Nevada	52.5	Over
2014	09/27	San José State	10	Nevada	21	Nevada -3	Nevada	0
2013	11/16	Nevada	38	San José State	16	San José State -7	Nevada	0
2011	09/17	San José State	14	Nevada	17
2010	10/09	Nevada	35	San José State	13
2009	11/08	San José State	7	Nevada	62
2008	11/15	Nevada	41	San José State	17
2007	11/24	San José State	27	Nevada	24
2006	10/21	Nevada	23	San José State	7
2005	10/01	San José State	23	Nevada	30
2004	11/06	Nevada	42	San José State	24
2003	09/18	San José State	30	Nevada	42
2002	10/19	Nevada	52	San José State	24
2001	11/10	San José State	64	Nevada	45
2000	10/20	Nevada	30	San José State	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	17	8	6 Overs
San José State	7	3	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	17 - 7	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 17	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) SJSU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SJSU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#85	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#103	#58
OffenseOff	#124	#58
DefenseDef	#59	#74
Spec TeamsST	#81	#42
TalentTal	#103	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

San José State Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

San José State on Offense


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#124	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

San José State Run Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#73	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#99	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

San José State Pass Game


CategoryCat	SJSU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#114	#38
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#59
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#32

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	SJSU Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#50
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

SJSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Nevada -11.5 (55.5)
Nevada won vs San José State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Nevada beat San José State last year (55-10)
San José State beat Nevada in 2024 (35-31)

SJSU's OC Kevin McGiven (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View San José State's Full Roster

SJSU's DC Derrick Odum (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD