Oregon at Washington - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -7 (48.0)
Oregon 26 - Washington: 16 (Pac-12)

Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 31 - 27 (25 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 12.4 MPH
WASH is playing their 4th straight game
ORE is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ ORE -11)
Projected Score: ORE: 26 - WASH: 24 (50)
ORE Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 251 miles

Huskies (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jimmy Lake (4 - 3)
Avg Score : 22 - 23 (24 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
WASH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon vs Fresno State	-18.0	62.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon at Ohio State	+14.5	65.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon vs Stony Brook	-42.0	54.5	W 48 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/25	Oregon vs Arizona	-29.5	58.5	W 41 - 19	O	N
Sat 10/2	Oregon at Stanford	-8.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Oregon vs California	-13.5	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Oregon at UCLA	+1.0	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon vs Colorado	-24.5	49.0	W 52 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon at Washington	-7.0	48.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oregon vs Washington State	-13.0	58.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon at Utah	+3.0	58.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Oregon vs Oregon State	-7.5	61.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Fri 12/3	Oregon vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/29	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Washington's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Washington vs Montana	-22.5	54.0	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/11	Washington at Michigan	+6.5	47.5	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/18	Washington vs Arkansas State	-17.5	58.5	W 52 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Washington vs California	-7.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/2	Washington at Oregon State	+2.5	57.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Washington vs UCLA	-1.5	55.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Fri 10/22	Washington at Arizona	-17.5	45.5	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 10/30	Washington at Stanford	+2.5	45.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Washington vs Oregon	+7.0	48.0	L 16 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/13	Washington vs Arizona State	+6.0	45.5	L 30 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Washington at Colorado	-6.5	43.0	L 17 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/26	Washington vs Washington State	-1.0	45.0	L 13 - 40	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	.27	49%	31.4	54%	3.51	202	43%	221	4.55	.2	45%	27	46%	44%	4.23	64.6	1	1.7
WASH	.13	42%	21.5	45%	3.05	98	41%	225	3.77	.18	43%	22.7	49%	36%	3.73	39.5	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	#7 (.33)	51% (5)		51% (11)	3.5 (8)	160	50% (6)	258	4.68 (10)	#33 (.11)	38% (18)		42% (64)	34% (2)	3.68 (59)	40.5	0.8	1.2
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	14	31.4	25.2	48.8%	4.55	1	23	424	202	221	5.3	54%	45%	54%	43%	13%	.27
WASH Defense	12	22.7	23.6	43.3%	3.73	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	59%	40%	49%	36%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	14	27	28.8	45%	4.23	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	46%	44%	15%	.2
WASH Offense	12	21.5	23.7	42.4%	3.77	1.9	18	323	98	225	3.2	44%	54%	45%	41%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	14	29:46	22.7	51%	47%	7.4	64.6	1	1.7	5.1	1.6	1	29.5
Washington	12	28:37	18	44%	43%	4.3	39.5	1.9	1.3	5.1	1.6	0	27.3

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	14	54%	54%	38.2	202.4	5.3	36	.29	3.51	84%	8%	0.96
WASH Defense	12	59%	49%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.47	82%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	14	46%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.02	72%	9%	0.96
WASH Offense	12	44%	45%	30.8	98.4	3.2	16	.12	3.05	72%	10%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	14	45%	43%	18.5	29.3	221.3	7.6	12	20	8	.28	1.6	28%	34%	.41	6%	2
WASH Defense	12	40%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.13	1.3	30%	28%	.25	5%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	14	53%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.25	1.5	30%	34%	.35	6%	1.9
WASH Offense	12	54%	41%	20.3	34.1	225	6.6	11.1	15	16	.18	1.4	30%	30%	.28	8%	1.9

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: Washington: 2.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 10.2 Washington: -0.7

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 2.15 NR
Washington's Offense Rating: NR
Washington's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Washington's 2021 Expected Record: -
Washington's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #83
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #102
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 26
Washington 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon 27
Washington 24

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Oregon 26
Washington 25

Total Points: 51

Washington Scoring
Offense: 21.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.7
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.6

Washington's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Washington	14	Oregon	26	Oregon -6.5	Oregon	51.5	Under
2024	11/30	Oregon	49	Washington	21	Oregon -17.5	Oregon	50.5	Over
2023	10/14	Washington	36	Oregon	33	Washington -3	Push	67.0	Over
2023	12/01	Washington	34	Oregon	31	Oregon -9	Washington	67.0	Under
2022	11/12	Oregon	34	Washington	37	Oregon -12	Washington	73.0	Under
2021	11/06	Washington	16	Oregon	26	Oregon -7	Oregon	48.0	Under
2019	10/19	Washington	31	Oregon	35	Oregon -3	Oregon	48.0	Over
2018	10/13	Oregon	30	Washington	27	Washington -3.5	Oregon	59.0	Under
2017	11/04	Washington	38	Oregon	3	Washington -17.5	Washington	53.0	Under
2016	10/08	Oregon	21	Washington	70	Washington -6.5	Washington	67.0	Over
2015	10/17	Washington	20	Oregon	26	Washington -3	Oregon	58.5	Under
2014	10/18	Oregon	45	Washington	20	Oregon -19	Oregon	0
2013	10/12	Washington	24	Oregon	45	Oregon -10.5	Oregon	0
2012	10/06	Oregon	52	Washington	21
2011	11/05	Washington	17	Oregon	34
2010	11/06	Oregon	53	Washington	16
2009	10/24	Washington	19	Oregon	43
2008	08/30	Oregon	44	Washington	10
2007	10/20	Washington	34	Oregon	55
2006	11/04	Oregon	34	Washington	14
2005	10/15	Oregon	45	Washington	21
2004	10/30	Oregon	31	Washington	6
2003	11/01	Washington	42	Oregon	10
2000	09/29	Oregon	23	Washington	16

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Washington	6	4	4 Overs
Oregon	18	8	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 10	5 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 5
Road Teams	10 - 14	7 - 5	5 - 2	2 - 3

(#) ORE at (#) WASH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	WASH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#83
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#80
OffenseOff	#76	#101
DefenseDef	#95	#44
Spec TeamsST	#135	#27
TalentTal	#8	#18
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon Injury Report

Washington Injury Report

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#44
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#39	#107
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#70

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Washington on Offense


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#101	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#102	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Washington Run Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#124	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#53	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Washington Pass Game


CategoryCat	WASH Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#98	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#93	#26
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Husky Stadium
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 45° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 10
Oregon 7.0 (48.0)
Oregon won at Washington this year (26-16)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Washington last year (49-21)
Washington beat Oregon in 2023 (34-31)
Washington beat Oregon in 2022 (37-34)

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WASH's OC John Donovan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Ikaika Malloe (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD