Oregon at Stanford - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Oregon -8.5 (57.5)
Stanford 31 - Oregon: 24 (Pac-12)

Ducks (10 - 4) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mario Cristobal (28 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

STAN 2nd straight Home Game
STAN is playing their 5th straight game
ORE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ ORE -20.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 31 - STAN: 19 (50)
ORE Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
ORE Travel: 460 miles

Cardinal (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (92 - 37)
Avg Score : 19 - 29 (25 - 26 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
STAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oregon vs Fresno State	-18.0	62.5	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oregon at Ohio State	+14.5	65.0	W 35 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Oregon vs Stony Brook	-42.0	54.5	W 48 - 7	O	N
Sat 9/25	Oregon vs Arizona	-29.5	58.5	W 41 - 19	O	N
Sat 10/2	Oregon at Stanford	-8.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/15	Oregon vs California	-13.5	53.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/23	Oregon at UCLA	+1.0	62.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Oregon vs Colorado	-24.5	49.0	W 52 - 29	O	N
Sat 11/6	Oregon at Washington	-7.0	48.0	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oregon vs Washington State	-13.0	58.0	W 38 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oregon at Utah	+3.0	58.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/27	Oregon vs Oregon State	-7.5	61.5	W 38 - 29	O	Y
Fri 12/3	Oregon vs Utah	+3.0	57.5	L 10 - 38	U	N
Wed 12/29	Oregon vs Oklahoma	+7.0	64.0	L 32 - 47	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Stanford's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Stanford vs Kansas State	+3.0	54.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/11	Stanford at USC	+17.0	53.0	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Stanford at Vanderbilt	-13.0	49.0	W 41 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Stanford vs UCLA	+4.0	60.5	L 24 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/2	Stanford vs Oregon	+8.5	57.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Fri 10/8	Stanford at Arizona State	+13.5	53.5	L 10 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/16	Stanford at Washington State	+1.0	53.0	L 31 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Stanford vs Washington	-2.5	45.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/5	Stanford vs Utah	+10.0	52.0	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/13	Stanford at Oregon State	+12.5	56.5	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/20	Stanford vs California	+2.5	46.0	L 11 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Stanford vs Notre Dame	+20.5	53.0	L 14 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	.28	50%	36.9	50%	3.26	167	49%	243	4.28	.18	45%	17.9	46%	44%	3.63	53	2.1	1
STAN	.27	49%	18.8	47%	3.17	132	52%	288	3.28	.32	50%	29.2	53%	45%	3.94	56.8	0.7	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
STAN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	7	36.9	32.8	49.9%	4.28	2.1	22	410	167	243	4.9	53%	47%	50%	49%	18%	.28
STAN Defense	6	29.2	26	49.7%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	53%	45%	13%	.32

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	7	17.9	15.6	44.8%	3.63	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	46%	44%	14%	.18
STAN Offense	6	18.8	25.2	49.4%	3.28	0.7	22	419	132	288	4.1	45%	55%	47%	52%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	7	26:02	21.6	43%	60%	5.9	53	2.1	1	5	1.7	1	28.2
Stanford	6	31:34	21.7	48%	86%	5.8	56.8	0.7	1.2	4.8	1.3	0	28.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	7	53%	50%	33.9	166.9	4.9	13	.12	3.26	71%	12%	0.89
STAN Defense	6	59%	53%	-	-	-	-	.24	3.42	70%	9%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	7	51%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.82	66%	8%	0.92
STAN Offense	6	45%	47%	32.3	131.7	4.1	15	.18	3.17	83%	7%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	7	47%	49%	17.1	27.1	243.4	9	14.2	15	6	.46	1.7	26%	33%	.46	6%	2.3
STAN Defense	6	41%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.43	1.7	27%	41%	.61	4%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	7	49%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.23	1.4	28%	30%	.21	6%	1.8
STAN Offense	6	55%	52%	23.8	36.7	287.7	7.9	12.1	7	3	.35	1.4	27%	43%	.65	6%	2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #38
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #22
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: Stanford: -2.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 10.2 Stanford: -10.2

Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -2.6 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2021 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.2 #106
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2 #105
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #108

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 31
Stanford 19

Projected Total Points: 50

Stanford Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Stanford's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Stanford	6	Oregon	42	Oregon -27	Oregon	59.5	Under
2022	10/01	Oregon	45	Stanford	27	Oregon -17	Oregon	63.0	Over
2021	10/02	Stanford	31	Oregon	24	Oregon -8.5	Stanford	57.5	Under
2020	11/07	Oregon	35	Stanford	14	Oregon -12	Oregon	49.0	Push
2019	09/21	Stanford	6	Oregon	21	Oregon -13	Oregon	55.5	Under
2018	09/22	Oregon	31	Stanford	38	Stanford -2.5	Stanford	59.0	Over
2017	10/14	Stanford	49	Oregon	7	Stanford -10	Stanford	57.0	Under
2016	11/12	Oregon	27	Stanford	52	Stanford -1	Stanford	57.5	Over
2015	11/14	Stanford	36	Oregon	38	Stanford -8.5	Oregon	65.5	Over
2014	11/01	Oregon	45	Stanford	16	Oregon -12.5	Oregon	0
2013	11/07	Stanford	26	Oregon	20	Oregon -9.5	Stanford	0
2012	11/17	Oregon	14	Stanford	17
2011	11/12	Stanford	30	Oregon	53
2010	10/02	Oregon	52	Stanford	31
2009	11/07	Stanford	51	Oregon	42
2008	11/08	Oregon	35	Stanford	28
2007	09/22	Stanford	31	Oregon	55
2006	09/02	Oregon	48	Stanford	10
2005	10/01	Stanford	20	Oregon	44
2004	10/23	Stanford	13	Oregon	16
2003	10/25	Oregon	35	Stanford	0
2002	11/02	Oregon	41	Stanford	14
2001	10/20	Oregon	42	Stanford	49

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Stanford	8	5	4 Overs
Oregon	15	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 11	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4
Road Teams	11 - 12	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4

(#) ORE at (#) STAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	STAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#106
Perf GradeGrade	#92	#124
OffenseOff	#76	#108
DefenseDef	#95	#131
Spec TeamsST	#135	#39
TalentTal	#8	#24
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oregon Injury Report

Stanford Injury Report

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#76	#131
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#22	#108
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
Run GameRun	#39	#135
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#33	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#102

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	STAN Def
Pass GamePass	#92	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#100
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Stanford on Offense


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#95
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#105	#60
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Stanford Run Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	#127	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#80	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Stanford Pass Game


CategoryCat	STAN Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	#97	#114
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#101	#26
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Oregon 8.5 (57.5)
Stanford won vs Oregon this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Stanford in 2023 (42-6)

ORE's OC Joe Moorhead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Tim DeRuyter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD