Nevada at Kansas State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Nevada logo   Nevada Wolf Pack at Kansas State Wildcats  Kansas State logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -1.5 (51.5)
Kansas State 38 - Nevada: 17

 
Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (27 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (16 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -8  (SP+ KSU -11)
Projected Score: NEV: 22 - KSU: 29 (51)
NEV Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
NEV Travel: 1237 miles, 2 hrs behind
Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Nevada's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Nevada at California+2.552.5W 22 - 17UY
Sat 9/11 Nevada vs Idaho State-35.056.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/18 Nevada at Kansas State-1.551.5L 17 - 38ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Nevada at Boise State+3.559.0W 41 - 31OY
Sat 10/9 Nevada vs New Mexico State-28.564.5W 55 - 28ON
Sat 10/16 Nevada vs Hawai'i-14.061.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/23 Nevada at Fresno State+3.564.5L 32 - 34OY
Fri 10/29 Nevada vs UNLV-19.058.0W 51 - 20OY
Sat 11/6 Nevada vs San José State-11.555.5W 27 - 24UN
Sat 11/13 Nevada at San Diego State+2.545.0L 21 - 23UY
Fri 11/19 Nevada vs Air Force+1.553.5L 39 - 41ON
Sat 11/27 Nevada at Colorado State-3.057.5W 52 - 10OY
Mon 12/27 Nevada vs Western Michigan+7.056.0L 24 - 52ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nevada's Schedule
Kansas State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Kansas State vs Stanford-3.054.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Kansas State vs Southern Illinois-17.055.0W 31 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Kansas State vs Nevada+1.551.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/25 Kansas State at Oklahoma State+6.047.5L 20 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Kansas State vs Oklahoma+12.053.0L 31 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Kansas State vs Iowa State+6.551.0L 20 - 33ON
Sat 10/23 Kansas State at Texas Tech-1.060.5W 25 - 24UN
Sat 10/30 Kansas State vs TCU-3.558.5W 31 - 12UY
Sat 11/6 Kansas State at Kansas-24.056.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/13 Kansas State vs West Virginia-6.047.5W 34 - 17OY
Sat 11/20 Kansas State vs Baylor-2.549.5L 10 - 20UN
Fri 11/26 Kansas State at Texas+3.054.5L 17 - 22UN
Tue 1/4 Kansas State vs LSU-9.547.0W 42 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV.2643%17.642%2.6212144%3173.49.1441%27.541%41%3.5569.411
KSU.1637%29.440%2.5715235%1863.69.2444%26.741%46%3.9256.41.51.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NEV0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense917.615.542.9%3.491214391213174.338%61%42%44%15%.26
KSU Defense1026.727.343.7%3.921.2 - - - - - 47%53%41%46%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Defense927.529.840.9%3.551 - - - - - 46%54%41%41%13%.14
KSU Offense1029.429.737.5%3.691.5163381521864.356%44%40%35%18%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada931:3321.242%67%7.969.4115.82.6028.8
Kansas State1028:4415.533%60%6.556.41.51.26.82.8430.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense938%42%28.2121.24.37.12.6257%11%1.1
KSU Defense1047%41% - - - - .182.879%11%1.23
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Defense946%41% - - - - .082.8668%9%0.96
KSU Offense1056%40%35.3152.24.317.082.5768%11%1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense961%44%27.739.7317.4811.5264.371.630%34%.514%2
KSU Defense1053%46% - - - - - - 7.31.431%34%.416%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Defense954%41% - - - - - - 6.21.432%29%.284%1.9
KSU Offense1044%35%13.724.7185.77.513.61210.261.933%26%.287%2.3

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Nevada's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #67
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3  #54
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #68

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Kansas State: 9.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: 3.6   Kansas State: 14.2




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.6 NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2  #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0  #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.5
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Nevada's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 29
Nevada 22

Projected Total Points: 51
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/18Kansas State38Nevada17Nevada -1.5Kansas State51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State111 Overs
Nevada000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0

(#) NEV at (#) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNEVKSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #21
Perf GradeGrade #58 #53
OffenseOff #58 #38
DefenseDef #74 #75
Spec TeamsST #42 #118
TalentTal #98 #67
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Nevada on Offense
CategoryCat
NEV OffKSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #58 #75
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #16
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nevada Run Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #97 #69
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #72 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #129
Nevada Pass Game
CategoryCat
NEV OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #10 #78
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #113 #74
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Kansas State on Offense
CategoryCatKSU OffNEV Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #74
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #36 #68
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Kansas State Run Game
CategoryCat
KSU OffNEV Def
Run GameRun #16 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #58
Kansas State Pass Game
CategoryCatKSU OffNEV Def
Pass GamePass #79 #30
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64 #38
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Nevada 1.5 (51.5)
Kansas State won vs Nevada this year (38-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NEV's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

KSU's OC Courtney Messingham (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD