Western Michigan at Nevada - 2021 Matchup Preview

Western Michigan Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack

Monday, December 27th 2021 (11:00 AM EST)
Western Michigan -7.0 (56.0) (-260) Open: -6.5 | 66.0
Western Michigan 52 - Nevada: 24 (Quick Lane Bowl)

Broncos (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Tim Lester (26 - 21)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ NEV -3)
Projected Score: WMU: 24 - NEV: 19 (43)
WMU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WMU Travel: 131 miles

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (27 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
WMU Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Michigan's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Western Michigan at Michigan	+16.5	65.5	L 14 - 47	U	N
Sat 9/11	Western Michigan vs Illinois State	-12.5	56.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Western Michigan at Pittsburgh	+14.0	59.0	W 44 - 41	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Western Michigan vs San José State	-2.5	61.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Western Michigan at Buffalo	-7.0	59.5	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/9	Western Michigan vs Ball State	-13.0	57.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/16	Western Michigan vs Kent State	-7.0	68.5	W 64 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Western Michigan at Toledo	-1.5	54.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/3	Western Michigan vs Central Michigan	-9.0	64.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Tue 11/9	Western Michigan vs Akron	-24.5	62.0	W 45 - 40	O	N
Tue 11/16	Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan	-6.0	66.0	L 21 - 22	U	N
Tue 11/23	Western Michigan at Northern Illinois	-6.5	60.0	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Mon 12/27	Western Michigan vs Nevada	-7.0	56.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Nevada's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Nevada at California	+2.5	52.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Nevada vs Idaho State	-35.0	56.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Nevada at Kansas State	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Nevada at Boise State	+3.5	59.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Nevada vs New Mexico State	-28.5	64.5	W 55 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/16	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-14.0	61.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Nevada at Fresno State	+3.5	64.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/29	Nevada vs UNLV	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Nevada vs San José State	-11.5	55.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	Nevada at San Diego State	+2.5	45.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Nevada vs Air Force	+1.5	53.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Nevada at Colorado State	-3.0	57.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Mon 12/27	Nevada vs Western Michigan	+7.0	56.0	L 24 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU	.38	53%	24.9	56%	3.55	196	48%	284	4.12	.26	43%	17.4	42%	45%	4.59	65.2	1	0.5
NEV	.26	43%	17.6	42%	2.62	121	44%	317	3.49	.14	41%	27.5	41%	41%	3.55	69.4	1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Offense	6	24.9	18.3	52.7%	4.12	1	24	480	196	284	5	59%	41%	56%	48%	15%	.38
NEV Defense	9	27.5	25.2	40.9%	3.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	41%	41%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WMU Defense	6	17.4	21.7	43.4%	4.59	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	42%	45%	18%	.26
NEV Offense	9	17.6	19.7	42.9%	3.49	1	21	439	121	317	4.3	38%	61%	42%	44%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Michigan	6	28:09	23.7	43%	63%	7.7	65.2	1	0.5	8.5	3.2	2	33
Nevada	9	31:33	21.2	42%	67%	7.9	69.4	1	1	5.8	2.6	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Offense	6	59%	56%	39.3	195.8	5	13	.19	3.55	61%	9%	0.8
NEV Defense	9	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.86	68%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WMU Defense	6	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.63	81%	14%	1.05
NEV Offense	9	38%	42%	28.2	121.2	4.3	7	.1	2.62	57%	11%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Offense	6	41%	48%	16.3	25.8	284	11	17.4	18	2	.64	2	25%	37%	.76	6%	2.5
NEV Defense	9	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.2	1.4	32%	29%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WMU Defense	6	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.37	1.6	31%	30%	.37	5%	2.2
NEV Offense	9	61%	44%	27.7	39.7	317.4	8	11.5	26	4	.37	1.6	30%	34%	.51	4%	2

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.6 #76
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #39
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #91

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: Nevada: 1.8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: 0.6 Nevada: 3.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 1.8 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #67
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Michigan 24
Nevada 19

Projected Total Points: 43

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	12/27	Nevada	24	Western Michigan	52	Western Michigan -7.0	Western Michigan	56.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	0	0	1 Overs
Western Michigan	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Western Michigan Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Lane Bowl	Western Michigan vs Nevada	-7.0	56.0	W 52 - 24
2019	Responder Bowl	Western Michigan vs Western Kentucky	+3.0	56.0	L 20 - 23
2018	Potato Bowl	Western Michigan vs BYU	+10.0	52.0	L 18 - 49
2016	Cotton Bowl	Western Michigan vs Wisconsin	+6.5	54.0	L 16 - 24
2015	Bahamas Bowl	Western Michigan vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0		W 45 - 31

Nevada Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2021	Lane Bowl	Nevada vs Western Michigan	+7.0	56.0	L 24 - 52
2020	Potato Bowl	Nevada vs Tulane	+1.5	56.5	W 38 - 27
2019	Potato Bowl	Nevada vs Ohio	+10.5	62.5	L 21 - 30
2018	N/A	Nevada vs Arkansas State	-1.5	56.5	W 16 - 13
2015	Arizona Bowl	Nevada vs Colorado State	+3.5		W 28 - 23

(#) WMU at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WMU	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#76	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#45	#58
OffenseOff	#18	#58
DefenseDef	#88	#74
Spec TeamsST	#134	#42
TalentTal	#106	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Western Michigan Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

Western Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#18	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Western Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#67	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#24	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

Western Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	WMU Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#47	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#26	#38
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#91
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WMU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#121

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	WMU Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#116
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#7
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ford Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Western Michigan 7.0 (56.0)
Western Michigan won at Nevada this year (52-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WMU's OC Mike Bath (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Lou Esposito (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD