UNLV at Nevada - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, October 29th 2021 (10:00 PM EDT)
Nevada -19 (58.0)
Nevada 51 - UNLV: 20 (Mountain West)

Rebels (2 - 10) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Marcus Arroyo (0 - 9)
Avg Score : 34 - 28 (35 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NEV is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ NEV -17)
Projected Score: UNLV: 31 - NEV: 24 (55)
NEV Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
UNLV Travel: 345 miles

Wolf Pack (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jay Norvell (27 - 23)
Avg Score : 18 - 28 (20 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNLV Players
NEV Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UNLV's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	UNLV vs Eastern Washington	+2.0	66.0	L 33 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	UNLV at Arizona State	+34.5	55.5	L 10 - 37	U	Y
Sat 9/18	UNLV vs Iowa State	+32.0	53.0	L 3 - 48	U	N
Fri 9/24	UNLV at Fresno State	+30.0	59.0	L 30 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/2	UNLV at UTSA	+21.5	55.5	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	UNLV vs Utah State	+7.5	64.0	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Thu 10/21	UNLV vs San José State	+6.0	44.0	L 20 - 27	O	N
Fri 10/29	UNLV at Nevada	+19.0	58.0	L 20 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/6	UNLV at New Mexico	+1.5	45.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/13	UNLV vs Hawai'i	+3.5	55.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Fri 11/19	UNLV vs San Diego State	+11.0	41.0	L 20 - 28	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UNLV at Air Force	+18.5	49.5	L 14 - 48	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UNLV's Schedule

Nevada's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Nevada at California	+2.5	52.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Nevada vs Idaho State	-35.0	56.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Nevada at Kansas State	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2	Nevada at Boise State	+3.5	59.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Nevada vs New Mexico State	-28.5	64.5	W 55 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/16	Nevada vs Hawai'i	-14.0	61.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Nevada at Fresno State	+3.5	64.5	L 32 - 34	O	Y
Fri 10/29	Nevada vs UNLV	-19.0	58.0	W 51 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Nevada vs San José State	-11.5	55.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/13	Nevada at San Diego State	+2.5	45.0	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Nevada vs Air Force	+1.5	53.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Nevada at Colorado State	-3.0	57.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Mon 12/27	Nevada vs Western Michigan	+7.0	56.0	L 24 - 52	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV	.11	38%	34.1	43%	3.06	140	33%	186	3.04	.34	48%	28	54%	41%	4.13	54	1.5	0.8
NEV	.26	43%	17.6	42%	2.62	121	44%	317	3.49	.14	41%	27.5	41%	41%	3.55	69.4	1	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNLV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEV		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Offense	6	34.1	34.7	37.7%	3.04	1.5	19	326	140	186	3.8	46%	54%	43%	33%	22%	.11
NEV Defense	9	27.5	25.2	40.9%	3.55	1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	41%	41%	13%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNLV Defense	6	28	29.3	47.9%	4.13	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	54%	41%	13%	.34
NEV Offense	9	17.6	19.7	42.9%	3.49	1	21	439	121	317	4.3	38%	61%	42%	44%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UNLV	6	29:16	18.7	37%	67%	6.5	54	1.5	0.8	5.2	2.3	0	26
Nevada	9	31:33	21.2	42%	67%	7.9	69.4	1	1	5.8	2.6	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Offense	6	46%	43%	37.2	140.2	3.8	7	.16	3.06	90%	15%	1.1
NEV Defense	9	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.86	68%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNLV Defense	6	54%	54%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.56	72%	9%	1.17
NEV Offense	9	38%	42%	28.2	121.2	4.3	7	.1	2.62	57%	11%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Offense	6	54%	33%	19.2	32.7	185.8	5.7	9.7	6	4	.06	1.4	36%	28%	.27	7%	2
NEV Defense	9	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.2	1.4	32%	29%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNLV Defense	6	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.25	1.6	30%	34%	.45	4%	2.2
NEV Offense	9	61%	44%	27.7	39.7	317.4	8	11.5	26	4	.37	1.6	30%	34%	.51	4%	2

UNLV's Power Ratings
UNLV's Power Rating: NR
UNLV's Offense Rating: NR
UNLV's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UNLV's 2021 Expected Record: -
UNLV's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #116
UNLV's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #117
UNLV's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #104

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UNLV: Nevada: 4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UNLV: -13.8 Nevada: 3.6

Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: 4.3 NR
Nevada's Offense Rating: NR
Nevada's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nevada's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 #67
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UNLV Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.7
Defense: 28 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

UNLV's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
UNLV 31
Nevada 24

Projected Total Points: 55

Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 27.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.2

Nevada's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Nevada	17	UNLV	42	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	53.0	Over
2024	11/30	UNLV	38	Nevada	14	UNLV -17.5	UNLV	54.5	Under
2023	10/14	Nevada	27	UNLV	45	UNLV -7.5	UNLV	51.5	Over
2022	11/26	UNLV	27	Nevada	22	UNLV -12.5	Nevada	49.0	Push
2021	10/29	Nevada	51	UNLV	20	Nevada -19	Nevada	58.0	Over
2020	10/31	UNLV	19	Nevada	37	Nevada -10.5	Nevada	0
2019	11/30	Nevada	30	UNLV	33	Nevada -6.5	UNLV	52.0	Over
2018	11/24	UNLV	34	Nevada	29	Nevada -14	UNLV	60.5	Over
2017	11/25	Nevada	23	UNLV	16	Nevada -3	Nevada	70.0	Under
2016	11/26	UNLV	10	Nevada	45	UNLV -7	Nevada	59.0	Under
2015	10/03	Nevada	17	UNLV	23	Nevada -11.5	UNLV	57.0	Under
2014	11/29	UNLV	27	Nevada	49	Nevada -10	Nevada	0
2013	10/26	Nevada	22	UNLV	27	Nevada -3.5	UNLV	0
2012	10/13	UNLV	37	Nevada	42
2011	10/08	Nevada	37	UNLV	0
2010	10/02	UNLV	26	Nevada	44
2009	10/03	Nevada	63	UNLV	28
2008	09/27	UNLV	27	Nevada	49
2007	09/29	Nevada	27	UNLV	20
2006	09/30	UNLV	3	Nevada	31
2005	09/17	Nevada	22	UNLV	14
2004	10/02	UNLV	48	Nevada	13
2003	10/04	Nevada	12	UNLV	16
2002	10/05	UNLV	21	Nevada	17
2001	10/06	Nevada	12	UNLV	27
2000	10/06	UNLV	38	Nevada	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nevada	13	6	5 Overs
UNLV	13	7	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 14	4 - 9	3 - 5	1 - 4
Road Teams	14 - 12	9 - 4	4 - 1	5 - 3

(#) UNLV at (#) NEV

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNLV	NEV
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#107	#58
OffenseOff	#109	#58
DefenseDef	#93	#74
Spec TeamsST	#34	#42
TalentTal	#108	#98
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UNLV Injury Report

Nevada Injury Report

UNLV on Offense


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#109	#74
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UNLV Run Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Run GameRun	#110	#120
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#58

UNLV Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNLV Off	NEV Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#30
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#123	#38
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nevada on Offense


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#58	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#104
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nevada Run Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Run GameRun	#97	#70
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#72	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#107

Nevada Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEV Off	UNLV Def
Pass GamePass	#10	#97
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	#94
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEV 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

UNLV 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Mackay Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Nevada -19.0 (58.0)
Nevada won vs UNLV this year (51-20)

Previous Matchups
UNLV beat Nevada last year (42-17)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2024 (38-14)
UNLV beat Nevada in 2023 (45-27)

UNLV's OC Glenn Thomas (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UNLV's Full Roster

UNLV's DC Peter Hansen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEV's OC Matt Mumme (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nevada's Full Roster

NEV's DC Brian Ward (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD