Boston College at East Carolina - 2021 Matchup Preview

Boston College Eagles vs East Carolina Pirates

Monday, December 27th 2021 (2:30 PM EST)
Boston College -3 (52.5)
Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium - Annapolis, MD

Eagles (6 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Hafley (9 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (25 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -0 (SP+ BC -0.5)
Projected Score: BC: 23 - ECU: 34 (57)
BC Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BC Travel: 363 miles

Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
BC Players
ECU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Boston College vs Colgate	-42.5	56.5	W 51 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Boston College at Massachusetts	-39.0	57.0	W 45 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/18	Boston College at Temple	-15.0	55.5	W 28 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Boston College vs Missouri	-1.0	58.5	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Boston College at Clemson	+14.5	46.5	L 13 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Boston College vs NC State	+3.0	51.0	L 7 - 33	U	N
Sat 10/23	Boston College at Louisville	+4.0	57.5	L 14 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/30	Boston College at Syracuse	+6.5	51.5	L 6 - 21	U	N
Fri 11/5	Boston College vs Virginia Tech	+1.0	51.0	W 17 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Boston College at Georgia Tech	-2.0	55.0	W 41 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Boston College vs Florida State	-3.0	55.5	L 23 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/27	Boston College vs Wake Forest	+5.5	64.0	L 10 - 41	U	N
Mon 12/27	Boston College vs East Carolina	-3.0	52.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	East Carolina at App State	+9.0	55.5	L 19 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/11	East Carolina vs South Carolina	+3.0	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/18	East Carolina at Marshall	+11.0	58.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/25	East Carolina vs Charleston Southern	-24.5	59.0	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/2	East Carolina vs Tulane	+3.0	65.0	W 52 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/9	East Carolina at UCF	+10.0	65.0	L 16 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	East Carolina at Houston	+13.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Thu 10/28	East Carolina vs South Florida	-9.5	55.5	W 29 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/6	East Carolina vs Temple	-15.5	52.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	East Carolina at Memphis	+4.0	58.5	W 30 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/20	East Carolina at Navy	-3.5	46.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/26	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+14.5	56.5	L 13 - 35	U	N
Mon 12/27	East Carolina vs Boston College	+3.0	52.5

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	.2	44%	25.4	42%	2.51	102	46%	284	3.67	.22	47%	32.8	49%	45%	3.41	67.3	1.3	1.9
ECU	.12	39%	32.7	38%	2.66	174	40%	230	3.29	.19	44%	20.1	40%	49%	3.93	58.2	2.2	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	11	25.4	25	44.1%	3.67	1.3	22	386	102	284	3.1	45%	55%	42%	46%	16%	.2
ECU Defense	9	20.1	19.8	44.3%	3.93	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	40%	49%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	11	32.8	34	47%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	49%	45%	15%	.22
ECU Offense	9	32.7	36.2	38.9%	3.29	2.2	22	404	174	230	4.3	49%	51%	38%	40%	21%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	11	30:28	21.7	44%	64%	7.7	67.3	1.3	1.9	4.7	2.2	0	29
East Carolina	9	31:03	22	33%	56%	6.3	58.2	2.2	2.2	5.1	1.4	3	29.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	11	45%	42%	32.8	101.7	3.1	11	-.03	2.51	80%	10%	0.73
ECU Defense	9	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	.11	2.85	59%	9%	1.18

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	11	49%	49%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.08	71%	9%	1
ECU Offense	9	49%	38%	40.1	173.6	4.3	11	.04	2.66	61%	13%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	11	55%	46%	22	35.5	284.2	8	12.9	23	8	.39	1.7	31%	35%	.45	6%	2.1
ECU Defense	9	47%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.27	1.4	29%	34%	.36	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	11	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.34	1.5	28%	36%	.35	6%	1.9
ECU Offense	9	51%	40%	19.6	32.6	230.1	7.1	11.8	19	9	.19	1.6	31%	27%	.2	8%	2.1

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2021 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.9 #75
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #84
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #63

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: East Carolina: 0.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.9 East Carolina: 0.5

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: 0.25 NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Boston College's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
East Carolina 34
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 57

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
East Carolina	0	0	0 Overs
Boston College	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

Boston College Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Birmingham Bowl	Boston College vs Cincinnati	+8.0	53.0	L 6 - 38
2017	Pinstripe Bowl	Boston College vs Iowa	+2.0	45.5	L 20 - 27
2016	Lane Bowl	Boston College vs Maryland	-1.0	44.0	W 36 - 30

East Carolina Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result

(#) BC at (#) ECU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BC	ECU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#78
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#104
OffenseOff	#36	#103
DefenseDef	#36	#87
Spec TeamsST	#10	#122
TalentTal	#50	#76
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Boston College Injury Report

East Carolina Injury Report

Boston College on Offense


CategoryCat	BC Off	ECU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#36	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Boston College Run Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	#75	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#11	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Boston College Pass Game


CategoryCat	BC Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#34	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	BC Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#96	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#4

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#78	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#122	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BC's OC Frank Cignetti Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tem Lukabu (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD