East Carolina at Navy - 2021 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at Navy Midshipmen  Navy logo
Saturday, November 20th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
East Carolina -3.5 (46.0)
East Carolina 38 - Navy: 35  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU 2nd straight Road Game
NAVY coming off BYE
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ ECU -9)
Projected Score: ECU: 28 - NAVY: 28 (56)
ECU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 239 miles
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (38 - 24 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Navy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Navy vs Marshall+3.546.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Navy vs Air Force+6.040.0L 3 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Navy at Houston+20.047.0L 20 - 28OY
Sat 10/2 Navy vs UCF+15.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 Navy vs SMU+13.557.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/14 Navy at Memphis+11.055.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/23 Navy vs Cincinnati+28.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Fri 10/29 Navy at Tulsa+11.046.0W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/6 Navy at Notre Dame+21.047.5L 6 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Navy vs East Carolina+3.546.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/27 Navy at Temple-13.542.0W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Navy at Army-7.035.5W 17 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1239%32.738%2.6617440%2303.29.1944%20.140%49%3.9358.22.22.2
NAVY.0935%31.536%2.6217833%973.6.2143%2543%43%3.9740.21.10.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense932.730.838.9%3.292.2224041742304.349%51%38%40%21%.12
NAVY Defense102524.243.4%3.970.9 - - - - - 62%38%43%43%14%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense920.120.844.3%3.932.2 - - - - - 52%47%40%49%15%.19
NAVY Offense1031.53835.1%3.61.114275178973.776%23%36%33%15%.09

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina931:032233%56%6.358.22.22.25.11.4329.1
Navy1030:1914.334%67%4.440.21.10.94.50.6027.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense949%38%40.1173.64.311.042.6661%13%1.04
NAVY Defense1062%43% - - - - .173.0583%9%1.1
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense952%40% - - - - .112.8559%9%1.18
NAVY Offense1076%36%48.3177.63.715.032.6271%12%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense951%40%19.632.6230.17.111.8199.191.631%27%.28%2.1
NAVY Defense1038%43% - - - - - - 3.281.531%33%.435%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense947%49% - - - - - - 10.271.429%34%.366%1.9
NAVY Offense1023%33%5.712.497.47.917.164.272.334%24%.263%2.3

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Navy: -1.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5   Navy: -8.5




Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: -1.75 NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 28
Navy 28

Projected Total Points: 56
Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/29East Carolina20Navy34East Carolina -2.5Navy54.0Push
202311/18Navy10East Carolina0Navy -2.5Navy30.5Under
202209/24East Carolina20Navy23East Carolina -16.5Navy48.5Under
202111/20Navy35East Carolina38East Carolina -3.5Navy46.0Over
202010/17East Carolina23Navy27Navy -3Navy55.5Under
201909/14Navy42East Carolina10Navy -7.5Navy53.0Under
201611/19East Carolina31Navy66Navy -8Navy64.0Over
201509/19Navy45East Carolina21Navy -1.5Navy58.0Over
201210/27East Carolina28Navy56
201110/22Navy35East Carolina38
201011/06East Carolina35Navy76
200609/02Navy28East Carolina23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Navy1083 Overs
East Carolina204 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 84 - 43 - 21 - 2
Road Teams8 - 44 - 42 - 12 - 3

(#) ECU at (#) NAVY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUNAVY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #103
Perf GradeGrade #104 #115
OffenseOff #103 #93
DefenseDef #87 #125
Spec TeamsST #122 #39
TalentTal #76 #141
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #125
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #96 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #78 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #136
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCatNAVY OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffECU Def
Run GameRun #125 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCatNAVY OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #116 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
East Carolina 3.5 (46.0)
East Carolina won at Navy this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat East Carolina in 2024 (34-20)
Navy beat East Carolina in 2023 (10-0)

  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD