East Carolina at Marshall - 2021 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo East Carolina Pirates at Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -11 (58.5)
East Carolina 42 - Marshall: 38

 
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (28 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MRSH 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ MRSH -8)

Projected Score: ECU: 24 - MRSH: 28 (52)
MRSH Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 341 miles
Thundering Herd (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Charles Huff (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 33 - 24 (29 - 23 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Marshall's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Marshall at Navy-3.546.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Marshall vs North Carolina Central-42.553.5W 44 - 10ON
Sat 9/18 Marshall vs East Carolina-11.058.5L 38 - 42ON
Thu 9/23 Marshall at App State+7.059.0L 30 - 31OY
Sat 10/2 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-11.066.0L 28 - 34UN
Sat 10/9 Marshall vs Old Dominion-21.562.0W 20 - 13UN
Fri 10/15 Marshall at North Texas-11.066.5W 49 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Marshall vs Florida International-21.564.0W 38 - 0UY
Sat 11/6 Marshall at Florida Atlantic-1.058.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/13 Marshall vs UAB-4.555.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Marshall at Charlotte-14.062.0W 49 - 28OY
Sat 11/27 Marshall vs Western Kentucky+1.075.5L 21 - 53UN
Sat 12/18 Marshall vs Louisiana+4.055.5L 21 - 36ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1941%29.740%2.7516241%2713.65.2140%26.343%38%3.749.31.81.9
MRSH.2447%3351%3.0816245%2944.22.1641%23.843%39%3.2357.71.91.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)45% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)43% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense1229.728.240.6%3.651.8224331622714.149%51%40%41%19%.19
MRSH Defense1323.823.241.2%3.231.5 - - - - - 55%44%43%39%17%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense1226.33140.4%3.71.9 - - - - - 49%51%43%38%19%.21
MRSH Offense133329.247.2%4.221.9234571622944.746%53%51%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina1233:5922.335%72%5.349.31.81.96.12.2229.5
Marshall1327:1923.442%63%6.757.71.91.57.43.1229.6
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense1249%40%39.6162.44.120.12.7570%12%1.08
MRSH Defense1355%43% - - - - .163.0786%11%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense1249%43% - - - - .183.0270%11%1.1
MRSH Offense1346%51%34.5162.24.738.253.0872%8%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense1251%41%21.835.3270.87.712.52111.281.733%30%.267%2.1
MRSH Defense1344%39% - - - - - - 10.171.633%29%.255%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense1251%38% - - - - - - 15.241.733%28%.258%2.1
MRSH Offense1353%45%24.937.8294.47.811.81815.271.328%32%.376%2.1

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    Marshall: 6.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5   Marshall: 8.0




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: 6.5 NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Marshall's 2021 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.0  #51
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.8  #43
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #41

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Marshall 28
East Carolina 24


Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Marshall 25
East Carolina 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Marshall 30
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 56
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.2

Marshall's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09East Carolina13Marshall31Marshall -3Marshall43.5Over
202109/18Marshall38East Carolina42Marshall -11East Carolina58.5Over
201311/29Marshall59East Carolina28Marshall -3Marshall0
201211/23East Carolina65Marshall59
201111/26Marshall34East Carolina27
201010/23East Carolina37Marshall10
200910/03Marshall17East Carolina21
200811/08East Carolina19Marshall16
200711/10Marshall26East Carolina7
200611/11East Carolina33Marshall20
200511/19Marshall29East Carolina34
200112/19Marshall64East Carolina61
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall522 Overs
East Carolina710 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 41 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams4 - 82 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #51
Perf GradeGrade #104 #48
OffenseOff #103 #61
DefenseDef #87 #42
Spec TeamsST #122 #81
TalentTal #76 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #42
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #41
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRun #96 #57
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #31
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePass #78 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Marshall on Offense
CategoryCatMRSH OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #61 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Marshall Run Game
CategoryCat
MRSH OffECU Def
Run GameRun #86 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
Marshall Pass Game
CategoryCatMRSH OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #59 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #23 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 78°
Rematch from Week 3
Marshall -11.0 (58.5)
East Carolina won at Marshall this year (42-38)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat East Carolina in 2023 (31-13)

  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MRSH's OC Tim Cramsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Lance Guidry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD