East Carolina at UCF - 2021 Matchup Preview
East Carolina logo   East Carolina Pirates at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
UCF -10 (65.0)
UCF 20 - East Carolina: 16  (American Athletic)

 
Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ECU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ UCF -4)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - UCF: 24 (50)
UCF Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ECU Travel: 532 miles
Knights (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 East Carolina at App State+9.055.5L 19 - 33UN
Sat 9/11 East Carolina vs South Carolina+3.056.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/18 East Carolina at Marshall+11.058.5W 42 - 38OY
Sat 9/25 East Carolina vs Charleston Southern-24.559.0W 31 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 East Carolina vs Tulane+3.065.0W 52 - 29OY
Sat 10/9 East Carolina at UCF+10.065.0L 16 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 East Carolina at Houston+13.556.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/28 East Carolina vs South Florida-9.555.5W 29 - 14UY
Sat 11/6 East Carolina vs Temple-15.552.0W 45 - 3UY
Sat 11/13 East Carolina at Memphis+4.058.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 11/20 East Carolina at Navy-3.546.0W 38 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 East Carolina vs Cincinnati+14.556.5L 13 - 35UN
Mon 12/27 East Carolina vs Boston College+3.052.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
UCF's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UCF vs Boise State-6.567.0W 36 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-46.067.0W 63 - 14OY
Fri 9/17 UCF at Louisville-7.067.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 UCF at Navy-15.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 UCF vs East Carolina-10.065.0W 20 - 16UN
Sat 10/16 UCF at Cincinnati+21.556.0L 21 - 56ON
Fri 10/22 UCF vs Memphis-1.563.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 UCF at Temple-12.052.0W 49 - 7OY
Sat 11/6 UCF vs Tulane-13.557.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 UCF at SMU+7.061.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 11/20 UCF vs UConn-30.056.0W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 UCF vs South Florida-17.062.0W 17 - 13UN
Thu 12/23 UCF vs Florida+7.056.0W 29 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU.1239%32.738%2.6617440%2303.29.1944%20.140%49%3.9358.22.22.2
UCF.3349%24.352%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%23.646%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Offense932.730.838.9%3.292.2224041742304.349%51%38%40%21%.12
UCF Defense1023.615.746.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ECU Defense920.120.844.3%3.932.2 - - - - - 52%47%40%49%15%.19
UCF Offense1024.332.648.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
East Carolina931:032233%56%6.358.22.22.25.11.4329.1
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Offense949%38%40.1173.64.311.042.6661%13%1.04
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ECU Defense952%40% - - - - .112.8559%9%1.18
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Offense951%40%19.632.6230.17.111.8199.191.631%27%.28%2.1
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ECU Defense947%49% - - - - - - 10.271.429%34%.366%1.9
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5  #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina:    UCF: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5   UCF: 4.8




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #62
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
East Carolina 26
UCF 24

Projected Total Points: 50
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/22East Carolina34UCF13UCF -5.5East Carolina63.0Under
202110/09UCF20East Carolina16UCF -10East Carolina65.0Under
202009/26East Carolina28UCF51UCF -28East Carolina78.0Over
201910/19UCF41East Carolina28UCF -34.5East Carolina65.5Over
201810/20East Carolina10UCF37UCF -21.5UCF65.5Under
201710/14UCF63East Carolina21UCF -35UCF70.0Over
201610/01East Carolina29UCF47East Carolina -5.5UCF61.0Over
201511/19UCF7East Carolina44East Carolina -17East Carolina51.5Under
201412/04East Carolina30UCF32East Carolina -6.5UCF0
201210/04UCF40East Carolina20
201111/19East Carolina38UCF31
201010/30UCF49East Carolina35
200909/26East Carolina19UCF14
200811/02UCF10East Carolina13
200710/06East Carolina52UCF38
200611/04UCF10East Carolina23
200510/29East Carolina20UCF30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1044 Overs
East Carolina754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 61 - 42 - 2
Road Teams8 - 96 - 32 - 24 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatECUUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #78 #62
Perf GradeGrade #104 #61
OffenseOff #103 #69
DefenseDef #87 #39
Spec TeamsST #122 #131
TalentTal #76 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #103 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #80 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #96 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #78 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #122 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #87
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffECU Def
Run GameRun #47 #101
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #68
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #88 #37
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #126
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
UCF -10.0 (65.0)
UCF won vs East Carolina this year (20-16)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC G. J. Kinne (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD