East Carolina at Memphis - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Memphis -4 (58.5)
East Carolina 30 - Memphis: 29 (American Athletic)

Pirates (7 - 5) (7 - 4 - 1)
Coach Mike Houston (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (28 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MEM 2nd straight Home Game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MEM -1)
Projected Score: ECU: 26 - MEM: 27 (53)
MEM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ECU Travel: 711 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (11 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (32 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	East Carolina at App State	+9.0	55.5	L 19 - 33	U	N
Sat 9/11	East Carolina vs South Carolina	+3.0	56.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/18	East Carolina at Marshall	+11.0	58.5	W 42 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/25	East Carolina vs Charleston Southern	-24.5	59.0	W 31 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/2	East Carolina vs Tulane	+3.0	65.0	W 52 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/9	East Carolina at UCF	+10.0	65.0	L 16 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	East Carolina at Houston	+13.5	56.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Thu 10/28	East Carolina vs South Florida	-9.5	55.5	W 29 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/6	East Carolina vs Temple	-15.5	52.0	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	East Carolina at Memphis	+4.0	58.5	W 30 - 29	O	Y
Sat 11/20	East Carolina at Navy	-3.5	46.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/26	East Carolina vs Cincinnati	+14.5	56.5	L 13 - 35	U	N
Mon 12/27	East Carolina vs Boston College	+3.0	52.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Memphis's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Memphis vs Nicholls	-22.5	68.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Memphis at Arkansas State	-5.5	65.0	W 55 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/18	Memphis vs Mississippi State	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Memphis vs UTSA	-3.0	66.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Memphis at Temple	-11.0	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/9	Memphis at Tulsa	+3.0	60.5	L 29 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/14	Memphis vs Navy	-11.0	55.5	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/22	Memphis at UCF	+1.5	63.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Memphis vs SMU	+3.5	72.0	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Memphis vs East Carolina	-4.0	58.5	L 29 - 30	O	N
Fri 11/19	Memphis at Houston	+9.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/27	Memphis vs Tulane	-5.5	58.0	W 33 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/24	Memphis at Hawai'i	-10.0	56.0

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.19	41%	29.7	40%	2.75	162	41%	271	3.65	.21	40%	26.3	43%	38%	3.7	49.3	1.8	1.9
MEM	.25	42%	30.1	42%	2.94	137	42%	299	3.65	.22	43%	29.3	44%	43%	3.82	39.6	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	#49 (.22)	43% (62)		44% (71)	3.07 (57)	147	43% (54)	253	3.79 (83)	#64 (.16)	40% (40)		37% (11)	43% (86)	3.85 (76)	61	2.2	1.6
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	29.7	28.2	40.6%	3.65	1.8	22	433	162	271	4.1	49%	51%	40%	41%	19%	.19
MEM Defense	12	29.3	25.3	43.4%	3.82	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	43%	16%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	26.3	31	40.4%	3.7	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	38%	19%	.21
MEM Offense	12	30.1	32.3	42.2%	3.65	1.6	23	436	137	299	4	44%	56%	42%	42%	17%	.25

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	33:59	22.3	35%	72%	5.3	49.3	1.8	1.9	6.1	2.2	2	29.5
Memphis	12	26:42	22.5	41%	58%	4.8	39.6	1.6	1.7	5.7	2.3	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	49%	40%	39.6	162.4	4.1	20	.1	2.75	70%	12%	1.08
MEM Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.26	73%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	70%	11%	1.1
MEM Offense	12	44%	42%	34.7	137.1	4	18	.14	2.94	77%	10%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	51%	41%	21.8	35.3	270.8	7.7	12.5	21	11	.28	1.7	33%	30%	.26	7%	2.1
MEM Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.5	28%	35%	.46	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.24	1.7	33%	28%	.25	8%	2.1
MEM Offense	12	56%	42%	22.3	37.1	298.8	8.1	13.4	26	11	.33	1.7	35%	33%	.46	8%	2.3

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #76
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.5 #78
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #80
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #83

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: Memphis: 3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 0.5 Memphis: 1.0

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 3 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2021 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #74
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #60
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.2
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 31

East Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 27
East Carolina 26

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 25
East Carolina 24

Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 30
East Carolina 28

Total Points: 58

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Memphis's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	East Carolina	31	Memphis	27	East Carolina -3	East Carolina	56.5	Over
2022	10/15	East Carolina	47	Memphis	45	East Carolina -5.5	Memphis	62.5	Over
2021	11/13	Memphis	29	East Carolina	30	Memphis -4	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2018	11/03	East Carolina	41	Memphis	59	Memphis -11	Memphis	66.5	Over
2017	11/25	Memphis	70	East Carolina	13	Memphis -29.5	Memphis	81.0	Over
2012	10/13	East Carolina	41	Memphis	7
2011	10/15	Memphis	17	East Carolina	35
2010	09/11	East Carolina	49	Memphis	27
2009	10/27	Memphis	19	East Carolina	38
2008	10/18	East Carolina	30	Memphis	10
2007	11/03	Memphis	40	East Carolina	56
2006	09/16	East Carolina	35	Memphis	20
2005	10/22	Memphis	27	East Carolina	24
2004	11/20	East Carolina	35	Memphis	38
2003	11/01	Memphis	41	East Carolina	24
2001	10/20	East Carolina	32	Memphis	11
2000	10/06	Memphis	17	East Carolina	10

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	6	3	5 Overs
East Carolina	11	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 6	2 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	6 - 11	3 - 2	1 - 0	2 - 2

(#) ECU at (#) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#74
Perf GradeGrade	#104	#74
OffenseOff	#103	#81
DefenseDef	#87	#45
Spec TeamsST	#122	#76
TalentTal	#76	#65
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

Memphis Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#103	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#80	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#96	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#111	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#78	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#122	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	#94	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#68

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#37
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 47°

Rematch from Week 11
Memphis -4.0 (58.5)
East Carolina won at Memphis this year (30-29)

Previous Matchups
East Carolina beat Memphis in 2022 (47-45)

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MEM's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD