Navy at Memphis - 2021 Matchup Preview

Thursday, October 14th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Memphis -11 (55.5)
Memphis 35 - Navy: 17 (American Athletic)

Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 20 - 28 (20 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MEM is playing their 7th straight game
NAVY is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ MEM -10)
Projected Score: NAVY: 25 - MEM: 28 (53)
MEM Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (11 - 4)
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (32 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NAVY Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Navy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Navy vs Marshall	+3.5	46.5	L 7 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/11	Navy vs Air Force	+6.0	40.0	L 3 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Navy at Houston	+20.0	47.0	L 20 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Navy vs UCF	+15.0	52.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Navy vs SMU	+13.5	57.0	L 24 - 31	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Navy at Memphis	+11.0	55.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/23	Navy vs Cincinnati	+28.5	49.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Fri 10/29	Navy at Tulsa	+11.0	46.0	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Navy at Notre Dame	+21.0	47.5	L 6 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Navy vs East Carolina	+3.5	46.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Navy at Temple	-13.5	42.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11	Navy at Army	-7.0	35.5	W 17 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule

Memphis's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Memphis vs Nicholls	-22.5	68.0	W 42 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Memphis at Arkansas State	-5.5	65.0	W 55 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/18	Memphis vs Mississippi State	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 29	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Memphis vs UTSA	-3.0	66.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/2	Memphis at Temple	-11.0	58.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/9	Memphis at Tulsa	+3.0	60.5	L 29 - 35	O	N
Thu 10/14	Memphis vs Navy	-11.0	55.5	W 35 - 17	U	Y
Fri 10/22	Memphis at UCF	+1.5	63.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Memphis vs SMU	+3.5	72.0	W 28 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Memphis vs East Carolina	-4.0	58.5	L 29 - 30	O	N
Fri 11/19	Memphis at Houston	+9.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/27	Memphis vs Tulane	-5.5	58.0	W 33 - 28	O	N
Fri 12/24	Memphis at Hawai'i	-10.0	56.0

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	.12	37%	20.1	38%	2.89	226	27%	57	3.87	.21	42%	28.3	41%	44%	3.87	35.2	0.7	1.3
MEM	.25	42%	30.1	42%	2.94	137	42%	299	3.65	.22	43%	29.3	44%	43%	3.82	39.6	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NAVY	#12 (.31)	44% (51)		46% (43)	3.27 (32)	231	39% (101)	117	4.39 (26)	#28 (.1)	41% (61)		46% (95)	37% (24)	3.48 (35)	41.9	1.1	1.8
MEM	#23 (.27)	44% (57)		46% (40)	3.27 (31)	175	41% (71)	270	4.66 (14)	#87 (.19)	40% (47)		40% (45)	40% (62)	4.05 (96)	48	0.6	1.9

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Offense	12	20.1	19.7	36.6%	3.87	0.7	17	283	226	57	3.9	84%	15%	38%	27%	14%	.12
MEM Defense	12	29.3	25.3	43.4%	3.82	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	44%	43%	16%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NAVY Defense	12	28.3	23.5	42.4%	3.87	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	44%	16%	.21
MEM Offense	12	30.1	32.3	42.2%	3.65	1.6	23	436	137	299	4	44%	56%	42%	42%	17%	.25

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Navy	12	34:47	16.7	37%	69%	4.4	35.2	0.7	1.3	5.1	1.3	2	30.5
Memphis	12	26:42	22.5	41%	58%	4.8	39.6	1.6	1.7	5.7	2.3	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense	12	84%	38%	58.1	226	3.9	19	.15	2.89	78%	13%	1.11
MEM Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.26	73%	9%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense	12	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.68	71%	11%	1.07
MEM Offense	12	44%	42%	34.7	137.1	4	18	.14	2.94	77%	10%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense	12	15%	27%	4	8.1	56.8	7	14.2	6	3	-.03	1.8	30%	23%	.13	1%	1.9
MEM Defense	12	50%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.5	28%	35%	.46	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense	12	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.32	1.6	32%	34%	.44	5%	2
MEM Offense	12	56%	42%	22.3	37.1	298.8	8.1	13.4	26	11	.33	1.7	35%	33%	.46	8%	2.3

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5 #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy: Memphis: 3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.5 Memphis: 1.0

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 3 NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Memphis's 2021 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #74
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #60
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Navy Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.5

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 28
Navy 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Memphis 29
Navy 26

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Memphis 28
Navy 24

Total Points: 52

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 29.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Memphis's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/27	Memphis	17	Navy	28	Memphis -3.5	Navy	57.5	Under
2024	09/21	Navy	56	Memphis	44	Memphis -9.5	Navy	47.0	Over
2023	09/14	Memphis	28	Navy	24	Memphis -12.5	Navy	47.0	Over
2022	09/10	Navy	13	Memphis	37	Memphis -4.5	Memphis	47.5	Over
2021	10/14	Memphis	35	Navy	17	Memphis -11	Memphis	55.5	Under
2020	11/28	Navy	7	Memphis	10	Memphis -13.5	Navy	62.5	Under
2019	09/26	Memphis	35	Navy	23	Memphis -11	Memphis	53.5	Over
2018	09/08	Navy	22	Memphis	21	Memphis -7	Navy	67.0	Under
2017	10/14	Memphis	30	Navy	27	Memphis -3.5	Navy	73.0	Under
2016	10/22	Navy	42	Memphis	28	Memphis -2	Navy	57.0	Over
2015	11/07	Memphis	20	Navy	45	Memphis -8.5	Navy	62.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	6	3	6 Overs
Navy	5	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 7	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) MEM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NAVY	MEM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#103	#74
Perf GradeGrade	#115	#74
OffenseOff	#93	#81
DefenseDef	#125	#45
Spec TeamsST	#39	#76
TalentTal	#141	#65
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Navy Injury Report

Memphis Injury Report

Navy on Offense


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	MEM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#93	#45
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#116	#78
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Navy Run Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	MEM Def
Run GameRun	#125	#64
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

Navy Pass Game


CategoryCat	NAVY Off	MEM Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#136	#92
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Memphis on Offense


CategoryCat	MEM Off	NAVY Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#81	#125
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Memphis Run Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	NAVY Def
Run GameRun	#94	#109
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#94

Memphis Pass Game


CategoryCat	MEM Off	NAVY Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#120
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#88	#136
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Memphis -11.0 (55.5)
Memphis won vs Navy this year (35-17)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Memphis last year (56-44)
Memphis beat Navy in 2023 (28-24)
Memphis beat Navy in 2022 (37-13)

NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MEM's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD