Navy at Tulsa - 2021 Matchup Preview
Navy logo   Navy Midshipmen at Tulsa Golden Hurricane  Tulsa logo
Friday, October 29th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tulsa -11 (46.0)
Navy 20 - Tulsa: 17  (American Athletic)

 
Midshipmen (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ken Niumatalolo (101 - 69)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (26 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TLSA coming off BYE
NAVY is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ TLSA -14)
Projected Score: NAVY: 28 - TLSA: 26 (54)
TLSA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
NAVY Travel: 1080 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Golden Hurricane (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (31 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Navy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Navy vs Marshall+3.546.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/11 Navy vs Air Force+6.040.0L 3 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Navy at Houston+20.047.0L 20 - 28OY
Sat 10/2 Navy vs UCF+15.052.5W 34 - 30OY
Sat 10/9 Navy vs SMU+13.557.0L 24 - 31UY
Thu 10/14 Navy at Memphis+11.055.5L 17 - 35UN
Sat 10/23 Navy vs Cincinnati+28.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Fri 10/29 Navy at Tulsa+11.046.0W 20 - 17UY
Sat 11/6 Navy at Notre Dame+21.047.5L 6 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Navy vs East Carolina+3.546.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/27 Navy at Temple-13.542.0W 38 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/11 Navy at Army-7.035.5W 17 - 13UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Navy's Schedule
Tulsa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tulsa vs UC Davis-22.054.5L 17 - 19UN
Sat 9/11 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+11.551.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Tulsa at Ohio State+24.560.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Tulsa vs Arkansas State-14.565.0W 41 - 34ON
Fri 10/1 Tulsa vs Houston-3.054.0L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Tulsa vs Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 29OY
Sat 10/16 Tulsa at South Florida-7.556.0W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/29 Tulsa vs Navy-11.046.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/6 Tulsa at Cincinnati+22.556.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/13 Tulsa at Tulane-3.055.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/20 Tulsa vs Temple-22.050.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/27 Tulsa at SMU+6.063.0W 34 - 31OY
Mon 12/20 Tulsa vs Old Dominion-7.555.0W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY.0935%31.536%2.6217833%973.6.2143%2543%43%3.9740.21.10.9
TLSA.1241%23.242%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%28.936%36%2.7781.821.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NAVY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Offense1031.525.835.1%3.61.114275178973.776%23%36%33%15%.09
TLSA Defense928.927.236%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NAVY Defense102530.243.4%3.970.9 - - - - - 62%38%43%43%14%.21
TLSA Offense923.227.340.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Navy1030:1914.334%67%4.440.21.10.94.50.6027.4
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Offense1076%36%48.3177.63.715.032.6271%12%1.04
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NAVY Defense1062%43% - - - - .173.0583%9%1.1
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Offense1023%33%5.712.497.47.917.164.272.334%24%.263%2.3
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NAVY Defense1038%43% - - - - - - 3.281.531%33%.435%2.1
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2

Navy's Power Ratings
Navy's Power Rating: NR
Navy's Offense Rating: NR
Navy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #141
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Navy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Navy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.5  #103
Navy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0  #116
Navy's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Navy:    Tulsa: 5.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Navy: -8.5   Tulsa: 5.8




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: 5.4 NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tulsa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #61
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #67
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Navy Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 25 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Navy's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Navy 28
Tulsa 26

Projected Total Points: 54
Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Tulsa23Navy42Navy -14Navy52.5Over
202210/08Navy53Tulsa21Tulsa -4.5Navy45.5Over
202110/29Tulsa17Navy20Tulsa -11Navy46.0Under
202012/05Navy6Tulsa19Tulsa -12Tulsa46.0Under
201910/12Tulsa17Navy45Tulsa -1Navy52.0Over
201811/17Navy37Tulsa29Navy -5Navy50.5Over
201709/30Tulsa21Navy31Navy -7.5Navy70.5Under
201611/12Navy42Tulsa40Navy -1Navy71.5Over
201511/21Tulsa21Navy44Navy -9.5Navy64.5Over
200609/23Navy23Tulsa24
200409/18Tulsa0Navy29
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa216 Overs
Navy983 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 83 - 62 - 21 - 4
Road Teams8 - 36 - 34 - 12 - 2

(#) NAVY at (#) TLSA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNAVYTLSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #103 #61
Perf GradeGrade #115 #47
OffenseOff #93 #63
DefenseDef #125 #23
Spec TeamsST #39 #136
TalentTal #141 #84
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Navy on Offense
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #93 #23
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #116 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Navy Run Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #125 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
Navy Pass Game
CategoryCat
NAVY OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #116 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #136 #28
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #125
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #75
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffNAVY Def
Run GameRun #63 #109
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #94
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCatTLSA OffNAVY Def
Pass GamePass #65 #120
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #40 #136
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

NAVY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Tulsa -11.0 (46.0)
Navy won at Tulsa this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Navy beat Tulsa last year (42-23)

  
NAVY's OC Vacant (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Navy's Full Roster

NAVY's DC Brian Newberry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD