Michigan at Nebraska - 2021 Matchup Preview
Michigan logo   Michigan Wolverines at Nebraska Cornhuskers  Nebraska logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -2.5 (50.5)
Michigan 32 - Nebraska: 29  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (12 - 2) (11 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (52 - 22)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (26 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH 2nd straight Road Game
NEB 2nd straight Home Game
NEB is playing their 6th straight game
MICH is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ MICH -13)
Projected Score: MICH: 25 - NEB: 28 (53)
MICH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MICH Travel: 677 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Cornhuskers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (14 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Michigan vs Western Michigan-16.565.5W 47 - 14UY
Sat 9/11 Michigan vs Washington-6.547.5W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/18 Michigan vs Northern Illinois-27.554.5W 63 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Michigan vs Rutgers-20.050.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 10/2 Michigan at Wisconsin+2.043.5W 38 - 17OY
Sat 10/9 Michigan at Nebraska-2.550.5W 32 - 29OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Michigan vs Northwestern-23.551.5W 33 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 Michigan at Michigan State-4.050.5L 33 - 37ON
Sat 11/6 Michigan vs Indiana-20.551.0W 29 - 7UY
Sat 11/13 Michigan at Penn State-2.548.0W 21 - 17UY
Sat 11/20 Michigan at Maryland-16.058.5W 59 - 18OY
Sat 11/27 Michigan vs Ohio State+6.563.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 12/4 Michigan vs Iowa-12.043.5W 42 - 3OY
Fri 12/31 Michigan vs Georgia+7.547.0L 11 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Nebraska's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 Nebraska at Illinois-6.552.0L 22 - 30UN
Sat 9/4 Nebraska vs Fordham-42.055.0W 52 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Nebraska vs Buffalo-13.554.0W 28 - 3UY
Sat 9/18 Nebraska at Oklahoma+22.562.5L 16 - 23UY
Sat 9/25 Nebraska at Michigan State+3.555.0L 20 - 23UY
Sat 10/2 Nebraska vs Northwestern-11.051.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 10/9 Nebraska vs Michigan+2.550.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 10/16 Nebraska at Minnesota-4.548.5L 23 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Nebraska vs Purdue-7.554.0L 23 - 28UN
Sat 11/6 Nebraska vs Ohio State+14.068.5L 17 - 26UY
Sat 11/13 Nebraska vs SE Louisiana-28.5
Sat 11/20 Nebraska at Wisconsin+10.043.5L 28 - 35OY
Fri 11/26 Nebraska vs Iowa-1.541.0L 21 - 28ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2343%27.545%2.9413142%2504.09.2242%20.441%44%4.3657.510.3
NEB.1847%28.750%3.0120144%1883.3.1942%24.641%43%3.7560.62.30.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NEB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense627.526.443.1%4.091193821312504.643%57%45%42%16%.23
NEB Defense824.620.942.2%3.750.9 - - - - - 55%45%41%43%17%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense620.424.442.4%4.360.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%44%10%.22
NEB Offense828.736.147.3%3.32.3213892011884.858%42%50%44%18%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan625:3019.336%44%5.857.510.33.31.5127
Nebraska828:2521.336%62%6.860.62.30.96.61.6024.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense643%45%28.7131.24.612.12.9461%8%0.97
NEB Defense855%41% - - - - .122.7358%12%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense653%41% - - - - .12.9292%5%0.97
NEB Offense858%50%41.8201.44.815.23.0182%13%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense657%42%20.535.5250.37.112.294.331.634%35%.478%2
NEB Defense845%43% - - - - - - 5.271.530%34%.355%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense647%44% - - - - - - 1.361.631%35%.415%1.9
NEB Offense842%44%19.428.51886.69.759.161.327%25%.245%2

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.4  #4
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.5  #19
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan:    Nebraska: 7.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 23.4   Nebraska: 10.3




Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 7.65 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2021 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #33
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #27

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.4

Michigan's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 11 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 7
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Nebraska 28
Michigan 25

Projected Total Points: 53
Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Nebraska27Michigan30Michigan -1.5Michigan47.5Over
202309/30Nebraska7Michigan45Michigan -17Michigan39.5Over
202211/12Michigan34Nebraska3Michigan -30.5Michigan49.5Under
202110/09Nebraska29Michigan32Michigan -2.5Michigan50.5Over
201809/22Michigan56Nebraska10Michigan -18Michigan52.0Over
201311/09Michigan13Nebraska17Michigan -6.5Nebraska0
201210/27Nebraska23Michigan9
201111/19Michigan45Nebraska17
200512/28Nebraska32Michigan28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Nebraska314 Overs
Michigan651 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 42 - 42 - 10 - 3
Road Teams4 - 54 - 23 - 01 - 2

(#) MICH at (#) NEB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMICHNEB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #35
Perf GradeGrade #6 #93
OffenseOff #30 #78
DefenseDef #6 #83
Spec TeamsST #17 #63
TalentTal #15 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
MICH OffNEB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #30 #83
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffNEB Def
Run GameRun #5 #114
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #61 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #80
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffNEB Def
Pass GamePass #41 #27
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #50 #68
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Nebraska on Offense
CategoryCatNEB OffMICH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #78 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Nebraska Run Game
CategoryCat
NEB OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #88 #10
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #6
Nebraska Pass Game
CategoryCatNEB OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #58 #34
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #132 #3
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 6
Michigan 2.5 (50.5)
Michigan won at Nebraska this year (32-29)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Nebraska last year (30-27)
Michigan beat Nebraska in 2023 (45-7)

  
MICH's OC Josh Gattis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC Mike Macdonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NEB's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD