Miami (OH) at Ohio - 2021 Matchup Preview

Tuesday, November 2nd 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Miami (OH) -7 (54.5)
Ohio 35 - Miami (OH): 33 (Mid-American)

RedHawks (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (33 - 48)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (24 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

M-OH coming off BYE
OHIO coming off BYE
Our Line: -4 (SP+ M-OH -13)
Projected Score: M-OH: 27 - OHIO: 23 (50)
M-OH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 141 miles

Bobcats (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (25 - 32 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
M-OH Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Miami (OH) at Cincinnati	+22.5	49.0	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/11	Miami (OH) at Minnesota	+18.5	55.0	L 26 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Miami (OH) vs Long Island University	-39.5	55.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/25	Miami (OH) at Army	+7.5	49.0	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/2	Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan	+2.5	56.5	W 28 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	58.0	L 12 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/16	Miami (OH) vs Akron	-20.0	51.0	W 34 - 21	O	N
Sat 10/23	Miami (OH) at Ball State	+3.5	53.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Miami (OH) at Ohio	-7.0	54.5	L 33 - 35	O	N
Tue 11/9	Miami (OH) vs Buffalo	-7.0	58.0	W 45 - 18	O	Y
Tue 11/16	Miami (OH) vs Bowling Green	-17.0	52.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Miami (OH) at Kent State	-1.0	68.0	L 47 - 48	O	N
Thu 12/23	Miami (OH) vs North Texas	-2.0	56.5	W 27 - 14	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule

Ohio's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Ohio vs Syracuse	-2.0	55.5	L 9 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ohio vs Duquesne	-28.5	49.0	L 26 - 28	O	N
Thu 9/16	Ohio at Louisiana	+18.5	56.5	L 14 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ohio at Northwestern	+13.5	47.5	L 6 - 35	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ohio at Akron	-10.0	55.0	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ohio vs Central Michigan	+5.0	58.0	L 27 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Ohio at Buffalo	+7.5	54.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Ohio vs Kent State	+5.0	68.5	L 27 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ohio vs Miami (OH)	+7.0	54.5	W 35 - 33	O	Y
Tue 11/9	Ohio at Eastern Michigan	+6.0	61.5	W 34 - 26	U	Y
Tue 11/16	Ohio vs Toledo	+7.5	57.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Fri 11/26	Ohio at Bowling Green	-6.0	48.0	L 10 - 21	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	.27	42%	28.9	41%	3.08	148	43%	279	3.83	.22	42%	23.1	41%	43%	3.75	60.8	0.9	1.3
OHIO	.22	45%	22.6	47%	3.49	187	43%	184	3.85	.27	47%	30.3	45%	50%	4.01	58.6	1.3	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
M-OH	#95 (.15)	41% (97)		38% (119)	3.1 (51)	121	44% (48)	204	3.43 (108)	#38 (.12)	44% (92)		46% (100)	42% (74)	2.91 (6)	38.6	1.1	1.4
OHIO	#40 (.24)	46% (30)		47% (35)	3.1 (52)	214	45% (35)	193	4.15 (47)	#23 (.1)	37% (10)		34% (3)	40% (57)	3.79 (68)	44.9	1.6	1.5

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Offense	13	28.9	23.7	41.8%	3.83	0.9	21	426	148	279	4.3	46%	54%	41%	43%	17%	.27
OHIO Defense	12	30.3	31.5	47%	4.01	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	45%	50%	12%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
M-OH Defense	13	23.1	30.9	41.9%	3.75	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	41%	43%	23%	.22
OHIO Offense	12	22.6	24.5	44.9%	3.85	1.3	20	371	187	184	5.2	56%	44%	47%	43%	16%	.22

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Miami (OH)	13	29:45	21.5	40%	43%	6.7	60.8	0.9	1.3	7.8	2.9	1	27.6
Ohio	12	29:46	20.2	36%	65%	6.2	58.6	1.3	0.8	4.6	1.3	1	29

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense	13	46%	41%	34.8	147.6	4.3	15	.14	3.08	80%	9%	0.99
OHIO Defense	12	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	64%	8%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.11	82%	16%	1.11
OHIO Offense	12	56%	47%	36.2	187.3	5.2	20	.28	3.49	71%	11%	1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense	13	54%	43%	19	32.8	278.5	8.5	14.7	32	8	.37	1.7	35%	35%	.41	7%	2
OHIO Defense	12	49%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.35	1.4	26%	33%	.39	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.27	1.6	33%	27%	.28	7%	2.4
OHIO Offense	12	44%	43%	16.7	26.1	184.1	7.1	11.1	11	8	.18	1.3	31%	30%	.31	5%	1.9

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.5 #73
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #63
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #67

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): Ohio: -3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): 1.5 Ohio: -11.6

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: -3.3 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #89
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2 #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Miami (OH)'s 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Miami (OH) 27
Ohio 23

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami (OH) 25
Ohio 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 29
Ohio 25

Total Points: 54

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.5

Ohio's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/04	Ohio	24	Miami (OH)	20	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	50.5	Under
2024	10/19	Miami (OH)	30	Ohio	20	Miami (OH) -3.5	Miami (OH)	43.5	Over
2024	12/07	Miami (OH)	3	Ohio	38	Miami (OH) -2.5	Ohio	43.5	Under
2023	10/28	Ohio	16	Miami (OH)	30	Ohio -7.5	Miami (OH)	39.0	Over
2022	11/08	Miami (OH)	21	Ohio	37	Ohio -2.5	Ohio	52.0	Over
2021	11/02	Ohio	35	Miami (OH)	33	Miami (OH) -7	Ohio	54.5	Over
2019	11/06	Ohio	21	Miami (OH)	24	Ohio -7	Miami (OH)	57.5	Under
2018	11/07	Miami (OH)	30	Ohio	28	Ohio -4.5	Miami (OH)	59.0	Under
2017	10/31	Ohio	45	Miami (OH)	28	Ohio -7	Ohio	53.5	Over
2016	10/01	Miami (OH)	7	Ohio	17	Ohio -3.5	Ohio	50.0	Under
2015	10/10	Ohio	34	Miami (OH)	3	Ohio -17.5	Ohio	50.5	Under
2014	11/25	Miami (OH)	21	Ohio	24	Ohio -3	NA	52.5	Under
2013	10/26	Ohio	41	Miami (OH)	16	Ohio -24	Ohio	0
2012	10/27	Miami (OH)	23	Ohio	20
2011	11/22	Ohio	21	Miami (OH)	14
2010	10/23	Miami (OH)	13	Ohio	34
2009	10/17	Ohio	28	Miami (OH)	7
2008	11/28	Miami (OH)	26	Ohio	41
2007	11/24	Ohio	38	Miami (OH)	29
2006	11/24	Miami (OH)	24	Ohio	34
2005	11/21	Ohio	7	Miami (OH)	38
2004	09/18	Miami (OH)	40	Ohio	20
2003	11/22	Ohio	31	Miami (OH)	49
2002	11/02	Miami (OH)	38	Ohio	20
2001	10/20	Ohio	24	Miami (OH)	36
2000	11/03	Miami (OH)	27	Ohio	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	15	8	5 Overs
Miami (OH)	11	4	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	7 - 5	5 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 14	5 - 7	2 - 2	3 - 5

(#) M-OH at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	M-OH	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#58	#109
OffenseOff	#55	#86
DefenseDef	#50	#105
Spec TeamsST	#130	#110
TalentTal	#111	#117
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Miami (OH) on Offense


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#55	#105
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#115
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami (OH) Run Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	#92	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#131

Miami (OH) Pass Game


CategoryCat	M-OH Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	#29	#60
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#86
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	M-OH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#86	#50
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#67
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	M-OH Def
Run GameRun	#72	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#92	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#51

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	M-OH Def
Pass GamePass	#49	#110
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#84	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 36° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Miami (OH) 7.0 (54.5)
Ohio won vs Miami (OH) this year (35-33)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2022 (37-21)

M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC Scott Ishpording (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Pete Germano (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD