Ohio at Northwestern - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -13.5 (47.5)
Northwestern 35 - Ohio: 6

 
Bobcats (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (21 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
OHIO 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ NW -1)
Projected Score: OHIO: 22 - NW: 28 (50)
NW Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
OHIO Travel: 349 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (107 - 83)
Avg Score : 17 - 29 (21 - 19 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Ohio vs Syracuse-2.055.5L 9 - 29UN
Sat 9/11 Ohio vs Duquesne-28.549.0L 26 - 28ON
Thu 9/16 Ohio at Louisiana+18.556.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio at Northwestern+13.547.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 10/2 Ohio at Akron-10.055.0W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Ohio vs Central Michigan+5.058.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/16 Ohio at Buffalo+7.554.5L 26 - 27UY
Sat 10/23 Ohio vs Kent State+5.068.5L 27 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+7.054.5W 35 - 33OY
Tue 11/9 Ohio at Eastern Michigan+6.061.5W 34 - 26UY
Tue 11/16 Ohio vs Toledo+7.557.5L 23 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 Ohio at Bowling Green-6.048.0L 10 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Northwestern's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Northwestern vs Michigan State-3.045.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Northwestern vs Indiana State-28.546.0W 24 - 6UN
Sat 9/18 Northwestern at Duke-2.550.0L 23 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 Northwestern vs Ohio-13.547.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 10/2 Northwestern at Nebraska+11.051.5L 7 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Northwestern vs Rutgers+2.545.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Northwestern at Michigan+23.551.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 10/30 Northwestern vs Minnesota+7.543.5L 14 - 41ON
Sat 11/6 Northwestern vs Iowa+11.540.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 11/13 Northwestern at Wisconsin+26.041.5L 7 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Northwestern vs Purdue+11.047.5L 14 - 32UN
Sat 11/27 Northwestern at Illinois+7.045.0L 14 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2245%22.647%3.4918743%1843.85.2747%30.345%50%4.0158.61.30.8
NW.1238%16.643%2.8314534%1772.97.347%2948%45%4.2841.91.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1222.620.744.9%3.851.3203711871845.256%44%47%43%16%.22
NW Defense122919.246.6%4.281.5 - - - - - 53%47%48%45%12%.3
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1230.329.247%4.010.8 - - - - - 51%49%45%50%12%.27
NW Offense1216.621.238.3%2.971.8173221451773.951%48%43%34%20%.12

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1229:4620.236%65%6.258.61.30.84.61.3129
Northwestern1228:1017.336%50%4.741.91.81.541.6026.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1256%47%36.2187.35.220.283.4971%11%1.11
NW Defense1253%48% - - - - .353.4975%8%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1251%45% - - - - .23.3364%8%0.98
NW Offense1251%43%37.71453.912.122.8377%12%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1244%43%16.726.1184.17.111.1118.181.331%30%.315%1.9
NW Defense1247%45% - - - - - - 6.231.329%35%.424%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1249%50% - - - - - - 6.351.426%33%.394%1.9
NW Offense1248%34%17.330.4177.35.810.21314.141.533%24%.167%2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #109
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #89
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Northwestern: -3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -11.6   Northwestern: -11.1




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -3.05 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1  #107
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #119
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 22.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Ohio's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 28
Ohio 22

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 30
Ohio 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern 25
Ohio 23

Total Points: 48
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 16.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Northwestern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Northwestern35Ohio6Northwestern -13.5Northwestern47.5Under
200809/20Northwestern16Ohio8
200509/03Northwestern38Ohio14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern310 Overs
Ohio001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) OHIO at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIONW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #107
Perf GradeGrade #109 #122
OffenseOff #86 #122
DefenseDef #105 #112
Spec TeamsST #110 #47
TalentTal #117 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
Run GameRun #72 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #78
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #49 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #84 #119
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #122 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #115
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #73 #122
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #131
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #133 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #69 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Northwestern -13.5 (47.5)
Northwestern won vs Ohio this year (35-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OHIO's OC Scott Ishpording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Pete Germano (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD