Ohio at Northwestern - 2021 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo   Ohio Bobcats at Northwestern Wildcats  Northwestern logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -13.5 (47.5)
Northwestern 35 - Ohio: 6

 
Bobcats (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 3)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OHIO 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
OHIO is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ NW -1)
Projected Score: OHIO: 20 - NW: 25 (45)
NW Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
OHIO Travel: 349 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (107 - 83)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Ohio vs Syracuse-2.055.5L 9 - 29UN
Sat 9/11 Ohio vs Duquesne-28.549.0L 26 - 28ON
Thu 9/16 Ohio at Louisiana+18.556.5L 14 - 49ON
Sat 9/25 Ohio at Northwestern+13.547.5L 6 - 35UN
Sat 10/2 Ohio at Akron-10.055.0W 34 - 17UY
Sat 10/9 Ohio vs Central Michigan+5.058.0L 27 - 30UY
Sat 10/16 Ohio at Buffalo+7.554.5L 26 - 27UY
Sat 10/23 Ohio vs Kent State+5.068.5L 27 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2 Ohio vs Miami (OH)+7.054.5W 35 - 33OY
Tue 11/9 Ohio at Eastern Michigan+6.061.5W 34 - 26UY
Tue 11/16 Ohio vs Toledo+7.557.5L 23 - 35ON
Fri 11/26 Ohio at Bowling Green-6.048.0L 10 - 21UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Northwestern's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Northwestern vs Michigan State-3.045.5L 21 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 Northwestern vs Indiana State-28.546.0W 24 - 6UN
Sat 9/18 Northwestern at Duke-2.550.0L 23 - 30ON
Sat 9/25 Northwestern vs Ohio-13.547.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 10/2 Northwestern at Nebraska+11.051.5L 7 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Northwestern vs Rutgers+2.545.0W 21 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Northwestern at Michigan+23.551.5L 7 - 33UN
Sat 10/30 Northwestern vs Minnesota+7.543.5L 14 - 41ON
Sat 11/6 Northwestern vs Iowa+11.540.5L 12 - 17UY
Sat 11/13 Northwestern at Wisconsin+26.041.5L 7 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Northwestern vs Purdue+11.047.5L 14 - 32UN
Sat 11/27 Northwestern at Illinois+7.045.0L 14 - 47ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2443%27.845%3.2521740%1493.63.1442%21.945%38%2.4449.30.72
NW.1140%23.435%2.4316445%1993.93.0338%19.845%33%2.0640.41.62.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense327.82143.3%3.630.7173652171495.660%40%45%40%10%.24
NW Defense919.812.438.2%2.062.1 - - - - - 45%55%45%33%20%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense321.925.841.9%2.442 - - - - - 52%48%45%38%10%.14
NW Offense923.426.839.6%3.931.6203631641993.855%45%35%45%16%.11

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio329:1317.338%0%749.30.723.71.3236.9
Northwestern931:1820.340%69%540.41.62.16.11.6030.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense360%45%39216.75.68.283.2563%9%1.28
NW Defense945%45% - - - - .112.9662%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense352%45% - - - - .153.2168%6%0.92
NW Offense955%35%43.41643.816-.052.4358%11%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense340%40%1218148.78.312.440.191.631%36%.332%1.9
NW Defense955%33% - - - - - - 14-.041.434%28%.189%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense348%38% - - - - - - 5.141.531%30%.175%1.7
NW Offense945%45%19.231.4198.96.310.4128.321.530%34%.415%2

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6  #109
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #89
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Northwestern: -3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -11.6   Northwestern: -11.1




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -3.05 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1  #107
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4  #119
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 25
Ohio 20

Projected Total Points: 45
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Northwestern35Ohio6Northwestern -13.5Northwestern47.5Under
200809/20Northwestern16Ohio8
200509/03Northwestern38Ohio14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern310 Overs
Ohio001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 30 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) OHIO at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIONW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #109 #107
Perf GradeGrade #109 #122
OffenseOff #86 #122
DefenseDef #105 #112
Spec TeamsST #110 #47
TalentTal #117 #44
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #86 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
Run GameRun #72 #120
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #92 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #78
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #49 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #84 #119
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #122 #105
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #115
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #73 #122
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #131
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #133 #60
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #69 #86
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Northwestern -13.5 (47.5)
Northwestern won vs Ohio this year (35-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OHIO's OC Scott Ishpording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OHIO's DC Pete Germano (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD