UAB at Southern Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

UAB Blazers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
UAB -17 (43.0)
UAB 34 - Southern Miss: 0 (Conference USA)

Blazers (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Bill Clark (42 - 23)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Home Game
USM is playing their 7th straight game
UAB is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ UAB -23.5)
Projected Score: UAB: 27 - USM: 34 (61)
UAB Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
UAB Travel: 211 miles

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Wed 9/1	UAB vs Jacksonville State	-16.5	52.0	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/11	UAB at Georgia	+22.5	44.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/18	UAB at North Texas	-12.5	58.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/25	UAB at Tulane	+2.5	55.0	W 28 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/2	UAB vs Liberty	-3.0	49.0	L 12 - 36	U	N
Sat 10/9	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-3.5	48.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/16	UAB at Southern Miss	-17.0	43.0	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/23	UAB vs Rice	-23.5	44.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	UAB vs Louisiana Tech	-14.0	49.5	W 52 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	UAB at Marshall	+4.5	55.5	W 21 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	UAB at UTSA	+3.5	54.0	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Fri 11/26	UAB vs UTEP	-13.5	49.5	W 42 - 25	O	Y
Sat 12/18	UAB vs BYU	+7.0	54.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Southern Miss vs Grambling	-23.0	47.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Southern Miss vs Troy	+11.0	49.0	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Southern Miss at Alabama	+45.0	57.5	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/2	Southern Miss at Rice	+1.5	45.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Southern Miss vs UTEP	+1.0	46.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	Southern Miss vs UAB	+17.0	43.0	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	47.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/6	Southern Miss vs North Texas	+5.5	49.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	Southern Miss at UTSA	+32.5	54.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+15.0	47.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Southern Miss vs Florida International	-14.5	45.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	.17	42%	26.4	43%	2.83	200	41%	201	3.53	.07	33%	38.3	33%	33%	3.48	75.1	1.8	1.6
USM	.17	41%	28.8	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	27.4	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	9	26.4	24.7	42.3%	3.53	1.8	16	401	200	201	4.9	59%	41%	43%	41%	15%	.17
USM Defense	10	27.4	27.3	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	9	38.3	38.8	33%	3.48	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	33%	33%	19%	.07
USM Offense	10	28.8	30.9	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	9	28:13	16.1	41%	57%	8.2	75.1	1.8	1.6	6.6	2.3	1	29.8
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	9	59%	43%	40.7	200	4.9	17	.03	2.83	66%	9%	0.77
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	9	48%	33%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.81	64%	12%	1.2
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	9	41%	41%	15.1	27.1	201.3	7.4	13.3	14	9	.37	1.9	31%	32%	.38	6%	2.2
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	9	52%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.06	1.6	37%	23%	.15	7%	2
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: NR
UAB's Offense Rating: NR
UAB's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UAB's 2021 Expected Record: -
UAB's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.1 #43
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #47
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #30

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: Southern Miss: -4.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: 9.1 Southern Miss: -14.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -4.6 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 34
UAB 27

Projected Total Points: 61

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	10/16	Southern Miss	0	UAB	34	UAB -17	UAB	43.0	Under
2019	11/09	Southern Miss	37	UAB	2	Southern Mississippi -7	Southern Miss	49.5	Under
2018	11/10	UAB	26	Southern Miss	23	UAB -13.5	Southern Miss	45.0	Over
2017	10/28	Southern Miss	12	UAB	30	Southern Mississippi -11	UAB	50.5	Under
2014	11/29	Southern Miss	24	UAB	45	UAB -3.5	UAB	0
2013	11/30	UAB	27	Southern Miss	62	UAB -13.5	Southern Miss	0
2012	11/03	Southern Miss	19	UAB	27
2011	11/17	UAB	34	Southern Miss	31
2010	10/30	Southern Miss	49	UAB	50
2009	10/01	UAB	30	Southern Miss	17
2008	11/01	Southern Miss	70	UAB	14
2007	11/03	UAB	7	Southern Miss	37
2006	11/18	Southern Miss	25	UAB	20
2005	10/21	UAB	28	Southern Miss	37
2004	11/27	Southern Miss	26	UAB	21
2003	09/04	UAB	12	Southern Miss	17
2002	11/09	UAB	13	Southern Miss	20
2001	09/29	Southern Miss	3	UAB	0
2000	11/10	UAB	30	Southern Miss	33

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	11	3	1 Overs
UAB	8	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 11	1 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2
Road Teams	11 - 8	5 - 1	2 - 0	3 - 1

(#) UAB at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#43	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#19	#124
OffenseOff	#34	#135
DefenseDef	#11	#46
Spec TeamsST	#63	#133
TalentTal	#92	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

UAB Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#34	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#37	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#41	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#11
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#106	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#23

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#11
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
UAB 17.0 (43.0)
UAB won at Southern Miss this year (34-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UAB's OC Bryant Vincent (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC David Reeves (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD