Southern Miss at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview
Southern Miss logo   Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Alabama -45 (57.5)
Alabama 63 - Southern Miss: 14

 
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA is playing their 4th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -22.5  (SP+ ALA -40)
Projected Score: USM: 22 - ALA: 31 (53)
ALA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
USM Travel: 166 miles
Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Southern Miss at South Alabama+2.056.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 Southern Miss vs Grambling-23.047.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Southern Miss vs Troy+11.049.0L 9 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Southern Miss at Alabama+45.057.5L 14 - 63ON
Sat 10/2 Southern Miss at Rice+1.545.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Southern Miss vs UTEP+1.046.5L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 Southern Miss vs UAB+17.043.0L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee+12.547.0L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/6 Southern Miss vs North Texas+5.549.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/13 Southern Miss at UTSA+32.554.0L 17 - 27UY
Fri 11/19 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+15.047.5W 35 - 19OY
Sat 11/27 Southern Miss vs Florida International-14.545.5W 37 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Alabama vs Miami-19.561.5W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/11 Alabama vs Mercer-54.060.5W 48 - 14ON
Sat 9/18 Alabama at Florida-14.059.5W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/25 Alabama vs Southern Miss-45.057.5W 63 - 14OY
Sat 10/2 Alabama vs Ole Miss-15.079.5W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/9 Alabama at Texas A&M-18.550.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-17.559.5W 49 - 9UY
Sat 10/23 Alabama vs Tennessee-24.568.0W 52 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Alabama vs LSU-29.566.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Alabama vs New Mexico State-50.067.0W 59 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Alabama vs Arkansas-20.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Alabama at Auburn-21.057.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 12/4 Alabama vs Georgia+6.048.5W 41 - 24OY
Fri 12/31 Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6UY
Mon 1/10 Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM.1741%28.843%2.9516040%2113.46.2345%27.446%44%3.6836.71.61.2
ALA.4958%29.554%3.2918361%3585.18.1238%19.237%38%2.8848.10.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1028.828.441.2%3.461.6193711602114.454%46%43%40%17%.17
ALA Defense1319.211.437.5%2.881.7 - - - - - 47%53%37%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Defense1027.427.644.9%3.681.2 - - - - - 54%46%46%44%14%.23
ALA Offense1329.539.357.9%5.180.928541183358547%53%54%61%11%.49

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Southern Miss1028:3618.742%35%4.436.71.61.24.91.5128.7
Alabama1330:4828.160%67%648.10.91.75.52.1430
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1054%43%36.7159.54.418.152.9565%13%1.1
ALA Defense1347%37% - - - - .072.6371%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Defense1054%46% - - - - .163.0673%9%0.96
ALA Offense1347%54%36.5182.9537.233.2981%7%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1046%40%16.927.2211.37.812.5129.211.734%34%.264%1.8
ALA Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.161.734%32%.38%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Defense1046%44% - - - - - - 6.321.731%36%.435%2.1
ALA Offense1353%61%24.932.7358.21114.4424.711.622%48%.874%2.3

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2  #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss:    Alabama: 15.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -14.2   Alabama: 26.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9  #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 31
Southern Miss 22

Projected Total Points: 53
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202109/25Alabama63Southern Miss14Alabama -45Alabama57.5Over
201909/21Alabama49Southern Miss7Alabama -36.5Alabama63.0Under
201409/13Alabama52Southern Miss12Alabama -49Southern Miss0
200509/10Alabama30Southern Miss21
200410/16Alabama27Southern Miss3
200310/11Alabama17Southern Miss3
200209/21Alabama20Southern Miss7
200111/29Alabama28Southern Miss15
200009/15Alabama0Southern Miss21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama821 Overs
Southern Miss111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 12 - 12 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 81 - 20 - 01 - 2

(#) USM at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSMALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #3
Perf GradeGrade #124 #6
OffenseOff #135 #15
DefenseDef #46 #12
Spec TeamsST #133 #72
TalentTal #85 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
Run GameRun #106 #4
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #3
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCat
USM OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #134 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #130 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffUSM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #46
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #26 #30
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #3 #82
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #72
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Alabama -45.0 (57.5)
Alabama won vs Southern Miss this year (63-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD