Florida International at Southern Miss

Florida International at Southern Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, November 27th 2021 (3:00 PM EST)
Southern Mississippi -14.5 (45.5)
Southern Miss 37 - Florida International: 17 (Conference USA)

Golden Panthers (1 - 11) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Butch Davis (24 - 23)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM is playing their 5th straight game
FIU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ USM -7)
Projected Score: FIU: 26 - USM: 30 (56)
USM Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
FIU Travel: 666 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Florida International vs Long Island University	-35.0	49.0	W 48 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Florida International vs Texas State	-2.0	55.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Florida International at Texas Tech	+20.5	54.0	L 21 - 54	O	N
Sat 9/25	Florida International at Central Michigan	+12.0	55.0	L 27 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Florida International at Florida Atlantic	+10.5	52.0	L 21 - 58	O	N
Fri 10/8	Florida International vs Charlotte	+3.5	61.0	L 33 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+16.5	78.0	L 19 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Florida International at Marshall	+21.5	64.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/6	Florida International vs Old Dominion	+3.0	50.0	L 24 - 47	O	N
Sat 11/13	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	54.0	L 10 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/20	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.0	57.0	L 7 - 49	U	N
Sat 11/27	Florida International at Southern Miss	+14.5	45.5	L 17 - 37	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Southern Miss vs Grambling	-23.0	47.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Southern Miss vs Troy	+11.0	49.0	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Southern Miss at Alabama	+45.0	57.5	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/2	Southern Miss at Rice	+1.5	45.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Southern Miss vs UTEP	+1.0	46.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	Southern Miss vs UAB	+17.0	43.0	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	47.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/6	Southern Miss vs North Texas	+5.5	49.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	Southern Miss at UTSA	+32.5	54.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+15.0	47.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Southern Miss vs Florida International	-14.5	45.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	.02	32%	28.5	38%	3.21	156	26%	110	3.22	.19	43%	30	45%	40%	4.03	45	0.8	0.6
USM	.17	41%	28.8	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	27.4	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	5	28.5	22.4	32.2%	3.22	0.8	14	266	156	110	4.4	53%	47%	38%	26%	21%	.02
USM Defense	10	27.4	27.3	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	5	30	29.8	42.8%	4.03	0.6	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	45%	40%	17%	.19
USM Offense	10	28.8	30.9	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	5	26:00	13.6	35%	42%	6	45	0.8	0.6	7.2	2	2	29.7
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	5	53%	38%	35.2	156.4	4.4	8	.18	3.21	92%	13%	1.17
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	5	59%	45%	-	-	-	-	.17	2.72	72%	12%	1.01
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	5	47%	26%	11.4	25.4	110	4.3	9.7	4	2	-.17	1.5	36%	23%	.04	8%	1.3
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	5	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.23	1.4	30%	33%	.51	6%	2.2
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: NR
Florida International's Offense Rating: NR
Florida International's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida International's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida International's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.6 #126
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #117
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.2 #126

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: Southern Miss: -4.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -21.6 Southern Miss: -14.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -4.6 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2021 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Southern Miss 30
Florida International 26

Projected Total Points: 56

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/27	Southern Miss	37	Florida International	17	Southern Mississippi -14.5	Southern Miss	45.5	Over
2013	10/05	Southern Miss	23	Florida International	24	Southern Mississippi -17	Florida International	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	1	1	1 Overs
Florida International	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#) FIU at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#126	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#111	#124
OffenseOff	#104	#135
DefenseDef	#100	#46
Spec TeamsST	#90	#133
TalentTal	#83	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida International Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#55	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#120	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#117	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#90	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	FIU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#100
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#106	#77
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#134
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

FIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 13
Southern Miss -14.5 (45.5)
Southern Miss won vs Florida International this year (37-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FIU's OC Andrew Breiner (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Everett Withers (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD