North Texas at Southern Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:00 PM EDT)
North Texas -5.5 (49.0)
North Texas 38 - Southern Miss: 14 (Conference USA)

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT 2nd straight Road Game
UNT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ UNT -7.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 36 - USM: 29 (65)
UNT Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
UNT Travel: 475 miles

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Southern Miss vs Grambling	-23.0	47.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Southern Miss vs Troy	+11.0	49.0	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Southern Miss at Alabama	+45.0	57.5	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/2	Southern Miss at Rice	+1.5	45.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Southern Miss vs UTEP	+1.0	46.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	Southern Miss vs UAB	+17.0	43.0	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	47.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/6	Southern Miss vs North Texas	+5.5	49.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	Southern Miss at UTSA	+32.5	54.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+15.0	47.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Southern Miss vs Florida International	-14.5	45.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
USM	.17	41%	28.8	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	27.4	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	45.1	43.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
USM Defense	10	27.4	27.3	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	26.5	28.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
USM Offense	10	28.8	30.9	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Southern Miss: -4.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.5 Southern Miss: -14.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -4.6 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 36
Southern Miss 29

Projected Total Points: 65

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/06	Southern Miss	14	North Texas	38	North Texas -5.5	North Texas	49.0	Over
2020	10/03	North Texas	31	Southern Miss	41	North Texas -1	Southern Miss	74.0	Under
2019	10/12	Southern Miss	45	North Texas	27	Southern Mississippi -3	Southern Miss	58.5	Over
2018	10/13	North Texas	30	Southern Miss	7	North Texas -7	North Texas	52.5	Under
2017	09/30	Southern Miss	28	North Texas	43	Southern Mississippi -8	North Texas	56.5	Over
2016	11/19	North Texas	29	Southern Miss	23	Southern Mississippi -5.5	North Texas	58.5	Under
2015	10/03	Southern Miss	49	North Texas	14	Southern Mississippi -13.5	Southern Miss	66.5	Under
2014	10/18	North Texas	20	Southern Miss	30	North Texas -10.5	Southern Miss	0
2013	10/26	Southern Miss	14	North Texas	55	North Texas -9.5	North Texas	0
2004	12/14	North Texas	10	Southern Miss	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	5	4	3 Overs
North Texas	5	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 6	4 - 5	3 - 3	1 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 4	5 - 4	2 - 1	3 - 3

(#) UNT at (#) USM

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	USM
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#117
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#124
OffenseOff	#104	#135
DefenseDef	#36	#46
Spec TeamsST	#25	#133
TalentTal	#79	#85
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Southern Miss Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#32	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#106	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#130	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
North Texas 5.5 (49.0)
North Texas won at Southern Miss this year (38-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD