Troy at Southern Miss - 2021 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -11 (49.0)
Troy 21 - Southern Miss: 9

 
Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ TROY -7.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - USM: 27 (53)
TROY Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
TROY Travel: 202 miles
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Troy vs Southern-25.055.0W 55 - 3OY
Sat 9/11 Troy vs Liberty+3.062.5L 13 - 21UN
Sat 9/18 Troy at Southern Miss-11.049.0W 21 - 9UY
Sat 9/25 Troy at UL Monroe-23.549.5L 16 - 29UN
Sat 10/2 Troy at South Carolina+6.543.0L 14 - 23UN
Sat 10/9 Troy vs Georgia Southern-5.551.0W 27 - 24UN
Sat 10/16 Troy at Texas State-7.549.0W 31 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28 Troy at Coastal Carolina+17.050.0L 28 - 35OY
Sat 11/6 Troy vs South Alabama-3.547.5W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/13 Troy vs Louisiana+6.548.0L 21 - 35ON
Sat 11/20 Troy vs App State+10.051.0L 7 - 45ON
Sat 11/27 Troy at Georgia State+6.549.5L 10 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Southern Miss at South Alabama+2.056.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 Southern Miss vs Grambling-23.047.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 9/18 Southern Miss vs Troy+11.049.0L 9 - 21UN
Sat 9/25 Southern Miss at Alabama+45.057.5L 14 - 63ON
Sat 10/2 Southern Miss at Rice+1.545.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 Southern Miss vs UTEP+1.046.5L 13 - 26UN
Sat 10/16 Southern Miss vs UAB+17.043.0L 0 - 34UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee+12.547.0L 10 - 35UN
Sat 11/6 Southern Miss vs North Texas+5.549.0L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/13 Southern Miss at UTSA+32.554.0L 17 - 27UY
Fri 11/19 Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech+15.047.5W 35 - 19OY
Sat 11/27 Southern Miss vs Florida International-14.545.5W 37 - 17OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1844%23.542%2.8510346%2903.33.1443%23.943%44%3.4950.21.61.3
USM.1741%28.843%2.9516040%2113.46.2345%27.446%44%3.6836.71.61.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1123.523.444.3%3.331.6223931032903.436%64%42%46%16%.18
USM Defense1027.427.344.9%3.681.2 - - - - - 54%46%46%44%14%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1123.925.943.3%3.491.3 - - - - - 53%47%43%44%15%.14
USM Offense1028.830.941.2%3.461.6193711602114.454%46%43%40%17%.17

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1126:4921.846%59%550.21.61.362229.4
Southern Miss1028:3618.742%35%4.436.71.61.24.91.5128.7
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1136%42%29.8102.63.411.072.8563%9%0.92
USM Defense1054%46% - - - - .163.0673%9%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1153%43% - - - - .072.870%10%0.95
USM Offense1054%43%36.7159.54.418.152.9565%13%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1164%46%27.241.5290.2710.72213.241.430%37%.427%2
USM Defense1046%44% - - - - - - 6.321.731%36%.435%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1147%44% - - - - - - 8.221.530%32%.245%1.7
USM Offense1046%40%16.927.2211.37.812.5129.211.734%34%.264%1.8

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5  #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Southern Miss: -4.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: -6.5   Southern Miss: -14.2




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -4.6 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2  #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0  #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 27
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Southern Miss18Troy28Southern Miss -6.5Troy50.5Under
202411/30Troy52Southern Miss20Troy -17.5Troy48.5Over
202311/25Southern Miss17Troy35Troy -16.5Troy48.5Over
202210/08Troy27Southern Miss10Troy -7Troy44.0Under
202109/18Southern Miss9Troy21Troy -11Troy49.0Under
201909/14Troy42Southern Miss47Troy -3Southern Miss49.0Over
201609/17Southern Miss31Troy37Southern Mississippi -11.5Troy61.0Over
200812/21Troy27Southern Miss30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss214 Overs
Troy663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 62 - 52 - 30 - 2
Road Teams6 - 25 - 22 - 03 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #95 #117
Perf GradeGrade #68 #124
OffenseOff #94 #135
DefenseDef #15 #46
Spec TeamsST #93 #133
TalentTal #91 #85
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #94 #46
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #115 #89
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Run GameRun #108 #30
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #88 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #38
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Pass GamePass #54 #82
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #46 #72
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #135 #15
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #65
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Run GameRun #106 #12
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #133 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #54
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffTROY Def
Pass GamePass #134 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #130 #49
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Troy 11.0 (49.0)
Troy won at Southern Miss this year (21-9)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (28-18)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2024 (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)

  
TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD