Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Friday, November 19th 2021 (8:00 PM EST)
Louisiana Tech -15.0 (47.5)
Southern Miss 35 - Louisiana Tech: 19 (Conference USA)

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (28 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USM 2nd straight Road Game
LT 2nd straight Home Game
LT is playing their 6th straight game
USM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ LT -3)
Projected Score: USM: 24 - LT: 30 (54)
LT Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
USM Travel: 212 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USM Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Southern Miss's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+2.0	56.5	L 7 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/11	Southern Miss vs Grambling	-23.0	47.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Southern Miss vs Troy	+11.0	49.0	L 9 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/25	Southern Miss at Alabama	+45.0	57.5	L 14 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/2	Southern Miss at Rice	+1.5	45.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Southern Miss vs UTEP	+1.0	46.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/16	Southern Miss vs UAB	+17.0	43.0	L 0 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee	+12.5	47.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/6	Southern Miss vs North Texas	+5.5	49.0	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/13	Southern Miss at UTSA	+32.5	54.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech	+15.0	47.5	W 35 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Southern Miss vs Florida International	-14.5	45.5	W 37 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+20.5	52.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-11.5	70.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/18	Louisiana Tech vs SMU	+11.0	65.0	L 37 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-9.5	65.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+18.5	56.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-6.5	55.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/23	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	+5.5	59.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion	-4.0	52.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisiana Tech at UAB	+14.0	49.5	L 38 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte	-7.0	58.0	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-15.0	47.5	L 19 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-3.5	52.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM	.17	41%	28.8	43%	2.95	160	40%	211	3.46	.23	45%	27.4	46%	44%	3.68	36.7	1.6	1.2
LT	.07	39%	27.3	42%	2.78	99	37%	217	4.05	.2	45%	20.8	46%	43%	3.93	45.6	1.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Offense	10	28.8	28.4	41.2%	3.46	1.6	19	371	160	211	4.4	54%	46%	43%	40%	17%	.17
LT Defense	10	20.8	17.3	44.8%	3.93	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	43%	13%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USM Defense	10	27.4	27.6	44.9%	3.68	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	44%	14%	.23
LT Offense	10	27.3	36.5	38.8%	4.05	1.6	20	316	99	217	2.9	46%	54%	42%	37%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Southern Miss	10	28:36	18.7	42%	35%	4.4	36.7	1.6	1.2	4.9	1.5	1	28.7
Louisiana Tech	10	30:16	19.8	39%	89%	5	45.6	1.6	1.4	5.2	1.7	1	33.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Offense	10	54%	43%	36.7	159.5	4.4	18	.15	2.95	65%	13%	1.1
LT Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	70%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USM Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.06	73%	9%	0.96
LT Offense	10	46%	42%	34.2	99.2	2.9	10	.1	2.78	71%	12%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Offense	10	46%	40%	16.9	27.2	211.3	7.8	12.5	12	9	.21	1.7	34%	34%	.26	4%	1.8
LT Defense	10	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	30%	33%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USM Defense	10	46%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.32	1.7	31%	36%	.43	5%	2.1
LT Offense	10	54%	37%	22.1	35.9	216.6	6	9.8	21	14	.05	1.5	31%	30%	.26	7%	1.9

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #85
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Southern Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 #117
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #129
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #89

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: Louisiana Tech: -3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Southern Miss: -14.2 Louisiana Tech: -11.6

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -3.3 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.6

Southern Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 30
Southern Miss 24

Projected Total Points: 54

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Louisiana Tech	30	Southern Miss	20	Louisiana Tech -3	Louisiana Tech	51.5	Under
2021	11/19	Louisiana Tech	19	Southern Miss	35	Louisiana Tech -15.0	Southern Miss	47.5	Over
2020	09/19	Southern Miss	30	Louisiana Tech	31	Southern Mississippi -7	Louisiana Tech	59.0	Over
2019	10/19	Louisiana Tech	45	Southern Miss	30	Southern Mississippi -3	Louisiana Tech	58.5	Over
2018	11/17	Southern Miss	21	Louisiana Tech	20	Southern Mississippi -2.5	Louisiana Tech	45.5	Under
2017	10/21	Louisiana Tech	27	Southern Miss	34	Louisiana Tech -1.5	Southern Miss	55.5	Over
2016	11/25	Southern Miss	39	Louisiana Tech	24	Louisiana Tech -13.5	Southern Miss	71.5	Under
2015	11/28	Louisiana Tech	24	Southern Miss	58	Louisiana Tech -6.5	Southern Miss	62.0	Over
2014	10/25	Southern Miss	20	Louisiana Tech	31	Louisiana Tech -13	Southern Miss	0
2013	11/09	Louisiana Tech	36	Southern Miss	13	Louisiana Tech -14	Louisiana Tech	0
2011	09/03	Southern Miss	19	Louisiana Tech	17
2010	09/25	Louisiana Tech	12	Southern Miss	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	5	5	5 Overs
Southern Miss	7	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	2 - 5	3 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	0 - 3	5 - 2

(#) USM at (#) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USM	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#117	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#124	#102
OffenseOff	#135	#102
DefenseDef	#46	#89
Spec TeamsST	#133	#74
TalentTal	#85	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Southern Miss Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Southern Miss on Offense


CategoryCat	USM Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#135	#89
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#129	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Southern Miss Run Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#106	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#133	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

Southern Miss Pass Game


CategoryCat	USM Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#130	#87
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	USM Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#46
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#89
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	USM Def
Run GameRun	#91	#30
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#38

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	USM Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#82
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#72
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

USM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 38° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Louisiana Tech -15.0 (47.5)
Southern Miss won at Louisiana Tech this year (35-19)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Southern Miss last year (30-20)

USM's OC Cayden Cochran (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC Austin Armstrong (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD