Old Dominion at Liberty - 2021 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo Old Dominion Monarchs at Liberty FlamesLiberty logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (6:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -26.5 (53.5)
Liberty 45 - Old Dominion: 17

 
Monarchs (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (22 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ LIB -16)
Projected Score: ODU: 17 - LIB: 36 (53)
LIB Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
ODU Travel: 161 miles
Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (38 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Old Dominion's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/3 Old Dominion at Wake Forest+32.561.5L 10 - 42UY
Sat 9/11 Old Dominion vs Hampton-21.555.0W 47 - 7UY
Sat 9/18 Old Dominion at Liberty+26.553.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/25 Old Dominion vs Buffalo+13.050.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 Old Dominion at UTEP+5.548.5L 21 - 28ON
Sat 10/9 Old Dominion at Marshall+21.562.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 10/16 Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky+13.566.5L 20 - 43UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech+4.052.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Old Dominion at Florida International-3.050.0W 47 - 24OY
Sat 11/13 Old Dominion vs Florida Atlantic+6.548.0W 30 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee+3.048.5W 24 - 17UY
Sat 11/27 Old Dominion vs Charlotte-8.555.5W 56 - 34OY
Mon 12/20 Old Dominion vs Tulsa+7.555.0L 17 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Liberty's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Liberty vs Campbell-35.065.0W 48 - 7UY
Sat 9/11 Liberty at Troy-3.062.5W 21 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Liberty vs Old Dominion-26.553.5W 45 - 17OY
Fri 9/24 Liberty at Syracuse-6.554.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 10/2 Liberty at UAB+3.049.0W 36 - 12UY
Sat 10/9 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-20.059.0W 41 - 13UY
Sat 10/16 Liberty at UL Monroe-32.557.0L 28 - 31ON
Sat 10/23 Liberty at North Texas-21.061.0W 35 - 26UN
Sat 10/30 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.556.0W 62 - 17OY
Sat 11/6 Liberty at Ole Miss+7.566.5L 14 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20 Liberty vs Louisiana-4.053.5L 14 - 42ON
Sat 11/27 Liberty vs Army-3.051.5L 16 - 31UN
Sat 12/18 Liberty vs Eastern Michigan-9.558.5W 56 - 20OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU.1741%27.645%3.0516138%2153.57.1541%27.843%41%3.5860.21.81.4
LIB.2945%33.652%3.7218139%2554.57.1341%21.544%38%3.6266.51.70.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)45% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)38% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense1327.62241.4%3.571.8203751612154.251%49%45%38%21%.17
LIB Defense1321.521.241.1%3.620.8 - - - - - 56%43%44%38%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense1327.829.341.5%3.581.4 - - - - - 47%52%43%41%16%.15
LIB Offense1333.637.745.4%4.571.7234361812554.648%51%52%39%17%.29

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1328:5020.442%43%6.860.21.81.45.41.9430.6
Liberty1330:1922.643%43%7.166.51.70.87.52.8228.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1351%45%38160.54.222.173.0575%12%1.12
LIB Defense1356%44% - - - - .133.1775%12%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1347%43% - - - - .072.9667%10%0.85
LIB Offense1348%52%39.1180.84.626.353.7279%11%1.11

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1349%38%18.832.3214.86.711.41514.211.635%33%.369%2.1
LIB Defense1343%38% - - - - - - 9.161.531%29%.266%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 7.251.630%28%.176%2.2
LIB Offense1351%39%17.429.32558.714.73315.251.730%32%.316%2.1

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2021 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4  #100
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2  #108
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion:    Liberty: 6.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -7.4   Liberty: 8.4




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 6.7 NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4  #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1  #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Old Dominion's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 36
Old Dominion 17


Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 40
Old Dominion 12

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 32
Old Dominion 23

Total Points: 55
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 33.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.7
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/27Old Dominion21Liberty7Old Dominion -14.5Liberty53.5Under
202311/11Liberty38Old Dominion10Liberty -13.5Liberty58.5Under
202210/01Old Dominion24Liberty38Liberty -3.5Liberty48.0Over
202109/18Liberty45Old Dominion17Liberty -26.5Liberty53.5Over
201809/01Liberty52Old Dominion10Old Dominion -5Liberty59.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty453 Overs
Old Dominion102 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 13 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams1 - 42 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#) ODU at (#) LIB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatODULIB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #49
Perf GradeGrade #86 #28
OffenseOff #95 #27
DefenseDef #62 #26
Spec TeamsST #48 #44
TalentTal #104 #135
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Old Dominion on Offense
CategoryCat
ODU OffLIB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #95 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Old Dominion Run Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffLIB Def
Run GameRun #49 #48
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #20
Old Dominion Pass Game
CategoryCat
ODU OffLIB Def
Pass GamePass #80 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #83 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCatLIB OffODU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #62
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffODU Def
Run GameRun #19 #42
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #55 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #78
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCatLIB OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #35 #29
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #123
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81°Rain: 0.008
Rematch from Week 3
Liberty -26.5 (53.5)
Liberty won vs Old Dominion this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2023 (38-10)
Liberty beat Old Dominion in 2022 (38-24)

  
ODU's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD