Liberty at Syracuse - 2021 Matchup Preview

Friday, September 24th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Liberty -6.5 (54.0)
Syracuse 24 - Liberty: 21

Flames (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Hugh Freeze (21 - 6)
Avg Score : 26 - 27 (20 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SYR 3rd straight Home Game
SYR is playing their 4th straight game
LIB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ LIB -8)
Projected Score: LIB: 27 - SYR: 23 (50)
LIB Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
LIB Travel: 424 miles

Orange (5 - 7) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Dino Babers (26 - 37)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
LIB Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Liberty's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Liberty vs Campbell	-35.0	65.0	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Liberty at Troy	-3.0	62.5	W 21 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Liberty vs Old Dominion	-26.5	53.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Liberty at Syracuse	-6.5	54.0	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/2	Liberty at UAB	+3.0	49.0	W 36 - 12	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Liberty vs Middle Tennessee	-20.0	59.0	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Liberty at UL Monroe	-32.5	57.0	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/23	Liberty at North Texas	-21.0	61.0	W 35 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/30	Liberty vs Massachusetts	-35.5	56.0	W 62 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Liberty at Ole Miss	+7.5	66.5	L 14 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/20	Liberty vs Louisiana	-4.0	53.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/27	Liberty vs Army	-3.0	51.5	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/18	Liberty vs Eastern Michigan	-9.5	58.5	W 56 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule

Syracuse's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Syracuse at Ohio	+2.0	55.5	W 29 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Syracuse vs Rutgers	+2.5	50.5	L 7 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/18	Syracuse vs UAlbany	-21.5	41.0	W 62 - 24	O	Y
Fri 9/24	Syracuse vs Liberty	+6.5	54.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Syracuse at Florida State	+5.5	50.0	L 30 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	+5.5	59.0	L 37 - 40	O	Y
Fri 10/15	Syracuse vs Clemson	+12.5	44.0	L 14 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+3.5	45.5	W 41 - 36	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Syracuse vs Boston College	-6.5	51.5	W 21 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/13	Syracuse at Louisville	+3.0	55.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/20	Syracuse at NC State	+11.0	49.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/27	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+12.0	58.5	L 14 - 31	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB	.32	50%	25.6	53%	3.27	253	47%	230	3.73	.17	42%	26.5	46%	37%	2.98	55.4	1.5	1.5
SYR	-.02	32%	20.2	35%	2.6	92	30%	173	2.36	.2	45%	34.9	46%	45%	3.34	65.9	1.9	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LIB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Offense	11	25.6	19.7	50.4%	3.73	1.5	25	482	253	230	5.8	58%	42%	53%	47%	16%	.32
SYR Defense	11	34.9	28.8	45.4%	3.34	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	45%	16%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LIB Defense	11	26.5	25.7	41.6%	2.98	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	46%	37%	17%	.17
SYR Offense	11	20.2	21.8	31.8%	2.36	1.9	13	265	92	173	3.2	42%	58%	35%	30%	22%	-.02

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Liberty	11	32:18	24.8	48%	76%	5.9	55.4	1.5	1.5	5.4	2.4	1	30.8
Syracuse	11	24:31	13.2	26%	35%	7	65.9	1.9	2.2	6.3	2.2	3	29

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Offense	11	58%	53%	43.8	252.6	5.8	27	.28	3.27	75%	11%	1.04
SYR Defense	11	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.01	84%	10%	0.92

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LIB Defense	11	50%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.19	70%	11%	0.96
SYR Offense	11	42%	35%	28.9	91.5	3.2	5	-.12	2.6	67%	15%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Offense	11	42%	47%	17.5	27.8	229.6	8.3	13.2	25	7	.38	1.6	27%	38%	.56	5%	2.2
SYR Defense	11	46%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	13	.28	1.6	28%	33%	.44	6%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LIB Defense	11	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.2	1.6	34%	29%	.26	6%	1.8
SYR Offense	11	58%	30%	15.7	30.5	173.3	5.7	11	15	12	.05	1.7	39%	22%	.13	7%	2.2

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2021 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 #49
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #47
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #38

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty: Syracuse: 2.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 8.4 Syracuse: 0.3

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: 2.65 NR
Syracuse's Offense Rating: NR
Syracuse's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Syracuse's 2021 Expected Record: -
Syracuse's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #79
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #54

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Liberty Scoring
Offense: 25.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.7

Liberty's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Liberty 27
Syracuse 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/24	Syracuse	24	Liberty	21	Liberty -6.5	Syracuse	54.0	Under
2020	10/17	Syracuse	21	Liberty	38	Liberty -3	Liberty	55.0	Over
2019	08/31	Liberty	0	Syracuse	24	Syracuse -19.5	Syracuse	69.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	2	1 Overs
Liberty	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 2	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	2 - 1	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LIB	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#79
Perf GradeGrade	#28	#97
OffenseOff	#27	#115
DefenseDef	#26	#54
Spec TeamsST	#44	#86
TalentTal	#135	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Liberty Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

Liberty on Offense


CategoryCat	LIB Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#27	#54
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#54
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Liberty Run Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#19	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#55	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#9

Liberty Pass Game


CategoryCat	LIB Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#35	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#52	#62
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	LIB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#26
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#82	#38
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	LIB Def
Run GameRun	#19	#48
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#114	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	LIB Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#112	#6
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top G5

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Liberty 6.5 (54.0)
Syracuse won vs Liberty this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

LIB's OC Kent Austin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Liberty's Full Roster

LIB's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

SYR's OC Sterlin Gilbert (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Tony White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD