Tennessee at Florida - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Florida Gators  Florida logo
Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Florida -19 (65.0)
Florida 38 - Tennessee: 14  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 2nd straight Home Game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ TENN -6.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 30 - FLA: 27 (57)
FLA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
TENN Travel: 445 miles
Gators (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (31 - 10)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-23.551.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Florida at South Florida-29.057.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/18 Florida vs Alabama+14.059.5L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 Florida vs Tennessee-19.065.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/2 Florida at Kentucky-7.556.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/9 Florida vs Vanderbilt-39.060.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Florida at LSU-12.561.0L 42 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 7 - 34UN
Sat 11/6 Florida at South Carolina-20.552.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/13 Florida vs Samford-36.068.5W 70 - 52ON
Sat 11/20 Florida at Missouri-9.569.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Florida vs Florida State-4.058.5W 24 - 21UN
Thu 12/23 Florida vs UCF-7.056.0L 17 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
FLA.3250%21.645%3.1913154%3794.51.2446%2448%43%4.0446.41.61.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1039.83743.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14
FLA Defense122418.745.8%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%51%48%43%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
FLA Offense1221.62950.3%4.511.6265101313794.341%59%45%54%15%.32

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Florida1231:0226.350%58%5.546.41.61.362.8128.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85
FLA Defense1249%48% - - - - .23.2175%10%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
FLA Offense1241%45%30.6131.34.312.133.1977%8%0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8
FLA Defense1251%43% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.396%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
FLA Offense1259%54%26.839.4378.69.614.24610.461.628%42%.518%2

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Florida: 8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 17.5   Florida: 11.0




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 8 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 30
Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 57
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Florida11Tennessee31Tennessee -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202410/12Tennessee23Florida17Tennessee -13.5Florida54.5Under
202309/16Florida29Tennessee16Tennessee -5Florida57.0Under
202209/24Tennessee38Florida33Tennessee -11Florida62.0Over
202109/25Florida38Tennessee14Florida -19Florida65.0Under
202012/05Tennessee19Florida31Florida -18.5Tennessee63.0Under
201909/21Florida34Tennessee3Florida -12.5Florida49.5Under
201809/22Tennessee21Florida47Florida -3.5Florida46.0Over
201709/16Florida26Tennessee20Florida -6.5Tennessee50.5Under
201609/24Tennessee38Florida28Tennessee -8Tennessee42.5Over
201509/26Florida28Tennessee27Florida -3Tennessee50.5Over
201410/04Tennessee9Florida10Florida -1.5Tennessee0
201309/21Florida31Tennessee17Florida -15.5Tennessee0
201209/15Tennessee20Florida37
201109/17Florida33Tennessee23
201009/18Tennessee17Florida31
200909/19Florida23Tennessee13
200809/20Tennessee6Florida30
200709/15Florida59Tennessee20
200609/16Tennessee20Florida21
200509/17Florida16Tennessee7
200409/18Tennessee30Florida28
200309/20Florida10Tennessee24
200209/21Tennessee13Florida30
200112/01Florida32Tennessee34
200009/15Tennessee23Florida27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida1964 Overs
Tennessee777 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 147 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) TENN at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #29
Perf GradeGrade #78 #89
OffenseOff #81 #73
DefenseDef #68 #90
Spec TeamsST #110 #84
TalentTal #19 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #11 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #60 #115
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #29
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #73 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #3 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #84 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Florida -19.0 (65.0)
Florida won vs Tennessee this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Florida last year (31-11)
Tennessee beat Florida in 2024 (23-17)
Florida beat Tennessee in 2023 (29-16)

  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC Dan Mullen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD