Tennessee at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, October 23rd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -24.5 (68.0)
Alabama 52 - Tennessee: 24  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA is playing their 8th straight game
TENN is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ ALA -9)
Projected Score: TENN: 27 - ALA: 32 (59)
ALA Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
TENN Travel: 280 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Alabama vs Miami-19.561.5W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/11 Alabama vs Mercer-54.060.5W 48 - 14ON
Sat 9/18 Alabama at Florida-14.059.5W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/25 Alabama vs Southern Miss-45.057.5W 63 - 14OY
Sat 10/2 Alabama vs Ole Miss-15.079.5W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/9 Alabama at Texas A&M-18.550.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-17.559.5W 49 - 9UY
Sat 10/23 Alabama vs Tennessee-24.568.0W 52 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Alabama vs LSU-29.566.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Alabama vs New Mexico State-50.067.0W 59 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Alabama vs Arkansas-20.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Alabama at Auburn-21.057.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 12/4 Alabama vs Georgia+6.048.5W 41 - 24OY
Fri 12/31 Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6UY
Mon 1/10 Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
ALA.4958%29.554%3.2918361%3585.18.1238%19.237%38%2.8848.10.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1039.83743.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14
ALA Defense1319.211.437.5%2.881.7 - - - - - 47%53%37%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
ALA Offense1329.539.357.9%5.180.928541183358547%53%54%61%11%.49

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Alabama1330:4828.160%67%648.10.91.75.52.1430
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85
ALA Defense1347%37% - - - - .072.6371%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
ALA Offense1347%54%36.5182.9537.233.2981%7%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8
ALA Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.161.734%32%.38%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
ALA Offense1353%61%24.932.7358.21114.4424.711.622%48%.874%2.3

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Alabama: 15.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 17.5   Alabama: 26.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9  #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 32
Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 59
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Alabama37Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama60.5Under
202410/19Tennessee24Alabama17Alabama -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202310/21Alabama34Tennessee20Alabama -8.5Alabama47.5Over
202210/15Tennessee52Alabama49Alabama -9Tennessee68.0Over
202110/23Alabama52Tennessee24Alabama -24.5Alabama68.0Over
202010/24Tennessee17Alabama48Alabama -21.5Alabama67.0Under
201910/19Alabama35Tennessee13Alabama -35Tennessee62.0Under
201810/20Tennessee21Alabama58Alabama -29.5Alabama57.5Over
201710/21Alabama45Tennessee7Alabama -36.5Alabama51.5Over
201610/15Tennessee10Alabama49Alabama -9Alabama54.5Over
201510/24Alabama19Tennessee14Alabama -14.5Tennessee48.5Under
201410/25Tennessee20Alabama34Alabama -15.5Tennessee0
201310/26Alabama45Tennessee10Alabama -26.5Alabama0
201210/20Tennessee13Alabama44
201110/22Alabama37Tennessee6
201010/23Tennessee10Alabama41
200910/24Alabama12Tennessee10
200810/25Tennessee9Alabama29
200710/20Alabama41Tennessee17
200610/21Tennessee16Alabama13
200510/22Alabama6Tennessee3
200410/23Tennessee17Alabama13
200310/25Alabama43Tennessee51
200210/26Tennessee14Alabama34
200110/20Alabama24Tennessee35
200010/20Tennessee20Alabama10
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1986 Overs
Tennessee755 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 55 - 23 - 3
Road Teams10 - 165 - 83 - 32 - 5

(#) TENN at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #3
Perf GradeGrade #78 #6
OffenseOff #81 #15
DefenseDef #68 #12
Spec TeamsST #110 #72
TalentTal #19 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Run GameRun #11 #4
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #3
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #60 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #26 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #3 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Alabama -24.5 (68.0)
Alabama won vs Tennessee this year (52-24)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Tennessee last year (37-20)
Tennessee beat Alabama in 2024 (24-17)
Alabama beat Tennessee in 2023 (34-20)

  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD