Tennessee at Missouri - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tennessee logo   Tennessee Volunteers at Missouri Tigers  Missouri logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Missouri -2.5 (66.5)
Tennessee 62 - Missouri: 24  (SEC)

 
Volunteers (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (37 - 29 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Road Game
MIZ is playing their 5th straight game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ TENN -14.5)
Projected Score: TENN: 29 - MIZ: 32 (61)
MIZ Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
TENN Travel: 505 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Eliah Drinkwitz (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (40 - 21 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tennessee vs Bowling Green-37.060.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/11 Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+3.556.0L 34 - 41ON
Sat 9/18 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-38.053.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/25 Tennessee at Florida+19.065.0L 14 - 38UN
Sat 10/2 Tennessee at Missouri+2.566.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 10/9 Tennessee vs South Carolina-10.557.0W 45 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Tennessee vs Ole Miss+1.082.0L 26 - 31UN
Sat 10/23 Tennessee at Alabama+24.568.0L 24 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Tennessee at Kentucky-1.057.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/13 Tennessee vs Georgia+19.056.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/20 Tennessee vs South Alabama-28.561.5W 60 - 14OY
Sat 11/27 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-33.065.0W 45 - 21ON
Thu 12/30 Tennessee vs Purdue-8.067.0L 45 - 48ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Missouri's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Missouri vs Central Michigan-13.559.0W 34 - 24UN
Sat 9/11 Missouri at Kentucky+5.556.5L 28 - 35ON
Sat 9/18 Missouri vs Southeast Missouri State-34.559.0W 59 - 28ON
Sat 9/25 Missouri at Boston College+1.058.5L 34 - 41ON
Sat 10/2 Missouri vs Tennessee-2.566.5L 24 - 62ON
Sat 10/9 Missouri vs North Texas-18.569.0W 48 - 35ON
Sat 10/16 Missouri vs Texas A&M+11.559.0L 14 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Missouri at Vanderbilt-16.062.5W 37 - 28ON
Sat 11/6 Missouri at Georgia+40.059.0L 6 - 43UY
Sat 11/13 Missouri vs South Carolina-1.056.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 11/20 Missouri vs Florida+9.569.0W 24 - 23UY
Fri 11/26 Missouri at Arkansas+14.563.0L 17 - 34UN
Wed 12/22 Missouri vs Army+7.054.0L 22 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN.1443%39.844%3.1314243%2053.02.248%28.846%51%3.8350.21.51
MIZ.1844%30.242%2.5513646%2673.6.2847%18.953%42%4.91501.40.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Offense1039.83743.2%3.021.5203461422053.852%48%44%43%16%.14
MIZ Defense1018.920.647.2%4.910.7 - - - - - 50%50%53%42%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TENN Defense1028.82948.3%3.831 - - - - - 52%48%46%51%15%.2
MIZ Offense1030.239.544.1%3.61.4224031362673.950%50%42%46%14%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tennessee1027:5620.130%67%6.150.21.515.52227.3
Missouri1030:4122.243%56%5.8501.40.751.9127.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Offense1052%44%37.5141.53.812.133.1374%10%0.85
MIZ Defense1050%53% - - - - .223.3275%9%0.86
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TENN Defense1052%46% - - - - .072.6178%10%0.77
MIZ Offense1050%42%35136.23.921.042.5564%10%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Offense1048%43%17.928.5204.77.211.4149.161.629%28%.186%1.8
MIZ Defense1050%42% - - - - - - 2.351.830%36%.446%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TENN Defense1048%51% - - - - - - 5.351.428%35%.255%1.6
MIZ Offense1050%46%24.636.3266.87.410.996.331.530%34%.384%1.9

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #19
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #10
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4  #7
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #47

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tennessee:    Missouri: 4.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tennessee: 17.5   Missouri: 3.1




Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: 4.05 NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Missouri's 2021 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1  #69
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #52
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.9  #97

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri 32
Tennessee 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Missouri Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.5
Defense: 18.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Missouri's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Missouri36Tennessee7Tennessee -1Missouri58.5Under
202211/12Tennessee66Missouri24Tennessee -18.5Tennessee57.5Over
202110/02Missouri24Tennessee62Missouri -2.5Tennessee66.5Over
202010/03Tennessee35Missouri12Tennessee -10Tennessee48.5Under
201911/23Missouri20Tennessee24Missouri -3Tennessee47.0Under
201811/17Tennessee17Missouri50Missouri -5.5Missouri58.0Over
201711/11Missouri50Tennessee17Missouri -13Missouri62.5Over
201611/19Tennessee63Missouri37Tennessee -14.5Tennessee69.5Over
201511/21Missouri8Tennessee19Tennessee -9Tennessee43.0Under
201411/22Tennessee21Missouri29Tennessee -3Missouri0
201311/02Missouri31Tennessee3Missouri -13Missouri0
201211/10Tennessee48Missouri51
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Missouri655 Overs
Tennessee664 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 66 - 55 - 31 - 2
Road Teams6 - 65 - 62 - 13 - 5

(#) TENN at (#) MIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTENNMIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #69
Perf GradeGrade #78 #63
OffenseOff #81 #57
DefenseDef #68 #97
Spec TeamsST #110 #16
TalentTal #19 #45
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #7 #97
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
Run GameRun #11 #92
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #70
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffMIZ Def
Pass GamePass #60 #92
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #115 #58
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Missouri on Offense
CategoryCatMIZ OffTENN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #57 #68
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #52 #47
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Missouri Run Game
CategoryCat
MIZ OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #45 #52
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #31 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #86
Missouri Pass Game
CategoryCatMIZ OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #86 #83
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #19 #76
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MIZ 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Faurot Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Missouri -2.5 (66.5)
Tennessee won at Missouri this year (62-24)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Tennessee in 2023 (36-7)

  
TENN's OC Alex Golesh (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MIZ's OC Eliah Drinkwitz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC Steve Wilks (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD