Oregon at USC - 2016 Matchup Preview
Oregon logo   Oregon Ducks at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, November 5th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
USC -14 (76.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 45 - Oregon: 20  (Pac-12)

 
Ducks (4 - 8) (2 - 8 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -11.5  (SP+ USC -18)
Projected Score: ORE: 28 - USC: 28 (56)
USC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
ORE Travel: 740 miles
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Oregon's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon vs UC Davis-47.0
Sat 9/10 Oregon vs Virginia-20.571.5W 44 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Oregon at Nebraska+3.072.5L 32 - 35UY
Sat 9/24 Oregon vs Colorado-11.069.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/1 Oregon at Washington State-1.074.5L 33 - 51ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon vs Washington+6.567.0L 21 - 70ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/21 Oregon at California+3.090.0L 49 - 52OY
Sat 10/29 Oregon vs Arizona State-7.572.5W 54 - 35OY
Sat 11/5 Oregon at USC+14.076.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Oregon vs Stanford+1.057.5L 27 - 52ON
Sat 11/19 Oregon at Utah+10.569.5W 30 - 28UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon at Oregon State-3.069.0L 24 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE.2849%36.950%3.3528046%2583.95.2146%17.948%43%3.95611.31.7
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1336.932.849.2%3.951.3265382802585.957%41%50%46%2%.28
USC Defense142317.944.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1317.915.646.3%3.951.7 - - - - - 42%56%48%43%2%.21
USC Offense1435.84345.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1327:1525.739%57%6.9611.31.700330.6
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1357%50%47.5279.95.934.283.3566%0%1.09
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1342%48% - - - - .182.9475%0%1
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1341%46%18.228.8258.3914.23310.331.730%39%.382%1.9
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 13.251.531%38%.352%1.7
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oregon's 2016 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.1  #55
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.5  #6
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1  #105

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon:    USC: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 6.1   USC: 23.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 2
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 28
USC 28

Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Oregon42USC27Oregon -10.5Oregon59.5Over
202311/11Oregon36USC27Oregon -12.5USC78.5Under
202012/18USC24Oregon31USC -3Oregon65.5Under
201911/02USC24Oregon56Oregon -3.5Oregon59.5Over
201611/05USC45Oregon20USC -14USC76.5Under
201511/21Oregon48USC28Oregon -2.5Oregon72.0Over
201211/03USC51Oregon62
201111/19Oregon35USC38
201010/30USC32Oregon53
200910/31Oregon47USC20
200810/04USC44Oregon10
200710/27Oregon24USC17
200611/11USC35Oregon10
200509/24Oregon13USC45
200210/26Oregon33USC44
200109/22Oregon24USC22
200010/13USC17Oregon28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC623 Overs
Oregon1143 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 33 - 20 - 1
Road Teams8 - 93 - 31 - 02 - 3

(#) ORE at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOREUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #21 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Oregon on Offense
CategoryCat
ORE OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #6 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon Run Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon Pass Game
CategoryCat
ORE OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffORE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #105
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffORE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
USC -14.0 (76.5)
USC won vs Oregon this year (45-20)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat USC last year (42-27)
Oregon beat USC in 2023 (36-27)

  
ORE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ORE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD