Arizona State at USC - 2016 Matchup Preview
Arizona State logo   Arizona State Sun Devils at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (8:30 PM EDT)
USC -8 (63.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 41 - Arizona State: 20  (Pac-12)

 
Sun Devils (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 25 (25 - 25 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
ASU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -16  (SP+ USC -27)
Projected Score: ASU: 23 - USC: 32 (55)
USC Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
ASU Travel: 367 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Arizona State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona State vs Northern Arizona-26.0
Sat 9/10 Arizona State vs Texas Tech-5.080.0W 68 - 55OY
Fri 9/16 Arizona State at UTSA-18.558.0W 32 - 28ON
Sat 9/24 Arizona State vs California-6.585.0W 51 - 41OY
Sat 10/1 Arizona State at USC+8.063.5L 20 - 41UN
Sat 10/8 Arizona State vs UCLA+4.558.0W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/15 Arizona State at Colorado+8.063.0L 16 - 40UN
Sat 10/22 Arizona State vs Washington State+6.565.0L 32 - 37OY
Sat 10/29 Arizona State at Oregon+7.572.5L 35 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/10 Arizona State vs Utah+5.556.0L 26 - 49ON
Sat 11/19 Arizona State at Washington+26.062.5L 18 - 44UY
Fri 11/25 Arizona State at Arizona-6.065.0L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona State's Schedule
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU.1642%25.841%2.9217841%2993.66.240%24.539%39%3.5439.81.51.6
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ASU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Offense1325.824.642.2%3.661.5234771782994.346%51%41%41%1%.16
USC Defense142317.944.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ASU Defense1324.525.240%3.541.6 - - - - - 41%57%39%39%2%.2
USC Offense1435.84345.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arizona State1331:3123.541%56%4.639.81.51.600331.2
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Offense1346%41%41.2178.44.319.092.9264%0%1
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ASU Defense1341%39% - - - - .112.5467%0%1.13
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Offense1351%41%24.641.12997.312.2309.271.632%33%.291%1.6
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ASU Defense1357%39% - - - - - - 15.291.937%35%.432%2.1
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2

Arizona State's Power Ratings
Arizona State's Power Rating: NR
Arizona State's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Arizona State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arizona State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #81
Arizona State's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2  #47
Arizona State's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #116

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Arizona State:    USC: 14.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arizona State: -3.0   USC: 23.6




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 14.3 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Arizona State Scoring
Offense: 25.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.6
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Arizona State's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
USC 32
Arizona State 23

Projected Total Points: 55
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Arizona State28USC42USC -34.5Arizona State62.0Over
202210/01USC42Arizona State25USC -24.5Arizona State61.0Over
202111/06Arizona State31USC16Arizona State -10Arizona State61.0Under
202011/07USC28Arizona State27USC -11.5Arizona State56.5Under
201911/09Arizona State26USC31USC -5NA54.0Over
201810/27USC35Arizona State38USC -3Arizona State52.5Over
201710/28Arizona State17USC48USC -4.5USC58.5Over
201610/01USC41Arizona State20USC -8USC63.5Under
201509/26Arizona State14USC42USC -6USC62.0Under
201410/04USC34Arizona State38USC -10.5Arizona State0
201309/28Arizona State62USC41Arizona State -5Arizona State0
201211/10USC38Arizona State17
201109/24Arizona State43USC22
201011/06USC34Arizona State33
200911/07Arizona State9USC14
200810/11USC28Arizona State0
200711/22Arizona State24USC44
200610/14USC28Arizona State21
200510/01Arizona State28USC38
200410/16USC45Arizona State7
200310/04Arizona State17USC37
200110/13USC48Arizona State17
200011/03Arizona State38USC44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1835 Overs
Arizona State574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 114 - 63 - 41 - 2
Road Teams11 - 126 - 42 - 14 - 3

(#) ASU at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatASUUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #81 #8
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #25 #2
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Arizona State on Offense
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona State Run Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Arizona State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ASU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #116
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffASU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffASU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

ASU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
USC -8.0 (63.5)
USC won vs Arizona State this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona State in 2023 (42-28)

  
ASU's OC ()
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USC's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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USC's DC ()
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